Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 17:30

1899 Hoffenheim

#5 · 61 pts

1 – 2

Final score

FSV Mainz 05

#10 · 37 pts

F. Asllani (ast. B. Toure) 23'

13' (ast. P. Mwene) P. Tietz

79' P. Tietz

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 50% win probability (draw 21%, FSV Mainz 05 27%). The final result was 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05. In 1 previous meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FSV Mainz 05.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

7

5

Shots on target

5

1.23

Actual xG

2.16

3

Saves

4

61%

Possession

39%

7

Corners

3

15

Tackles

14

4

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

7'

Dominik Kohr

13'

ast. P. Mwene · P. Tietz⚽

⚽F. Asllani · ast. B. Toure

23'

37'

K. Potulski / D. Kohr ↕

Ozan Kabak

45'

46'

N. Veratschnig / S. Widmer ↕

Vladimír Coufal

47'

↕ F. Asllani / A. Kramaric

61'

↕ V. Coufal / L. Avdullahu

61'

75'

A. Sieb / S. Becker ↕

75'

S. Kawasaki / Lee Jae-Sung ↕

Wouter Burger

79'

79'

P. Tietz⚽

Oliver Baumann

80'

↕ A. Prass / I. Bebou

84'

↕ T. Lemperle / M. Moerstedt

87'

87'

L. Maloney / P. Nebel ↕

Pre-match prediction

50.82%

1899

21.65%

X

27.53%

FSV ←

we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05) 27.53% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

1899

2.02

1.23

-0.8

FSV

1.54

2.16

+0.62

FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26

Lineups

1899 Hoffenheim 4-1-3-2

1

O. Baumann G 7.30

13

Bernardo D 6.60

21

A. Hajdari D 6.70

5

O. Kabak D 6.90

34

V. Coufal 61' D 7.00

18

W. Burger M 6.90

22

A. Prass 84' M 7.30

11

F. Asllani 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.90

6

G. Promel M 7.00

29

B. Toure 1 👟 F 6.70

19

T. Lemperle 87' F 6.60

Bench

27 A. Kramarić 29' F 6.70

2

R. Hranac D

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

33 Daniel Batz G 7.90

31 D. Kohr 37' D 6.20

4 Stefan Posch D 6.70

21 Danny da Costa D 6.60

2 Phillipp Mwene 1 👟 M 7.20

7 Jae-sung Lee 75' M 6.20

6 Kaishu Sano M 7.50

8 Paul Nebel 87' M 6.90

30 S. Widmer 45' M 6.70

20 Phillip Tietz 2 ⚽ F 7.30

23 S. Becker 75' F 6.30

Bench

11 Armindo Sieb 15' F 6.50

48 Kacper Potulski 53' D 7.70

44 Nelson Weiper F

22 Nikolas Veratschnig 45' D 7.00

24 Sota Kawasaki 15' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

F. Asllani

M · 1899

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 26 pass

Daniel Batz

G · FSV

7.90

· 54 pass

Kacper Potulski

D · FSV

7.70

· 25 pass

Kaishu Sano

M · FSV

7.50

· 33 pass

O. Baumann

G · 1899

7.30

· 25 pass

A. Prass

M · 1899

7.30

1 shots · 30 pass

1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Baumann	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	25	21%	—	1	—
Bernardo	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	54	40%	2	—	—
A. Hajdari	D	90	6.70	—	—	2	62	54%	3	—	—
O. Kabak	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	53	40%	1	1	—
V. Coufal	D	61	7.00	—	—	1	19	10%	1	1	—
W. Burger	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	60	52%	3	1	—
A. Prass	M	84	7.30	—	—	1	30	20%	2	—	—
F. Asllani	M	61	7.90	1	—	2	26	16%	—	—	—
G. Promel	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	50	39%	1	—	—
B. Toure	F	90	6.70	—	1	—	29	24%	—	—	—
T. Lemperle	F	87	6.60	—	—	2	32	25%	2	—	—
A. Kramarić	F	29	6.70	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—

FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Daniel Batz	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	54	22%	—	—	—
D. Kohr	D	37	6.20	—	—	—	14	10%	—	1	—
Stefan Posch	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	26	21%	3	—	—
Danny da Costa	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	40	28%	—	—	—
Phillipp Mwene	M	90	7.20	—	1	—	22	17%	1	—	—
Jae-sung Lee	M	75	6.20	—	—	1	26	21%	1	—	—
Kaishu Sano	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	33	30%	4	—	—
Paul Nebel	M	87	6.90	—	—	1	14	10%	2	—	—
S. Widmer	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	8	6%	1	—	—
Phillip Tietz	F	90	7.30	2	—	4	13	8%	—	—	—
S. Becker	F	75	6.30	—	—	1	11	7%	—	—	—
Armindo Sieb	F	15	6.50	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
Kacper Potulski	D	53	7.70	—	—	—	25	24%	—	—	—
Nikolas Veratschnig	D	45	7.00	—	—	—	12	9%	2	—	—
Sota Kawasaki	M	15	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—