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Van - Alashkert

Premier League May 16, 2026 14:00
#6 · 31 pts
vs
#5 · 47 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛈️ Thunderstorm 10.0°C 💨 9 km/h 🌧️ 73% · Charentsavan
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.28%
Win
Van
25.08%
Draw
51.64%
Win
Alashkert
0.89
Expected xG
1.6

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alashkert a 51% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Van. Expected goals are 0.9 for Van and 1.6 for Alashkert (total 2.5), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.2% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Van have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Alashkert.

Score Matrix
↕ Van Alashkert →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3% 13.2% 10.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.3% 5.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1%
Recent form
Van Van
W Shirak 1–0
W Gandzasar 0–1
L FC Urartu 2–0
L BKMA 1–2
L FC Noah 2–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
W Gandzasar 3–1
D BKMA 2–2
D FC Noah 1–1
W FC Urartu 1–3
W Ararat 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
Van Van
Attack
24
Defence
67
Form
44
Alashkert Alashkert
Attack
48
Defence
72
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 25 54
2 FC Noah FC Noah 24 49
3 Pyunik Yerevan Pyunik Yerevan 24 48
4 FC Urartu FC Urartu 25 48
5 Alashkert Alashkert 25 47
6 Van Van 25 31
7 BKMA BKMA 25 22
8 Gandzasar Gandzasar 25 21
9 Shirak Shirak 25 12
10 Ararat Ararat 25 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Van vs Alashkert?
The model gives Van a 23% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 51% for an Alashkert win.
How many goals are expected in Van vs Alashkert?
Expected goals: Van 0.9, Alashkert 1.6 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Van vs Alashkert?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.2%.