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Valletta FC - Hamrun Spartans

Premier League May 15, 2026 19:00
#3 · 22 pts
vs
#1 · 34 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 21.8°C 💨 11 km/h · Paola
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.07%
Win
Valletta FC
28.68%
Draw
39.25%
Win
Hamrun Spartans
1.14
Expected xG
1.34

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hamrun Spartans a 39% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Valletta FC. Expected goals are 1.1 for Valletta FC and 1.3 for Hamrun Spartans (total 2.5), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.8% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Valletta FC have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Hamrun Spartans.

Score Matrix
↕ Valletta FC Hamrun Spartans →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4% 11.2% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.6% 12.8% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.5% 7.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Recent form
D Floriana 0–0
W Hamrun Spartans 2–1
L Marsaxlokk 1–0
L Floriana 2–0
D Naxxar Lions 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
L Marsaxlokk 2–1
L Valletta FC 2–1
W Floriana 1–4
W Naxxar Lions 3–0
L Gzira United 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
Valletta FC Valletta FC
Attack
26
Defence
75
Form
57
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
Attack
46
Defence
65
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 16 34
1 Floriana Floriana 11 23
1 Hibernians Hibernians 16 23
1 Floriana Floriana 16 37
1 Floriana Floriana 11 25
1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 16 22
2 Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk 16 31
2 Birkirkara Birkirkara 16 19
2 Floriana Floriana 16 33
2 Gzira United Gzira United 16 22
2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 11 22
2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 11 22
3 Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk 11 19
3 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 16 16
3 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 16 28
3 Valletta FC Valletta FC 11 22
3 Tarxien Rainbows Tarxien Rainbows 17 18
3 Valletta FC Valletta FC 16 29
4 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 11 19
4 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 16 26
4 Mosta Mosta 16 16
4 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 11 18
4 Hibernians Hibernians 16 16
4 Valletta FC Valletta FC 16 24
5 Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk 16 25
5 Gzira United Gzira United 16 21
5 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 16 15
5 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 17 16
5 Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk 11 18
5 Valletta FC Valletta FC 11 17
6 Tarxien Rainbows Tarxien Rainbows 16 7
6 Mosta Mosta 16 10
6 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 16 20
6 Gzira United Gzira United 11 17
6 Birkirkara Birkirkara 16 16
6 Birkirkara Birkirkara 11 16
7 Hibernians Hibernians 11 15
7 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 11 16
8 Birkirkara Birkirkara 11 13
8 Gzira United Gzira United 11 13
9 Hibernians Hibernians 11 11
9 Mosta Mosta 11 11
10 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 11 10
10 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 11 10
11 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 11 5
11 Tarxien Rainbows Tarxien Rainbows 11 6
12 Tarxien Rainbows Tarxien Rainbows 11 5
12 Mosta Mosta 11 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?
The model gives Valletta FC a 32% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 39% for an Hamrun Spartans win.
How many goals are expected in Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?
Expected goals: Valletta FC 1.1, Hamrun Spartans 1.3 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.8%.