Segunda Liga
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction União de Leiria
J. Munoz
(ast. Jair da Silva)
28'
J. Munoz
41'
(pen.)
J. Munoz
(ast. M. Pires)
53'
Daniel Borges
(ast. Maga)
64'
45'+2
Davo
(pen.)
90'+3
Reko
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave União de Leiria a 68% win probability (draw 16%, Penafiel 15%). The final result was União de Leiria 4–2 Penafiel. In 1 previous meetings, União de Leiria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Penafiel.
Match statistics
Match Events
V. G. Rofino
10'
20'
T. Alloh
⚽J. Munoz
· ast. Jair da Silva
28'
M. Pires
33'
⚽J. Munoz
(pen.)
41'
45'+2
Davo⚽
46'
B. Pereira
/
T. Alloh
D. Michel
/ A. Lottin
46'
⚽J. Munoz
· ast. M. Pires
53'
62'
Ze Leite
/
S. Anzai
62'
A. Santos
/
J. Mere
⚽Daniel Borges
· ast. Maga
64'
M. Baro
69'
73'
Ze Leite
74'
D. Rodrigues
/
R. Schutte
74'
R. Alcaina
/
Davo
V. G. Rofino
/ Ze Pedro
81'
M. Pires
/ Lucho Vega
81'
M. Baro
/ J. Silva
82'
J. Munoz
/ J. Mendes
88'
Joao Bravim
90'+2
90'+3
(pen.)
Reko⚽
Pre-match prediction
68.4%
União ←
16.03%
X
15.57%
Penafiel
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (União de Leiria)
68.4%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.67
—
—
1.09
—
—
Lineups
98
G
3
Marc Baró
D
Marc Baró
D
5
V. G. Rofino
D
44
Marcelo
D
68
Maga
1 👟
D
Maga
1 👟
D
41
Daniel Borges
1 ⚽
M
Daniel Borges
1 ⚽
M
21
Miguel Pires
1 👟
M
19
Pablo Fernández
F
9
Juan Muñoz
3 ⚽
F
Juan Muñoz
3 ⚽
F
11
Jair da Silva
1 👟
M
86
Dieu-Merci Michel
F
Bench
52
Habib Sylla
D
45
Junior Armando Mendes
F
17
Lucho Vega
M
32
G
2
lano Imbene
D
3
J. Mere
D
4
D
75
T. Alloh
D
17
M
8
Reko
1 ⚽
M
27
G. Negrao
D
37
Davo
1 ⚽
M
28
R. Schutte
F
7
S. Anzai
M
Bench
20
A. Santos
M
14
B. Pereira
D
33
C. Moreira
D
5
J. Sanchez
D
19
R. Alcaina
F
34
Ze Leite
F
União de Leiria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marc Baró | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. G. Rofino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maga | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Pires | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Fernández | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Muñoz | F | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jair da Silva | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dieu-Merci Michel | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penafiel — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| lano Imbene | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mere | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| T. Alloh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Reko | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Negrao | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davo | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Schutte | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Anzai | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of União de Leiria vs Penafiel?
The final score was União de Leiria 4–2 Penafiel.
What did the model predict before União de Leiria vs Penafiel?
The model assigned 68% probability to a União de Leiria win, 16% to a draw, and 15% to an Penafiel win.