MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 06:30
✓Model correct — prediction Vancouver Whitecaps
C. Sabaly
(ast. T. Muller)
7'
B. White
(ast. A. Cubas)
23'
B. White
(ast. B. Caicedo)
85'
33'
M. Navarro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Colorado Rapids 18%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1 Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
3.50
Actual xG
1.51
3
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
8
Corners
3
28
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Sabaly
· ast. T. Muller
7'
⚽B. White
· ast. A. Cubas
23'
33'
M. Navarro⚽
E. Sabbi
/ J. Badwal
46'
56'
D. Yapi
/
P. Aaronson
64'
K. Rosenberry
/
K. Thompson
C. Sabaly
/ B. Caicedo
68'
78'
82'
M. Navarro
T. Johnson
/ M. Gherasimencov
83'
83'
A. Manyoma
/
M. Navarro
83'
N. Cobb
/
R. Holding
⚽B. White
· ast. B. Caicedo
85'
B. White
/ O. Larraz
90'+1
S. Berhalter
/ R. Elloumi
90'+1
B. Caicedo
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
63.19%
Vancouver ←
18.74%
X
18.07%
Colorado
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Vancouver Whitecaps)
63.19%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
3.50
-1.0
0.95
1.51
+0.56
Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (3.50 vs 1.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
28
Tate Johnson
83'
D
Tate Johnson
83'
D
2
Mathías Laborda
D
Mathías Laborda
D
33
Tristan Blackmon
D
Tristan Blackmon
D
18
Édier Ocampo
D
Édier Ocampo
D
16
Sebastian Berhalter
M
Sebastian Berhalter
M
20
Andrés Cubas
1 👟
M
Andrés Cubas
1 👟
M
7
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
1 ⚽
68'
M
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
1 ⚽
68'
M
13
Thomas Müller
1 👟
M
Thomas Müller
1 👟
M
11
Emmanuel Sabbi
45'
M
Emmanuel Sabbi
45'
M
24
Brian White
2 ⚽
F
Brian White
2 ⚽
F
Bench
22
Aziel Jackson
M
Aziel Jackson
M
14
Bruno Quiñonez
1 👟
32'
F
Bruno Quiñonez
1 👟
32'
F
59
Jeevan Badwal
55'
M
Jeevan Badwal
55'
M
8
Oliver Larraz
9'
M
Oliver Larraz
9'
M
1
Z. Steffen
G
29
Miguel Navarro
1 ⚽
83'
D
Miguel Navarro
1 ⚽
83'
D
22
Lucas Herrington
D
Lucas Herrington
D
6
Rob Holding
83'
D
Rob Holding
83'
D
33
Kosi Thompson
64'
D
Kosi Thompson
64'
D
13
Wayne Frederick
M
Wayne Frederick
M
8
Hamzat Ojediran
M
Hamzat Ojediran
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
56'
M
Paxten Aaronson
56'
M
93
Georgi Minoungou
F
Georgi Minoungou
F
9
Rafael Navarro
F
Rafael Navarro
F
7
Dante Sealy
F
Dante Sealy
F
Bench
11
Alexis Manyoma
17'
M
Alexis Manyoma
17'
M
77
Darren Yapi
44'
F
Darren Yapi
44'
F
2
Keegan Rosenberry
36'
D
Keegan Rosenberry
36'
D
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
24
Noah Cobb
17'
D
Noah Cobb
17'
D
4
Reggie Cannon
D
Reggie Cannon
D
Best on the pitch
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
M · Vancouver
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Georgi Minoungou
F · Colorado
8.00
· 22 pass
Bruno Quiñonez
F · Vancouver
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 4 pass
Andrés Cubas
M · Vancouver
7.90
1 👟
· 41 pass
Z. Steffen
G · Colorado
7.90
· 38 pass
Brian White
F · Vancouver
7.90
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 18 pass
Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Tate Johnson | D | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathías Laborda | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Tristan Blackmon | D | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Édier Ocampo | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 6 | — | — |
| Sebastian Berhalter | M | 91 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 36% | 5 | — | — |
| Andrés Cubas | M | 100 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 38% | 6 | — | — |
| Cheick Tidiane Sabaly | M | 68 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Thomas Müller | M | 100 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Sabbi | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Brian White | F | 91 | 7.90 | 2 | — | 6 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Quiñonez | F | 32 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Jeevan Badwal | M | 55 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Larraz | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Steffen | G | 100 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Navarro | D | 83 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | 2 | — | — |
| Rob Holding | D | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 74 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Wayne Frederick | M | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 56 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | F | 100 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 100 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Dante Sealy | F | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Alexis Manyoma | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Vancouver Whitecaps vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Vancouver Whitecaps win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Colorado Rapids win.