Champions League · Round of 16 March 18, 2026 21:00

Tottenham

#4 · 17 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Atletico Madrid

#14 · 13 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 47% win probability (draw 23%, Tottenham 28%). The final result was Tottenham 3–2 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Tottenham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics

11

Shots on target

6

2.44

Actual xG

1.04

51%

Possession

49%

7

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

28.64%

Tottenham ←

23.73%

X

47.63%

Atletico

we assigned to the actual result (Tottenham) 28.64% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Tottenham

1.51

2.44

+0.93

Atletico

2.24

1.04

-1.2

Tottenham dominated by xG (2.44 vs 1.04). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	24
2	Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool	8	18
4	Tottenham	8	17
5	Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea	8	16
7	Sporting CP	8	16
8	Manchester City	8	16
9	Real Madrid	8	15
10	Inter	8	15
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	14
12	Newcastle	8	14
13	Juventus	8	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta	8	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray	8	10
21	Monaco	8	10
22	Qarabag	8	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9
24	Benfica	8	9
25	Marseille	8	9
26	Pafos	8	9
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	Napoli	8	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8
32	Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal	8	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1