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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 13:30
1. FC Magdeburg
#14 · 0 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Hertha BSC
#7 · 0 pts
L. Ulrich (ast. A. Nollenberger) 61'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 41% win probability (draw 22%, Hertha BSC 35%). The final result was 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Hertha BSC.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
2
0.65
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
7
15
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
H. Bockhorn
37'
42'
D. Zeefuik
54'
J. Eitschberger / D. Zeefuik ↕
⚽L. Ulrich · ast. A. Nollenberger
61'
68'
K. Sessa
68'
S. Gronning / L. Schuler ↕
69'
D. Demme / K. Sessa ↕
69'
M. Krattenmacher / F. Reese ↕
72'
D. Demme
↕ A. Nollenberger / P. Hercher
73'
78'
J. Brekalo
J. Hugonet
81'
↕ L. Ulrich / D. Stalmach
82'
85'
J. Dudziak / M. Winkler ↕
↕ M. Zukowski / A. Holmstrom
88'
↕ B. Atik / R. Tachie
88'
↕ L. Musonda / N. Pesch
89'
Pre-match prediction
41.87%
1. ←
22.87%
X
35.26%
Hertha
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Magdeburg) 41.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.
1.61
0.65
-0.96
Hertha
1.53
0.86
-0.67
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 0 0
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 0 0
3 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 0 0
4 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0 0
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 0 0
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0 0
7 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 0 0
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 0 0
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 0 0
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0 0
11 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0 0
12 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0 0
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0 0
14 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 0 0
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 0 0
16 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 0
17 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 0 0
18 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0 0
Lineups
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
1
G 7.20
19 Lubambo Musonda Lubambo Musonda 89' D 7.00
24 Jean Hugonet Jean Hugonet D 7.50
16 M. Mathisen M. Mathisen D 7.30
7 Herbert Bockhorn Herbert Bockhorn D 7.50
25
Silas Gnaka M 6.90
21 Falko Michel Falko Michel M 7.00
8
L. Ulrich 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.70
23 B. Atik B. Atik 88' F 7.50
22 M. Żukowski M. Żukowski 88' F 6.50
17 Alexander Nollenberger Alexander Nollenberger 1 👟 73' F 6.70
Bench
11 Alexander Ahl Holmstrom Alexander Ahl Holmstrom 10' F 6.70
6 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 8' M 6.70
28 Max Geschwill Max Geschwill D
10 Noah Pesch Noah Pesch 9' F 6.30
27 Philipp Hercher Philipp Hercher 17' D 6.90
18 Richmond Tachie Richmond Tachie 10' F 6.30
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.20
33 Michał Karbownik Michał Karbownik D 6.30
31
D 7.30
44 Linus Gechter Linus Gechter D 6.50
42 D. Zeefuik D. Zeefuik 54' D 6.90
8 Kevin Sessa Kevin Sessa 68' M 6.70
10 Michaël Cuisance Michaël Cuisance M 6.70
11 F. Reese F. Reese 68' M 6.60
7 J. Brekalo J. Brekalo M 6.90
22 M. Winkler M. Winkler 85' M 6.30
18 L. Schuler L. Schuler 68' F 6.50
Bench
6 Diego Demme Diego Demme 22' M 6.90
28 J. Dudziak J. Dudziak 13' M 6.70
2 Julian Eitschberger Julian Eitschberger 36' D 6.30
27 Niklas Kolbe Niklas Kolbe D
37 T. Leistner T. Leistner D
Best on the pitch
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
Jean Hugonet
Jean Hugonet
D · 1.
7.50
· 66 pass
Herbert Bockhorn
Herbert Bockhorn
D · 1.
7.50
· 24 pass
B. Atik
B. Atik
F · 1.
7.50
1 shots · 32 pass
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.30
· 56 pass
D · Hertha
7.30
· 51 pass
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 62 52% — — —
Lubambo Musonda D 89 7.00 — — — 35 32% — — —
Jean Hugonet D 90 7.50 — — — 66 58% 3 1 —
M. Mathisen D 90 7.30 — — — 56 49% 2 — —
Herbert Bockhorn D 90 7.50 — — — 24 18% 5 1 —
Silas Gnaka M 90 6.90 — — — 37 34% — — —
Falko Michel M 90 7.00 — — 1 39 30% 2 — —
L. Ulrich M 82 7.70 1 — 2 26 23% 1 — —
B. Atik F 88 7.50 — — 1 32 20% — — —
M. Żukowski F 88 6.50 — — — 7 7% — — —
Alexander Nollenberger F 73 6.70 — 1 — 9 9% 1 — —
Alexander Ahl Holmstrom F 10 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 8 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
Noah Pesch F 9 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
Philipp Hercher D 17 6.90 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
Richmond Tachie F 10 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 32 20% — — —
Michał Karbownik D 90 6.30 — — — 25 22% — — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 51 46% 2 — —
Linus Gechter D 90 6.50 — — — 50 46% — — —
D. Zeefuik D 54 6.90 — — — 24 21% 1 1 —
Kevin Sessa M 68 6.70 — — 1 30 28% 2 1 —
Michaël Cuisance M 90 6.70 — — 1 53 43% 2 — —
F. Reese M 68 6.60 — — 2 12 10% — — —
J. Brekalo M 90 6.90 — — 1 38 30% 2 1 —
M. Winkler M 85 6.30 — — 2 25 20% — — —
L. Schuler F 68 6.50 — — 1 13 7% — — —
Diego Demme M 22 6.90 — — — 35 31% 1 1 —
J. Dudziak M 13 6.70 — — — 8 8% — — —
Julian Eitschberger D 36 6.30 — — — 27 22% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
The final score was 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
The model assigned 41% probability to a 1. FC Magdeburg win, 22% to a draw, and 35% to an Hertha BSC win.