Triglav - Bistrica
2. SNL
May 16, 2026 19:00
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
28.3°C
💨 21 km/h
· Novo Mesto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
83.25%
Win
Triglav
10.18%
Draw
6.57%
Win
Bistrica
3.24
0.57
Expected xG
Model prediction
Triglav
83.25%
Probability
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Triglav a 83% win probability, against 10% for a draw and 6% for Bistrica. Expected goals are 3.2 for Triglav and 0.6 for Bistrica (total 3.8), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 12.5% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Triglav have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bistrica.
Score Matrix
↕ Triglav
Bistrica →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 11.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 12.5% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 5 | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Triglav
Attack
53
Defence
97
Form
80
Bistrica
Attack
25
Defence
55
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Triglav vs Bistrica?
The model gives Triglav a 83% win probability, 10% for a draw, and 6% for an Bistrica win.
How many goals are expected in Triglav vs Bistrica?
Expected goals: Triglav 3.2, Bistrica 0.6 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Triglav vs Bistrica?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.5%.