Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 3
April 06, 2026 16:30
45'
S. Kvia-Egeskog
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valerenga a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Viking 32%). The final result was Valerenga 0–1 Viking.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
4
0.48
Actual xG
2.47
5
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
5
11
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
H. Falchener
A. Olsen
35'
E. Sorensen
44'
45'
S. Kvia-Egeskog⚽
46'
A. Baertelsen
/
H. Falchener
E. Sorensen
/ L. Haren
47'
O. Saeter
/ M. Grundetjern
61'
61'
S. Kvia-Egeskog
73'
H. Heggheim
H. Sjatil
/ P. Strand
73'
73'
H. J. Haugen
/
N. Fuglestad
M. Westergaard
/ F. Ambina
74'
80'
J. Hansen
/
K. Haugen
80'
S. Bjorshol
/
K. Askildsen
80'
M. Jensen
F. Thorvaldsen
/ G. Rajkovic
87'
90'+6
O. Visted
/
Z. Tripic
Pre-match prediction
34.7%
Valerenga
32.54%
X
32.76%
Viking ←
we assigned to the actual result (Viking)
32.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
0.48
-0.87
1.04
2.47
+1.43
Viking dominated by xG (2.47 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
84'
G
2
K. Finnsson
84'
D
K. Finnsson
84'
D
37
I. Nasberg
84'
D
4
A. Olsen
84'
D
3
H. Sjatil
73'
D
11
Elias Sørensen
45'
M
10
Carl Lange
84'
M
28
Magnus Westergaard
74'
M
26
F. Thorvaldsen
84'
M
90
O. Saeter
61'
F
8
H. Bjordal
84'
F
Bench
29
F. Ambina
10'
M
77
L. Haren
39'
M
17
Mathias Grundetjern
23'
M
6
V. Hedenstad
D
1
84'
G
28
Kristoffer Haugen
80'
D
Kristoffer Haugen
80'
D
25
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
45'
D
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
45'
D
6
Gianni Stensness
84'
D
Gianni Stensness
84'
D
5
H. Heggheim
84'
D
H. Heggheim
84'
D
8
J. Bell
84'
M
10
Z. Tripić
84'
M
Z. Tripić
84'
M
26
S. Kvia-Egeskog
1 ⚽
84'
M
S. Kvia-Egeskog
1 ⚽
84'
M
7
K. Askildsen
80'
M
K. Askildsen
80'
M
23
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
73'
M
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
73'
M
20
P. Christiansen
84'
F
P. Christiansen
84'
F
Bench
2
Herman Johan Haugen
11'
D
Herman Johan Haugen
11'
D
18
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
4'
D
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
4'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Bell
M · Viking
7.70
· 45 pass
Magnus Westergaard
M · Valerenga
7.70
1 shots
· 31 pass
Z. Tripić
M · Viking
7.50
· 46 pass
Kristoffer Haugen
D · Viking
7.30
1 shots
· 39 pass
G · Valerenga
7.20
· 37 pass
K. Finnsson
D · Valerenga
7.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Valerenga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| K. Finnsson | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Nasberg | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| A. Olsen | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 53% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Sjatil | D | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Elias Sørensen | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carl Lange | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Magnus Westergaard | M | 74 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Thorvaldsen | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| O. Saeter | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| H. Bjordal | F | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Ambina | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Haren | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mathias Grundetjern | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Viking — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| Kristoffer Haugen | D | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Henrik Sælebakke Falchener | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gianni Stensness | D | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | — | — | — |
| H. Heggheim | D | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Bell | M | 84 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Tripić | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 33% | — | — | — |
| S. Kvia-Egeskog | M | 84 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Askildsen | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Niklas Kemp Fuglestad | M | 73 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| P. Christiansen | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Herman Johan Haugen | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sondre Flem Bjørshol | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valerenga vs Viking?
The final score was Valerenga 0–1 Viking.
What did the model predict before Valerenga vs Viking?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Valerenga win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Viking win.