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Willem II - Waalwijk

Eredivisie May 09, 2026 16:30
#1 · 3 pts
vs
#2 · 1 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 20.8°C 💨 6 km/h · Tilburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.62%
Win
Willem II
33.84%
Draw
32.54%
Win
Waalwijk
0.78
Expected xG
0.53

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Willem II a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Waalwijk. Expected goals are 0.8 for Willem II and 0.5 for Waalwijk (total 1.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 27.0% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Willem II have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Waalwijk.

Score Matrix
↕ Willem II Waalwijk →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 27.0% 14.4% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 21.0% 11.2% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2%
3 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1%
Recent form
W Waalwijk 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 31%
L Willem II 0–1
D Roda 1–1
D Roda 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
Willem II Willem II
Attack
25
Defence
100
Form
71
Waalwijk Waalwijk
Attack
35
Defence
75
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Willem II vs Waalwijk?
The model gives Willem II a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Waalwijk win.
How many goals are expected in Willem II vs Waalwijk?
Expected goals: Willem II 0.8, Waalwijk 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Willem II vs Waalwijk?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 27.0%.