Matchday 7 of 22
32%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 15 Sep 2026
Champion
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
21 (17–23)
pos. ~1.3°
|
C0 · T2
ELO 1473
|
▲1% | ||
|
18 (15–21)
pos. ~2.5°
|
C1 · T1
ELO 1512
|
▼0% | ||
|
17 (14–20)
pos. ~3.0°
|
C1 · T1
ELO 1495
|
▼0% | ||
|
16 (13–19)
pos. ~3.7°
|
C1 · T1
ELO 1489
|
· | ||
|
13 (10–16)
pos. ~5.7°
|
C2 · T0
ELO 1516
|
· | ||
|
13 (10–16)
pos. ~6.1°
|
C1 · T1
ELO 1495
|
· | ||
|
11 (9–15)
pos. ~7.3°
|
C0 · T2
ELO 1516
|
· | ||
|
12 (9–15)
pos. ~7.0°
|
C1 · T1
ELO 1489
|
· | ||
|
7 (5–11)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C1 · T1
ELO 1510
|
· | ||
|
8 (5–11)
pos. ~9.7°
|
C2 · T0
ELO 1473
|
· | ||
|
6 (4–10)
pos. ~10.6°
|
C1 · T1
ELO 1512
|
· | ||
|
5 (3–9)
pos. ~11.4°
|
C1 · T1
ELO 1510
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Liga Nacional?
For Liga Nacional, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Liga Nacional?
Accuracy for Liga Nacional is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Liga Nacional using per-league historical data.
How are Liga Nacional season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.