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UCSA - Bukovyna

Persha Liga May 15, 2026 14:00
UCSA
#7 · 33 pts
vs
Bukovyna
#1 · 75 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 17.9°C 💨 12 km/h · Kyiv
⚡ Pre-match analysis
14.02%
Win
UCSA
14.99%
Draw
71.0%
Win
Bukovyna
0.99
Expected xG
2.74
Model prediction
Bukovyna
71.0%
Probability

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bukovyna a 71% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 14% for UCSA. Expected goals are 1.0 for UCSA and 2.7 for Bukovyna (total 3.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 9.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, UCSA have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bukovyna.

Score Matrix
↕ UCSA Bukovyna →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4% 6.6% 9.1% 8.3% 5.7% 3.1%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.9% 8.1% 5.6% 3.1%
2 1.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.0% 2.7% 1.5%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —
Recent form
UCSA UCSA
L Livyi Bereh 3–1
L Chernihiv 0–2
W Prykarpattia 1–2
D Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1–1
L Probiy Horodenka 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 16%
Bukovyna Bukovyna
W Vorskla Poltava 6–0
W Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0–2
W Nyva Ternopil 1–0
W Metal Kharkiv 1–2
W Yarud Mariupol' 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 36%
Playing profile
UCSA UCSA
Attack
28
Defence
62
Form
43
Bukovyna Bukovyna
Attack
54
Defence
88
Form
80
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
UCSA
0
Draw
1
Bukovyna
L 24 Oct 2025 Persha Liga 1–4
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Bukovyna Bukovyna 27 75
2 Chornomorets Chornomorets 27 58
3 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 27 56
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ahrobiznes Volochysk 27 46
5 Inhulets Inhulets 27 42
6 Viktoriya Mykolaivka Viktoriya Mykolaivka 27 36
7 UCSA UCSA 27 33
8 Prykarpattia Prykarpattia 27 32
9 Probiy Horodenka Probiy Horodenka 27 32
10 Yarud Mariupol' Yarud Mariupol' 27 31
11 Nyva Ternopil Nyva Ternopil 27 30
12 Chernihiv Chernihiv 26 30
13 Metal Kharkiv Metal Kharkiv 26 30
14 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 27 27
15 Podillya Khmelnytskyi Podillya Khmelnytskyi 27 19
16 Metalurh Zaporizhya Metalurh Zaporizhya 27 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win UCSA vs Bukovyna?
The model gives UCSA a 14% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 71% for an Bukovyna win.
How many goals are expected in UCSA vs Bukovyna?
Expected goals: UCSA 1.0, Bukovyna 2.7 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in UCSA vs Bukovyna?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.1%.