2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 32
May 03, 2026 13:30
L. Ulrich
(ast. A. Nollenberger)
61'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 41% win probability (draw 22%, Hertha BSC 35%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Hertha BSC.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
2
0.65
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
7
15
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
H. Bockhorn
37'
42'
D. Zeefuik
54'
J. Eitschberger
/
D. Zeefuik
⚽L. Ulrich
· ast. A. Nollenberger
61'
68'
K. Sessa
68'
S. Gronning
/
L. Schuler
69'
D. Demme
/
K. Sessa
69'
M. Krattenmacher
/
F. Reese
72'
D. Demme
A. Nollenberger
/ P. Hercher
73'
78'
J. Brekalo
J. Hugonet
81'
L. Ulrich
/ D. Stalmach
82'
85'
J. Dudziak
/
M. Winkler
M. Zukowski
/ A. Holmstrom
88'
B. Atik
/ R. Tachie
88'
L. Musonda
/ N. Pesch
89'
Pre-match prediction
41.87%
1. ←
22.87%
X
35.26%
Hertha
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg)
41.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
0.65
-0.96
1.53
0.86
-0.67
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
19
L. Musonda
89'
D
24
J. Hugonet
D
16
M. Mathisen
D
7
H. Bockhorn
D
25
S. Gnaka
M
21
Falko Michel
M
8
L. Ulrich
1 ⚽
82'
M
23
Barış Atik
88'
F
22
Mateusz Żukowski
88'
F
17
A. Nollenberger
1 👟
73'
F
Bench
11
A. Holmstrom
10'
F
6
Dariusz Stalmach
8'
M
28
M. Geschwill
D
10
Noah Pesch
9'
F
27
P. Hercher
17'
D
18
R. Tachie
10'
F
1
G
33
Michał Karbownik
D
Michał Karbownik
D
31
D
44
Linus Gechter
D
Linus Gechter
D
42
D. Zeefuik
54'
D
8
Kevin Sessa
68'
M
10
Michaël Cuisance
M
Michaël Cuisance
M
11
Fabian Reese
68'
M
Fabian Reese
68'
M
7
Josip Brekalo
M
Josip Brekalo
M
22
Marten Winkler
85'
M
Marten Winkler
85'
M
18
L. Schuler
68'
F
L. Schuler
68'
F
Bench
6
Diego Demme
22'
M
Diego Demme
22'
M
28
J. Dudziak
13'
M
J. Dudziak
13'
M
2
Julian Eitschberger
36'
D
Julian Eitschberger
36'
D
27
Niklas Kolbe
D
Niklas Kolbe
D
37
Toni Leistner
D
Toni Leistner
D
Best on the pitch
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
J. Hugonet
D · 1.
7.50
· 66 pass
H. Bockhorn
D · 1.
7.50
· 24 pass
Barış Atik
F · 1.
7.50
1 shots
· 32 pass
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.30
· 56 pass
D · Hertha
7.30
· 51 pass
1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | — | — | — | |
| L. Musonda | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Hugonet | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Mathisen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Bockhorn | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 5 | 1 | — |
| S. Gnaka | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Falko Michel | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Ulrich | M | 82 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Barış Atik | F | 88 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Żukowski | F | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Nollenberger | F | 73 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Holmstrom | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Noah Pesch | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Hercher | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Tachie | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hertha BSC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Michał Karbownik | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — | |
| Linus Gechter | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| D. Zeefuik | D | 54 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Sessa | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Michaël Cuisance | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabian Reese | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Josip Brekalo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marten Winkler | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Schuler | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Diego Demme | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Dudziak | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Julian Eitschberger | D | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
The model assigned 41% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 22% to a draw, and 35% to an Hertha BSC win.