← 2. Bundesliga
#12 · 39 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#6 · 51 pts
L. Ulrich (ast. A. Nollenberger) 61'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 41% win probability (draw 22%, Hertha BSC 35%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Hertha BSC.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
2
0.65
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
7
15
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
H. Bockhorn
37'
42'
D. Zeefuik
54'
J. Eitschberger / D. Zeefuik
L. Ulrich · ast. A. Nollenberger
61'
68'
K. Sessa
68'
S. Gronning / L. Schuler
69'
D. Demme / K. Sessa
69'
M. Krattenmacher / F. Reese
72'
D. Demme
A. Nollenberger / P. Hercher
73'
78'
J. Brekalo
J. Hugonet
81'
L. Ulrich / D. Stalmach
82'
85'
J. Dudziak / M. Winkler
M. Zukowski / A. Holmstrom
88'
B. Atik / R. Tachie
88'
L. Musonda / N. Pesch
89'
Pre-match prediction
41.87%
1. ←
22.87%
X
35.26%
Hertha
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 41.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.61
0.65
-0.96
Hertha
1.53
0.86
-0.67
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Lineups
1
G 7.20
19
L. Musonda 89' D 7.00
24
J. Hugonet D 7.50
16
M. Mathisen D 7.30
7
H. Bockhorn D 7.50
25
S. Gnaka M 6.90
21
Falko Michel M 7.00
8
L. Ulrich 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.70
23
Barış Atik 88' F 7.50
22
Mateusz Żukowski 88' F 6.50
17
A. Nollenberger 1 👟 73' F 6.70
Bench
11
A. Holmstrom 10' F 6.70
6
Dariusz Stalmach 8' M 6.70
28
M. Geschwill D
10
Noah Pesch 9' F 6.30
27
P. Hercher 17' D 6.90
18
R. Tachie 10' F 6.30
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.20
33 Michał Karbownik Michał Karbownik D 6.30
31
D 7.30
44 Linus Gechter Linus Gechter D 6.50
42
D. Zeefuik 54' D 6.90
8
Kevin Sessa 68' M 6.70
10 Michaël Cuisance Michaël Cuisance M 6.70
11 Fabian Reese Fabian Reese 68' M 6.60
7 Josip Brekalo Josip Brekalo M 6.90
22 Marten Winkler Marten Winkler 85' M 6.30
18 L. Schuler L. Schuler 68' F 6.50
Bench
6 Diego Demme Diego Demme 22' M 6.90
28 J. Dudziak J. Dudziak 13' M 6.70
2 Julian Eitschberger Julian Eitschberger 36' D 6.30
27 Niklas Kolbe Niklas Kolbe D
37 Toni Leistner Toni Leistner D
Best on the pitch
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
J. Hugonet
D · 1.
7.50
· 66 pass
H. Bockhorn
D · 1.
7.50
· 24 pass
Barış Atik
F · 1.
7.50
1 shots · 32 pass
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.30
· 56 pass
D · Hertha
7.30
· 51 pass
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 62 52%
L. Musonda D 89 7.00 35 32%
J. Hugonet D 90 7.50 66 58% 3 1
M. Mathisen D 90 7.30 56 49% 2
H. Bockhorn D 90 7.50 24 18% 5 1
S. Gnaka M 90 6.90 37 34%
Falko Michel M 90 7.00 1 39 30% 2
L. Ulrich M 82 7.70 1 2 26 23% 1
Barış Atik F 88 7.50 1 32 20%
Mateusz Żukowski F 88 6.50 7 7%
A. Nollenberger F 73 6.70 1 9 9% 1
A. Holmstrom F 10 6.70 3 1%
Dariusz Stalmach M 8 6.70 2 2%
Noah Pesch F 9 6.30 4 2%
P. Hercher D 17 6.90 7 4% 1
R. Tachie F 10 6.30
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 32 20%
Michał Karbownik D 90 6.30 25 22%
D 90 7.30 51 46% 2
Linus Gechter D 90 6.50 50 46%
D. Zeefuik D 54 6.90 24 21% 1 1
Kevin Sessa M 68 6.70 1 30 28% 2 1
Michaël Cuisance M 90 6.70 1 53 43% 2
Fabian Reese M 68 6.60 2 12 10%
Josip Brekalo M 90 6.90 1 38 30% 2 1
Marten Winkler M 85 6.30 2 25 20%
L. Schuler F 68 6.50 1 13 7%
Diego Demme M 22 6.90 35 31% 1 1
J. Dudziak M 13 6.70 8 8%
Julian Eitschberger D 36 6.30 27 22% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
The model assigned 41% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 22% to a draw, and 35% to an Hertha BSC win.