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Zorya Luhansk - Polessya

Premier League May 16, 2026 19:00
Zorya Luhansk
#8 · 42 pts
vs
Polessya
#3 · 55 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 20.7°C 💨 9 km/h · Kyiv
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.78%
Win
Zorya Luhansk
23.81%
Draw
50.42%
Win
Polessya
1.45
Expected xG
2.15

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Polessya a 50% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Zorya Luhansk. Expected goals are 1.5 for Zorya Luhansk and 2.2 for Polessya (total 3.6), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Zorya Luhansk have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Polessya.

Score Matrix
↕ Zorya Luhansk Polessya →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 5.9% 6.3% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.0% 8.5% 9.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.2% 6.6% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.4% 3.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Recent form
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
W Oleksandria 1–2
D Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–1
W Ruh Lviv 1–2
W Veres Rivne 2–0
L Shakhtar Donetsk 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 42%
Polessya Polessya
L Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 3–2
W Oleksandria 2–1
W Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0–1
W Obolon'-Brovar 3–1
L Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 43%
Playing profile
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
Attack
43
Defence
66
Form
53
Polessya Polessya
Attack
54
Defence
76
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Zorya Luhansk
0
Draw
1
Polessya
L 30 Nov 2025 Premier League 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 28 69
2 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 28 57
3 Polessya Polessya 28 55
4 Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 28 51
5 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 28 47
6 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 28 47
7 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 28 46
8 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 28 42
9 Karpaty Karpaty 28 38
10 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 28 31
11 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 28 30
12 Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 28 28
13 Kudrivka Kudrivka 28 25
14 Ruh Lviv Ruh Lviv 28 21
15 Oleksandria Oleksandria 28 13
16 SK Poltava SK Poltava 28 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?
The model gives Zorya Luhansk a 25% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 50% for an Polessya win.
How many goals are expected in Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?
Expected goals: Zorya Luhansk 1.5, Polessya 2.2 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.2%.