Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol
J1 League
May 16, 2026 10:00
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
19.4°C
💨 6 km/h
· Yokohama
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.68%
Win
Yokohama F. Marinos
34.82%
Draw
24.5%
Win
Kashiwa Reysol
0.89
0.57
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 40% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 24% for Kashiwa Reysol. Expected goals are 0.9 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.6 for Kashiwa Reysol (total 1.5), with a 62% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 23.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kashiwa Reysol.
Score Matrix
↕ Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23.2% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 20.7% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Yokohama F. Marinos
Attack
30
Defence
56
Form
41
Kashiwa Reysol
Attack
20
Defence
65
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
L
5 Apr 2026
0–3
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nagoya Grampus
|
16 | 31 |
| 1 |
Nagoya Grampus
|
16 | 31 |
| 1 |
Kashima
|
16 | 39 |
| 1 |
Kashima
|
16 | 39 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
15 | 28 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
16 | 31 |
| 2 |
FC Tokyo
|
16 | 35 |
| 2 |
FC Tokyo
|
16 | 35 |
| 3 |
Machida Zelvia
|
16 | 33 |
| 3 |
Gamba Osaka
|
17 | 25 |
| 3 |
Machida Zelvia
|
14 | 28 |
| 3 |
Gamba Osaka
|
17 | 25 |
| 4 |
Tokyo Verdy
|
16 | 25 |
| 4 |
Cerezo Osaka
|
16 | 25 |
| 4 |
Cerezo Osaka
|
16 | 25 |
| 4 |
Urawa
|
16 | 24 |
| 5 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
16 | 24 |
| 5 |
Urawa
|
16 | 24 |
| 5 |
Tokyo Verdy
|
15 | 24 |
| 5 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
16 | 24 |
| 6 |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
16 | 24 |
| 6 |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
16 | 24 |
| 6 |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
16 | 23 |
| 6 |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
16 | 23 |
| 7 |
Mito Hollyhock
|
16 | 18 |
| 7 |
Fagiano Okayama
|
16 | 23 |
| 7 |
Mito Hollyhock
|
16 | 18 |
| 7 |
Fagiano Okayama
|
16 | 23 |
| 8 |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
17 | 21 |
| 8 |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
16 | 17 |
| 8 |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
16 | 17 |
| 8 |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
17 | 21 |
| 9 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
16 | 14 |
| 9 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
16 | 20 |
| 9 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
15 | 20 |
| 9 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
16 | 14 |
| 10 |
JEF United Chiba
|
16 | 12 |
| 10 |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
16 | 19 |
| 10 |
JEF United Chiba
|
15 | 12 |
| 10 |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
16 | 19 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 40% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 24% for an Kashiwa Reysol win.
How many goals are expected in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Expected goals: Yokohama F. Marinos 0.9, Kashiwa Reysol 0.6 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 62%.
What is the most likely score in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 23.2%.