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Tikveš - Pelister

First League May 16, 2026 16:00
Tikveš
#5 · 44 pts
vs
Pelister
#9 · 36 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.69%
Win
Tikveš
20.03%
Draw
45.28%
Win
Pelister
1.88
Expected xG
2.3

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pelister a 45% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 34% for Tikveš. Expected goals are 1.9 for Tikveš and 2.3 for Pelister (total 4.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.6% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Tikveš have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Pelister.

Score Matrix
↕ Tikveš Pelister →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
1 2.9% 6.6% 7.6% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.7% 3.9% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9%
4 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Recent form
Tikveš Tikveš
W Makedonija GjP 1–4
D Aresimi 1–1
L Vardar Skopje 7–0
L Shkendija 1–4
W Struga 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
Pelister Pelister
W Shkupi 1927 7–0
D FK Rabotnicki 3–3
W Akademija Pandev 0–1
W Makedonija GjP 2–0
L Aresimi 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Tikveš Tikveš
Attack
43
Defence
47
Form
46
Pelister Pelister
Attack
40
Defence
78
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Tikveš
1
Draw
0
Pelister
W 8 Mar 2026 First League 1–0
D 30 Oct 2025 First League 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje 31 77
2 Shkendija Shkendija 31 71
3 Struga Struga 31 62
4 Sileks Sileks 31 53
5 Tikveš Tikveš 31 44
6 Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo 31 41
7 Aresimi Aresimi 31 40
8 Akademija Pandev Akademija Pandev 31 37
9 Pelister Pelister 31 36
10 Makedonija GjP Makedonija GjP 31 30
11 FK Rabotnicki FK Rabotnicki 31 30
12 Shkupi 1927 Shkupi 1927 31 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tikveš vs Pelister?
The model gives Tikveš a 34% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 45% for an Pelister win.
How many goals are expected in Tikveš vs Pelister?
Expected goals: Tikveš 1.9, Pelister 2.3 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Tikveš vs Pelister?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.6%.