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Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol

J1 League May 16, 2026 10:00
#8 · 17 pts
vs
#9 · 14 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 19.4°C 💨 6 km/h · Yokohama
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.68%
Win
Yokohama F. Marinos
34.82%
Draw
24.5%
Win
Kashiwa Reysol
0.89
Expected xG
0.57

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 40% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 24% for Kashiwa Reysol. Expected goals are 0.9 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.6 for Kashiwa Reysol (total 1.5), with a 62% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 23.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kashiwa Reysol.

Score Matrix
↕ Yokohama F. Marinos Kashiwa Reysol →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 23.2% 13.2% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 20.7% 11.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3%
3 2.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1%
Recent form
D Kashima 1–1
L Machida Zelvia 2–0
D Mito Hollyhock 1–1
W JEF United Chiba 2–3
W Urawa 2–3
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 19%
W Kawasaki Frontale 1–0
L Urawa 0–1
L Tokyo Verdy 1–0
L FC Tokyo 1–3
L Kashima 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 19%
Playing profile
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
Attack
30
Defence
56
Form
41
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
Attack
20
Defence
65
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
Draw
1
Kashiwa Reysol
L 5 Apr 2026 J1 League 0–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 15 28
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 16 31
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 16 33
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 28
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
5 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 15 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 16 20
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 15 20
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 16 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 15 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 40% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 24% for an Kashiwa Reysol win.
How many goals are expected in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Expected goals: Yokohama F. Marinos 0.9, Kashiwa Reysol 0.6 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 62%.
What is the most likely score in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 23.2%.