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Vukovar - NK Varazdin

HNL May 15, 2026 18:00
#10 · 28 pts
vs
#4 · 48 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 17.2°C 💨 7 km/h 🌧️ 91% · Osijek
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.26%
Win
Vukovar
30.89%
Draw
42.85%
Win
NK Varazdin
0.72
Expected xG
1.05

The ForzaPitch prediction gives NK Varazdin a 42% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Vukovar. Expected goals are 0.7 for Vukovar and 1.0 for NK Varazdin (total 1.8), with a 67% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 17.9% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Vukovar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for NK Varazdin.

Score Matrix
↕ Vukovar NK Varazdin →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.1% 17.9% 9.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.4% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5
Recent form
L HNK Rijeka 3–0
W NK Osijek 1–0
D NK Slaven Belupo 2–2
L HNK Gorica 1–2
W Istra 1961 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 19%
D NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1
L HNK Hajduk Split 3–1
L Dinamo Zagreb 2–1
W HNK Rijeka 1–0
W NK Osijek 0–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Vukovar Vukovar
Attack
29
Defence
48
Form
32
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
Attack
34
Defence
65
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vukovar vs NK Varazdin?
The model gives Vukovar a 26% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 42% for an NK Varazdin win.
How many goals are expected in Vukovar vs NK Varazdin?
Expected goals: Vukovar 0.7, NK Varazdin 1.0 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 67%.
What is the most likely score in Vukovar vs NK Varazdin?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.9%.