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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 13:30
1. FC Magdeburg
#3 · 9 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Hertha BSC
#2 · 12 pts
L. Ulrich (ast. A. Nollenberger) 61'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 41% win probability (draw 22%, Hertha BSC 35%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC. In 2 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hertha BSC.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
2
0.65
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
7
15
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
H. Bockhorn
37'
42'
D. Zeefuik
54'
J. Eitschberger / D. Zeefuik ↕
⚽L. Ulrich · ast. A. Nollenberger
61'
68'
K. Sessa
68'
S. Gronning / L. Schuler ↕
69'
D. Demme / K. Sessa ↕
69'
M. Krattenmacher / F. Reese ↕
72'
D. Demme
↕ A. Nollenberger / P. Hercher
73'
78'
J. Brekalo
J. Hugonet
81'
↕ L. Ulrich / D. Stalmach
82'
85'
J. Dudziak / M. Winkler ↕
↕ M. Zukowski / A. Holmstrom
88'
↕ B. Atik / R. Tachie
88'
↕ L. Musonda / N. Pesch
89'
Pre-match prediction
41.87%
1. ←
22.87%
X
35.26%
Hertha
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 41.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.61
0.65
-0.96
Hertha
1.53
0.86
-0.67
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
2 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4 12
3 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
4 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 5 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 5 6
9 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 4 6
10 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
11 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4 5
12 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
13 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4 4
14 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
15 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
16 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
17 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4 3
Lineups
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
1
G 7.20
19 Lubambo Musonda Lubambo Musonda 89' D 7.00
24 J. Hugonet J. Hugonet D 7.50
16 M. Mathisen M. Mathisen D 7.30
7 H. Bockhorn H. Bockhorn D 7.50
25
Silas Gnaka M 6.90
21 F. Michel F. Michel M 7.00
8 L. Ulrich L. Ulrich 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.70
23 B. Atik B. Atik 88' F 7.50
22 M. Żukowski M. Żukowski 88' F 6.50
17 A. Nollenberger A. Nollenberger 1 👟 73' F 6.70
Bench
11 A. Ahl-Holmström A. Ahl-Holmström 10' F 6.70
6 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 8' M 6.70
28 Max Geschwill Max Geschwill D
10 Noah Pesch Noah Pesch 9' F 6.30
27 Philipp Hercher Philipp Hercher 17' D 6.90
18 R. Tachie R. Tachie 10' F 6.30
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.20
33 M. Karbownik M. Karbownik D 6.30
31
D 7.30
44 L. Gechter L. Gechter D 6.50
42 D. Zeefuik D. Zeefuik 54' D 6.90
8 K. Sessa K. Sessa 68' M 6.70
10 M. Cuisance M. Cuisance M 6.70
11 F. Reese F. Reese 68' M 6.60
7 J. Brekalo J. Brekalo M 6.90
22 M. Winkler M. Winkler 85' M 6.30
18 L. Schuler L. Schuler 68' F 6.50
Bench
6 Diego Demme Diego Demme 22' M 6.90
28 J. Dudziak J. Dudziak 13' M 6.70
2 J. Eitschberger J. Eitschberger 36' D 6.30
27 N. Kolbe N. Kolbe D
37 T. Leistner T. Leistner D
Best on the pitch
L. Ulrich
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
J. Hugonet
J. Hugonet
D · 1.
7.50
· 66 pass
H. Bockhorn
H. Bockhorn
D · 1.
7.50
· 24 pass
B. Atik
B. Atik
F · 1.
7.50
1 shots · 32 pass
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.30
· 56 pass
D · Hertha
7.30
· 51 pass
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 62 52% — — —
Lubambo Musonda D 89 7.00 — — — 35 32% — — —
J. Hugonet D 90 7.50 — — — 66 58% 3 1 —
M. Mathisen D 90 7.30 — — — 56 49% 2 — —
H. Bockhorn D 90 7.50 — — — 24 18% 5 1 —
Silas Gnaka M 90 6.90 — — — 37 34% — — —
F. Michel M 90 7.00 — — 1 39 30% 2 — —
L. Ulrich M 82 7.70 1 — 2 26 23% 1 — —
B. Atik F 88 7.50 — — 1 32 20% — — —
M. Żukowski F 88 6.50 — — — 7 7% — — —
A. Nollenberger F 73 6.70 — 1 — 9 9% 1 — —
A. Ahl-Holmström F 10 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 8 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
Noah Pesch F 9 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
Philipp Hercher D 17 6.90 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
R. Tachie F 10 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 32 20% — — —
M. Karbownik D 90 6.30 — — — 25 22% — — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 51 46% 2 — —
L. Gechter D 90 6.50 — — — 50 46% — — —
D. Zeefuik D 54 6.90 — — — 24 21% 1 1 —
K. Sessa M 68 6.70 — — 1 30 28% 2 1 —
M. Cuisance M 90 6.70 — — 1 53 43% 2 — —
F. Reese M 68 6.60 — — 2 12 10% — — —
J. Brekalo M 90 6.90 — — 1 38 30% 2 1 —
M. Winkler M 85 6.30 — — 2 25 20% — — —
L. Schuler F 68 6.50 — — 1 13 7% — — —
Diego Demme M 22 6.90 — — — 35 31% 1 1 —
J. Dudziak M 13 6.70 — — — 8 8% — — —
J. Eitschberger D 36 6.30 — — — 27 22% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
The model assigned 41% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 22% to a draw, and 35% to an Hertha BSC win.