← Bundesliga
#15 · 32 pts
1 – 3
Final score
#9 · 43 pts
R. Schmid (ast. O. Deman) 64'
24' (ast. M. Gregoritsch) A. Kade
45'+3 (ast. D. Giannoulis) A. Kade
69' (ast. M. Wolf) K. Jakic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Werder Bremen a 52% win probability (draw 20%, FC Augsburg 26%). The final result was Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Augsburg. In 1 previous meetings, Werder Bremen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Augsburg.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
7
1.12
Actual xG
2.29
4
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
8
Corners
2
15
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
H. Massengo
24'
ast. M. Gregoritsch · A. Kade
36'
K. Jakic / H. Massengo
45'+3
ast. D. Giannoulis · A. Kade
C. Puertas / S. Mbangula
46'
J. Milosevic / J. Njinmah
46'
K. Coulibaly / S. Musah
46'
R. Schmid · ast. O. Deman
64'
66'
R. Ribeiro / M. Gregoritsch
66'
M. Wolf / D. Giannoulis
66'
Arthur Chaves / J. Gouweleeuw
69'
ast. M. Wolf · K. Jakic
75'
K. Schlotterbeck / C. Matsima
M. Friedl
76'
Y. Sugawara / M. Grull
79'
Pre-match prediction
52.38%
Werder
20.92%
X
26.71%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Augsburg) 26.71% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Werder
2.14
1.12
-1.01
FC
1.40
2.29
+0.89
FC Augsburg dominated by xG (2.29 vs 1.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-4-2-1
30
M. Backhaus G 7.20
31
K. Coulibaly 45' D 6.20
32
Marco Friedl D 7.30
5
Amos Pieper D 7.30
2
O. Deman 1 👟 M 6.70
14
M 7.30
18
Cameron Puertas 45' M 6.30
3
Y. Sugawara 79' M 7.20
20
R. Schmid 1 ⚽ F 8.70
6
J. Stage F 6.20
19 J. Milošević J. Milošević 45' F 6.50
Bench
23
I. Schmidt D
11
J. Njinmah 51' F 6.90
17
M. Grull 17' F 6.30
4
N. Stark D
29
S. Musah 51' F 6.30
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.20
16
Cedric Zesiger D 7.20
6
J. Gouweleeuw 66' D 6.50
5
C. Matsima 75' D 6.70
13
D. Giannoulis 1 👟 66' M 7.70
32
Fabian Rieder M 7.20
4
H. Massengo 36' M 6.60
19
R. Fellhauer M 6.20
20
A. Claude-Maurice F 6.60
30
A. Kade 2 ⚽ F 8.90
38 M. Gregoritsch M. Gregoritsch 1 👟 67' F 6.90
Bench
34
Arthur Chaves 30' D 6.60
31
Keven Schlotterbeck 21' D 6.70
17
K. Jakic 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.60
36
M. Komur M
27
M. Wolf 1 👟 30' M 6.90
21
R. Ribeiro 29' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
A. Kade
F · FC
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 20 pass
R. Schmid
F · Werder
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 80 pass
D. Giannoulis
M · FC
7.70
1 👟
· 19 pass
K. Jakic
M · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
Marco Friedl
D · Werder
7.30
· 87 pass
Amos Pieper
D · Werder
7.30
· 90 pass
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Backhaus G 96 7.20 20 18%
K. Coulibaly D 45 6.20 39 36%
Marco Friedl D 96 7.30 87 78% 2 1
Amos Pieper D 96 7.30 90 82% 2
O. Deman M 96 6.70 1 51 42% 1
M 96 7.30 119 104% 5
Cameron Puertas M 45 6.30 1 27 26% 1
Y. Sugawara M 79 7.20 40 34% 1
R. Schmid F 96 8.70 1 2 80 65% 2
J. Stage F 96 6.20 2 40 30% 1
J. Milošević F 45 6.50 9 7%
J. Njinmah F 51 6.90 1 9 6%
M. Grull F 17 6.30 1 8 8%
S. Musah F 51 6.30 1 11 9%
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.20 52 23%
Cedric Zesiger D 96 7.20 1 36 29% 2
J. Gouweleeuw D 66 6.50 1 22 16% 1
C. Matsima D 75 6.70 21 19% 1
D. Giannoulis M 66 7.70 1 19 16%
Fabian Rieder M 96 7.20 31 23% 3
H. Massengo M 36 6.60 11 10% 2 1
R. Fellhauer M 96 6.20 1 22 16% 1
A. Claude-Maurice F 96 6.60 2 34 28% 1
A. Kade F 96 8.90 2 3 20 15% 2
M. Gregoritsch F 67 6.90 1 3 15 9%
Arthur Chaves D 30 6.60 1 1%
Keven Schlotterbeck D 21 6.70 7 5%
K. Jakic M 60 7.60 1 1 13 11% 2
M. Wolf M 30 6.90 1 1 6 1
R. Ribeiro F 29 6.50 5 5%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
The final score was Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Augsburg.
What did the model predict before Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Werder Bremen win, 20% to a draw, and 26% to an FC Augsburg win.