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Urawa - FC Tokyo

J1 League May 16, 2026 09:00
Urawa
#4 · 24 pts
vs
FC Tokyo
#2 · 35 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.18%
Win
Urawa
24.21%
Draw
41.61%
Win
FC Tokyo
1.31
Expected xG
1.54

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Tokyo a 41% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Urawa. Expected goals are 1.3 for Urawa and 1.5 for FC Tokyo (total 2.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Urawa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Tokyo.

Score Matrix
↕ Urawa FC Tokyo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.7% 9.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.2% 3.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Urawa Urawa
W Mito Hollyhock 1–4
W Kashiwa Reysol 0–1
W JEF United Chiba 2–0
W Kawasaki Frontale 2–0
L Yokohama F. Marinos 2–3
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
W Tokyo Verdy 2–1
L JEF United Chiba 0–3
W Kawasaki Frontale 2–0
W Kashiwa Reysol 1–3
W Mito Hollyhock 5–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 28%
Playing profile
Urawa Urawa
Attack
45
Defence
76
Form
60
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
Attack
59
Defence
75
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Urawa
1
Draw
0
FC Tokyo
D 14 Feb 2026 J1 League 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 15 28
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 16 31
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 16 33
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 28
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
5 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 15 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 16 20
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 15 20
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 16 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 15 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Urawa vs FC Tokyo?
The model gives Urawa a 34% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 41% for an FC Tokyo win.
How many goals are expected in Urawa vs FC Tokyo?
Expected goals: Urawa 1.3, FC Tokyo 1.5 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Urawa vs FC Tokyo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.