Premier League
· Regular Season - 36
May 11, 2026 21:00
M. Tel
50'
(pen.)
74'
D. Calvert-Lewin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tottenham a 36% win probability (draw 27%, Leeds 35%). The final result was Tottenham 1–1 Leeds. In 1 previous meetings, Tottenham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Leeds.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
1.32
Actual xG
1.26
3
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
14
Corners
2
23
Tackles
24
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
K. Danso
41'
⚽M. Tel
50'
56'
S. Bornauw
/
P. Struijk
63'
L. Nmecha
/
B. Aaronson
63'
W. Gnonto
/
D. James
J. Palhinha
66'
74'
(pen.)
D. Calvert-Lewin⚽
79'
J. Rodon
R. Bentancur
/ L. Bergvall
81'
P. Porro
82'
M. Tel
/ J. Maddison
85'
D. Udogie
/ D. Spence
85'
90'+3
S. Longstaff
/
A. Tanaka
R. De Zerbi
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
36.61%
Tottenham
27.91%
X ←
35.49%
Leeds
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
1.32
+0.19
1.27
1.26
-0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.32 – 1.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
Antonín Kinský
G
Antonín Kinský
G
13
Destiny Udogie
85'
D
Destiny Udogie
85'
D
37
Micky van de Ven
D
Micky van de Ven
D
4
Kevin Danso
D
Kevin Danso
D
23
Pedro Porro
D
Pedro Porro
D
30
Rodrigo Bentancur
81'
M
Rodrigo Bentancur
81'
M
6
João Palhinha
M
João Palhinha
M
11
Mathys Tel
1 ⚽
85'
M
Mathys Tel
1 ⚽
85'
M
22
Conor Gallagher
M
Conor Gallagher
M
39
Randal Kolo Muani
M
Randal Kolo Muani
M
9
Richarlison
F
Richarlison
F
Bench
14
Archie Gray
M
Archie Gray
M
40
Brandon Austin
G
Brandon Austin
G
24
Djed Spence
21'
D
Djed Spence
21'
D
10
James Maddison
21'
M
James Maddison
21'
M
15
Lucas Bergvall
9'
M
Lucas Bergvall
9'
M
29
Pape Matar Sarr
M
Pape Matar Sarr
M
3
Radu Drăguşin
D
Radu Drăguşin
D
38
Souza
D
Souza
D
8
Yves Bissouma
M
Yves Bissouma
M
26
Karl Darlow
G
Karl Darlow
G
5
Pascal Struijk
56'
D
Pascal Struijk
56'
D
15
Jaka Bijol
D
Jaka Bijol
D
6
Joe Rodon
D
Joe Rodon
D
24
James Justin
M
James Justin
M
22
Ao Tanaka
89'
M
Ao Tanaka
89'
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
18
Anton Stach
M
Anton Stach
M
7
Daniel James
63'
M
Daniel James
63'
M
11
B. Aaronson
63'
F
B. Aaronson
63'
F
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
F
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
65
Jayden Lienou
D
Jayden Lienou
D
10
Joël Piroe
F
Joël Piroe
F
1
Lucas Perri
G
Lucas Perri
G
14
Lukas Nmecha
27'
F
Lukas Nmecha
27'
F
47
Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin
M
Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin
M
25
Sam Byram
D
Sam Byram
D
8
Sean Longstaff
13'
M
Sean Longstaff
13'
M
23
Sebastiaan Bornauw
34'
D
Sebastiaan Bornauw
34'
D
29
Wilfried Gnonto
27'
F
Wilfried Gnonto
27'
F
Best on the pitch
Antonín Kinský
G · Tottenham
8.00
· 30 pass
Jaka Bijol
D · Leeds
7.50
· 43 pass
Lukas Nmecha
F · Leeds
7.30
1 shots
· 7 pass
E. Ampadu
M · Leeds
7.30
· 48 pass
Pedro Porro
D · Tottenham
7.20
2 shots
· 47 pass
Mathys Tel
M · Tottenham
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Tottenham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonín Kinský | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Destiny Udogie | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Micky van de Ven | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Danso | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Porro | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 39% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Bentancur | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Mathys Tel | M | 85 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Conor Gallagher | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Randal Kolo Muani | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Richarlison | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Djed Spence | D | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| James Maddison | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Bergvall | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Leeds — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Darlow | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Pascal Struijk | D | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaka Bijol | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Joe Rodon | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| James Justin | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Anton Stach | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel James | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Aaronson | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | F | 27 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Sean Longstaff | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tottenham vs Leeds?
The final score was Tottenham 1–1 Leeds.
What did the model predict before Tottenham vs Leeds?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Tottenham win, 27% to a draw, and 35% to an Leeds win.