Willem II - Waalwijk
Eredivisie
May 09, 2026 16:30
Weather at kick-off
🌤️
Mainly clear
20.8°C
💨 6 km/h
· Tilburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.62%
Win
Willem II
33.84%
Draw
32.54%
Win
Waalwijk
0.78
0.53
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Willem II a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Waalwijk. Expected goals are 0.8 for Willem II and 0.5 for Waalwijk (total 1.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 27.0% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Willem II have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Waalwijk.
Score Matrix
↕ Willem II
Waalwijk →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27.0% | 14.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Willem II
Attack
25
Defence
100
Form
71
Waalwijk
Attack
35
Defence
75
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Roda
|
1 | 1 |
| 1 |
Willem II
|
1 | 3 |
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
33 | 81 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
33 | 62 |
| 2 |
Waalwijk
|
1 | 1 |
| 2 |
Waalwijk
|
1 | 0 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
33 | 58 |
| 4 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
33 | 56 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
33 | 55 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
33 | 51 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
33 | 50 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
33 | 50 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
33 | 45 |
| 10 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
33 | 43 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
33 | 39 |
| 12 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
33 | 38 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
33 | 37 |
| 14 |
Excelsior
|
33 | 35 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
33 | 34 |
| 16 |
FC Volendam
|
33 | 32 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
33 | 28 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
33 | 19 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Willem II vs Waalwijk?
The model gives Willem II a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Waalwijk win.
How many goals are expected in Willem II vs Waalwijk?
Expected goals: Willem II 0.8, Waalwijk 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Willem II vs Waalwijk?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 27.0%.