← Liga 3

União Santarém - Varzim

Liga 3 May 16, 2026 17:30
União Santarém
#4 · 25 pts
vs
Varzim
#4 · 28 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 20.2°C 💨 23 km/h · Santarem
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.58%
Win
União Santarém
37.76%
Draw
31.65%
Win
Varzim
0.67
Expected xG
0.73

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Varzim a 31% win probability, against 37% for a draw and 30% for União Santarém. Expected goals are 0.7 for União Santarém and 0.7 for Varzim (total 1.4), with a 61% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 24.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, União Santarém have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Varzim.

Score Matrix
↕ União Santarém Varzim →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 24.6% 18.0% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% —
1 16.6% 12.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 5.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
União Santarém União Santarém
L Amarante 1–0
D CF Os Belenenses 1–1
D Academica 1–1
D Guimaraes B 1–1
L Trofense 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 12%
Varzim Varzim
L CF Os Belenenses 1–2
L Academica 1–0
D Guimaraes B 2–2
W Trofense 0–1
L Mafra 0–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
União Santarém União Santarém
Attack
16
Defence
70
Form
39
Varzim Varzim
Attack
21
Defence
66
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
União Santarém
0
Draw
1
Varzim
L 21 Mar 2026 Liga 3 0–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Atlético CP Atlético CP 10 26
1 Guimaraes B Guimaraes B 18 29
1 Amarante Amarante 13 28
1 São João Ver São João Ver 10 21
1 CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses 18 38
2 Amarante Amarante 18 29
2 Academica Academica 13 25
2 Fafe Fafe 10 21
2 Mafra Mafra 18 34
2 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 10 24
3 Trofense Trofense 18 28
3 CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses 13 23
3 Paredes Paredes 10 21
3 Academica Academica 18 28
3 Caldas Caldas 10 19
4 SC Covilha SC Covilha 10 18
4 União Santarém União Santarém 18 25
4 Guimaraes B Guimaraes B 13 17
4 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 10 18
4 Varzim Varzim 18 28
5 Mafra Mafra 13 17
5 Paredes Paredes 18 27
5 SC Braga B SC Braga B 10 17
5 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 18 22
5 1º Dezembro 1º Dezembro 10 16
6 Atlético CP Atlético CP 18 22
6 Amora Amora 10 13
6 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 10 11
6 Varzim Varzim 13 13
6 SC Braga B SC Braga B 18 25
7 Trofense Trofense 13 10
7 Amora Amora 18 21
7 Fafe Fafe 18 24
8 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 18 19
8 Caldas Caldas 18 21
8 União Santarém União Santarém 13 9
9 São João Ver São João Ver 18 14
9 1º Dezembro 1º Dezembro 18 17
10 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 18 13
10 SC Covilha SC Covilha 18 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win União Santarém vs Varzim?
The model gives União Santarém a 30% win probability, 37% for a draw, and 31% for an Varzim win.
How many goals are expected in União Santarém vs Varzim?
Expected goals: União Santarém 0.7, Varzim 0.7 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 61%.
What is the most likely score in União Santarém vs Varzim?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 24.6%.