Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 32
May 02, 2026 15:30
R. Schmid
(ast. O. Deman)
64'
24'
(ast. M. Gregoritsch)
A. Kade
45'+3
(ast. D. Giannoulis)
A. Kade
69'
(ast. M. Wolf)
K. Jakic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Werder Bremen a 52% win probability (draw 20%, FC Augsburg 26%). The final result was Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Augsburg. In 1 previous meetings, Werder Bremen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Augsburg.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
7
1.12
Actual xG
2.29
4
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
8
Corners
2
15
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
H. Massengo
24'
ast. M. Gregoritsch ·
A. Kade⚽
36'
K. Jakic
/
H. Massengo
45'+3
ast. D. Giannoulis ·
A. Kade⚽
C. Puertas
/ S. Mbangula
46'
J. Milosevic
/ J. Njinmah
46'
K. Coulibaly
/ S. Musah
46'
⚽R. Schmid
· ast. O. Deman
64'
66'
R. Ribeiro
/
M. Gregoritsch
66'
M. Wolf
/
D. Giannoulis
66'
Arthur Chaves
/
J. Gouweleeuw
69'
ast. M. Wolf ·
K. Jakic⚽
75'
K. Schlotterbeck
/
C. Matsima
M. Friedl
76'
Y. Sugawara
/ M. Grull
79'
Pre-match prediction
52.38%
Werder
20.92%
X
26.71%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Augsburg)
26.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.14
1.12
-1.01
1.40
2.29
+0.89
FC Augsburg dominated by xG (2.29 vs 1.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
M. Backhaus
G
31
K. Coulibaly
45'
D
32
Marco Friedl
D
5
Amos Pieper
D
2
O. Deman
1 👟
M
14
M
18
Cameron Puertas
45'
M
3
Y. Sugawara
79'
M
20
R. Schmid
1 ⚽
F
6
J. Stage
F
19
J. Milošević
45'
F
J. Milošević
45'
F
Bench
23
I. Schmidt
D
11
J. Njinmah
51'
F
17
M. Grull
17'
F
4
N. Stark
D
29
S. Musah
51'
F
1
G
16
Cedric Zesiger
D
6
J. Gouweleeuw
66'
D
5
C. Matsima
75'
D
13
D. Giannoulis
1 👟
66'
M
32
Fabian Rieder
M
4
H. Massengo
36'
M
19
R. Fellhauer
M
20
A. Claude-Maurice
F
30
A. Kade
2 ⚽
F
38
M. Gregoritsch
1 👟
67'
F
M. Gregoritsch
1 👟
67'
F
Bench
34
Arthur Chaves
30'
D
31
Keven Schlotterbeck
21'
D
17
K. Jakic
1 ⚽
60'
M
36
M. Komur
M
27
M. Wolf
1 👟
30'
M
21
R. Ribeiro
29'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Kade
F · FC
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
R. Schmid
F · Werder
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 80 pass
D. Giannoulis
M · FC
7.70
1 👟
· 19 pass
K. Jakic
M · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Marco Friedl
D · Werder
7.30
· 87 pass
Amos Pieper
D · Werder
7.30
· 90 pass
Werder Bremen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Backhaus | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Coulibaly | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Marco Friedl | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 87 | 78% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Amos Pieper | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 90 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Deman | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 51 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 119 | 104% | 5 | — | — | |
| Cameron Puertas | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Sugawara | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Schmid | F | 96 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 80 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stage | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Milošević | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Njinmah | F | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Grull | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Musah | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
FC Augsburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Cedric Zesiger | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Gouweleeuw | D | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Matsima | D | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Giannoulis | M | 66 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Rieder | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Massengo | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Fellhauer | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Claude-Maurice | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Kade | F | 96 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Gregoritsch | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Chaves | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Keven Schlotterbeck | D | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| K. Jakic | M | 60 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Wolf | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | — | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ribeiro | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
The final score was Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Augsburg.
What did the model predict before Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Werder Bremen win, 20% to a draw, and 26% to an FC Augsburg win.