Zamalek SC - USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
May 16, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.88%
Win
Zamalek SC
25.73%
Draw
19.39%
Win
USM Alger
1.6
0.72
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zamalek SC a 54% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 19% for USM Alger. Expected goals are 1.6 for Zamalek SC and 0.7 for USM Alger (total 2.3), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Zamalek SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for USM Alger.
Score Matrix
↕ Zamalek SC
USM Alger →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 15.8% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Zamalek SC
Attack
29
Defence
77
Form
55
USM Alger
Attack
21
Defence
75
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
L
9 May 2026
0–1
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CR Belouizdad
|
6 | 15 |
| 1 |
Wydad AC
|
6 | 15 |
| 1 |
Zamalek SC
|
6 | 11 |
| 1 |
USM Alger
|
6 | 14 |
| 2 |
Maniema Union
|
6 | 12 |
| 2 |
Olympique Safi
|
6 | 13 |
| 2 |
Otôho d'Oyo
|
6 | 9 |
| 2 |
AL Masry
|
6 | 10 |
| 3 |
Kaizer Chiefs
|
6 | 10 |
| 3 |
Azam
|
6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Singida Black Stars
|
6 | 5 |
| 3 |
Djoliba
|
6 | 4 |
| 4 |
Stellenbosch
|
6 | 5 |
| 4 |
Nairobi United
|
6 | 0 |
| 4 |
San-Pédro
|
6 | 3 |
| 4 |
ZESCO United
|
6 | 3 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zamalek SC vs USM Alger?
The model gives Zamalek SC a 54% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 19% for an USM Alger win.
How many goals are expected in Zamalek SC vs USM Alger?
Expected goals: Zamalek SC 1.6, USM Alger 0.7 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Zamalek SC vs USM Alger?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.8%.