MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 04:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 42% win probability (draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 28%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes. In 1 previous meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Jose Earthquakes.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
0.98
Actual xG
0.66
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
42.62%
Vancouver
28.8%
X
28.57%
San ←
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes)
28.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.54
0.98
-1.56
0.96
0.66
-0.29
Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Vancouver Whitecaps win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.