← Brasileirão Série D

Tombense - Democrata GV

Brasileirão Série D May 16, 2026 23:00
Tombense
#4 · 9 pts
vs
Democrata GV
#1 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.43%
Win
Tombense
35.23%
Draw
29.34%
Win
Democrata GV
0.78
Expected xG
0.53

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tombense a 35% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Democrata GV. Expected goals are 0.8 for Tombense and 0.5 for Democrata GV (total 1.3), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 26.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Tombense have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Democrata GV.

Score Matrix
↕ Tombense Democrata GV →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 26.8% 14.3% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% —
1 21.0% 11.2% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 8.2% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% — —
3 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% — —
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —
Recent form
Tombense Tombense
D Rio Branco ES 2–2
D Rio Branco ES 0–0
L Democrata GV 1–0
D Real Noroeste 0–0
W Porto BA 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 40%
Democrata GV Democrata GV
L Vitória ES 2–1
W Vitória ES 2–0
W Tombense 1–0
L Porto BA 1–0
D Rio Branco ES 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 18%
Playing profile
Tombense Tombense
Attack
25
Defence
86
Form
58
Democrata GV Democrata GV
Attack
25
Defence
83
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Tombense
0
Draw
1
Democrata GV
L 26 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série D 0–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 CSA CSA 6 13
1 Nacional AM Nacional AM 6 13
1 Portuguesa Portuguesa 6 11
1 Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá 6 12
1 Democrata GV Democrata GV 6 10
1 Iguatu Iguatu 6 14
1 Joinville Joinville 6 11
1 Ferroviario Ferroviario 6 11
1 Blumenau Blumenau 6 13
1 Gama Gama 6 16
1 Uberlandia Uberlandia 6 15
1 ABC ABC 6 13
1 Sergipe Sergipe 6 13
1 Araguaína Araguaína 6 14
1 XV de Piracicaba XV de Piracicaba 6 12
1 Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 6 14
2 Vitória ES Vitória ES 6 9
2 Cascavel Cascavel 6 11
2 Manauara Manauara 6 12
2 Água Santa Água Santa 6 10
2 Aparecidense Aparecidense 6 10
2 Guaporé Guaporé 6 14
2 Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia 6 13
2 Parnahyba Parnahyba 6 10
2 Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias 6 11
2 Treze Treze 5 10
2 Ivinhema Ivinhema 6 11
2 Fluminense PI Fluminense PI 6 9
2 Juazeirense Juazeirense 6 12
2 Trem Trem 6 11
2 America-RN America-RN 6 11
2 Velo Clube Velo Clube 6 9
3 Ceilândia Ceilândia 6 7
3 Sousa Sousa 6 9
3 Imperatriz Imperatriz 6 9
3 Piauí Piauí 6 8
3 Porto BA Porto BA 6 9
3 Primavera MG Primavera MG 6 8
3 Noroeste Noroeste 6 8
3 Porto Velho Porto Velho 6 10
3 Cianorte Cianorte 6 9
3 Serra Branca Serra Branca 6 10
3 Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo 6 9
3 CRAC CRAC 6 8
3 ASA ASA 6 10
3 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 6 9
3 Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ 6 11
3 Maracanã Maracanã 6 9
4 Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ 6 8
4 Maguary PE Maguary PE 6 8
4 Mixto Mixto 6 6
4 Tuna Luso Tuna Luso 6 6
4 Moto Club Moto Club 6 8
4 Lagarto Lagarto 6 5
4 CSE CSE 6 7
4 Tombense Tombense 6 9
4 Madureira Madureira 6 7
4 Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas 6 7
4 São Luiz São Luiz 6 8
4 Betim Betim 6 8
4 Monte Roraima Monte Roraima 6 6
4 Uniclinic Atletico Clube Uniclinic Atletico Clube 6 7
4 Luverdense Luverdense 6 8
4 Galvez Galvez 6 7
5 CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá 6 7
5 União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis 6 5
5 Brasiliense Brasiliense 6 7
5 Jacuipense Jacuipense 6 7
5 Altos Altos 6 7
5 Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre 6 7
5 Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis 6 6
5 Santa Catarina Santa Catarina 6 7
5 Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa 6 4
5 Central SC Central SC 6 8
5 Sao Jose Sao Jose 6 5
5 Manaus FC Manaus FC 6 5
5 Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES 6 9
5 Operario Ferroviario Operario Ferroviario 6 3
5 Retrô Retrô 6 5
5 Independência Independência 6 5
6 ABECAT Ouvidorense ABECAT Ouvidorense 6 3
6 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu 6 3
6 Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas 6 3
6 Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé 6 4
6 Inhumas Inhumas 6 0
6 Oratório Oratório 6 3
6 Decisão Decisão 5 4
6 CEOV Operário CEOV Operário 6 4
6 Humaitá Humaitá 6 0
6 Tirol/CEFAT Tirol/CEFAT 6 5
6 Real Noroeste Real Noroeste 6 4
6 Laguna Laguna 6 1
6 IAPE IAPE 6 2
6 América RJ América RJ 6 5
6 GAS GAS 6 2
6 Azuriz Azuriz 6 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tombense vs Democrata GV?
The model gives Tombense a 35% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 29% for an Democrata GV win.
How many goals are expected in Tombense vs Democrata GV?
Expected goals: Tombense 0.8, Democrata GV 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in Tombense vs Democrata GV?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 26.8%.