Serie A
· Regular Season - 32
April 11, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Torino
G. Simeone
(ast. M. Pedersen)
6'
C. Casadei
(ast. R. Obrador)
50'
38'
(ast. L. Montipo)
K. Bowie
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Torino a 56% win probability (draw 28%, Hellas Verona 15%). The final result was Torino 2–1 Hellas Verona. In 1 previous meetings, Torino have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Hellas Verona.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
4
1.31
Actual xG
1.36
3
Saves
0
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
6
11
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽G. Simeone
· ast. M. Pedersen
6'
A. Ismajli
25'
26'
A. Edmundsson
38'
ast. L. Montipo ·
K. Bowie⚽
46'
M. Frese
⚽C. Casadei
· ast. R. Obrador
50'
56'
60'
N. Valentini
/
A. Edmundsson
60'
G. Orban
/
A. Harroui
65'
D. Oyegoke
S. Coco
/ L. Marianucci
67'
68'
D. Bradaric
/
A. Bernede
C. Adams
/ S. Kulenovic
75'
G. Gineitis
/ M. Prati
75'
81'
D. Mosquera
/
M. Frese
82'
A. Sarr
/
R. Belghali
E. Ebosse
/ G. Maripan
84'
R. Obrador
/ C. Biraghi
84'
90'+5
N. Valentini
Pre-match prediction
56.0%
Torino ←
28.69%
X
15.31%
Hellas
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Torino)
56.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.31
-0.01
0.64
1.36
+0.72
xG dominance was balanced (1.31 – 1.36).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
77
E. Ebosse
84'
D
44
A. Ismajli
D
23
Saúl Coco
67'
D
Saúl Coco
67'
D
33
R. Obrador
1 👟
84'
M
10
N. Vlašić
M
N. Vlašić
M
66
G. Gineitis
75'
M
22
C. Casadei
1 ⚽
M
16
M. Pedersen
1 👟
M
19
C. Adams
75'
F
C. Adams
75'
F
18
G. Simeone
1 ⚽
F
G. Simeone
1 ⚽
F
Bench
92
A. Njie
F
6
E. Ilkhan
M
13
G. Maripan
12'
D
35
L. Marianucci
23'
D
4
M. Prati
15'
M
17
S. Kulenovic
15'
F
20
V. Lazaro
D
V. Lazaro
D
1
1 👟
G
3
Martin Frese
81'
D
Martin Frese
81'
D
5
Andrias Edmundsson
60'
D
Andrias Edmundsson
60'
D
15
Victor Nelsson
D
Victor Nelsson
D
7
Rafik Belghali
82'
M
Rafik Belghali
82'
M
24
Antoine Bernede
68'
M
Antoine Bernede
68'
M
63
R. Gagliardini
M
R. Gagliardini
M
11
J. Akpa Akpro
M
J. Akpa Akpro
M
2
D. Oyegoke
M
18
K. Bowie
1 ⚽
F
K. Bowie
1 ⚽
F
21
Abdou Harroui
60'
F
Abdou Harroui
60'
F
Bench
12
Domagoj Bradarić
22'
D
Domagoj Bradarić
22'
D
16
G. Orban
30'
F
73
Moatasem Al-Musrati
M
Moatasem Al-Musrati
M
6
Nicolás Valentini
30'
D
Nicolás Valentini
30'
D
Best on the pitch
C. Casadei
M · Torino
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
G · Torino
7.30
· 34 pass
K. Bowie
F · Hellas
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
G. Gineitis
M · Torino
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
G. Simeone
F · Torino
7.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 13 pass
Domagoj Bradarić
D · Hellas
7.00
2 shots
· 14 pass
Torino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| E. Ebosse | D | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Ismajli | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Saúl Coco | D | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Obrador | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| N. Vlašić | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Gineitis | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Casadei | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Pedersen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| C. Adams | F | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Simeone | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Maripan | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Marianucci | D | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Prati | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Kulenovic | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Hellas Verona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Martin Frese | D | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Andrias Edmundsson | D | 60 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Rafik Belghali | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Antoine Bernede | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Gagliardini | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Akpa Akpro | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Oyegoke | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 6 | 1 | — |
| K. Bowie | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Abdou Harroui | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Bradarić | D | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Orban | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Valentini | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Torino vs Hellas Verona?
The final score was Torino 2–1 Hellas Verona.
What did the model predict before Torino vs Hellas Verona?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Torino win, 28% to a draw, and 15% to an Hellas Verona win.