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#11 · 3 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#7 · 4 pts
F. Asllani (ast. B. Toure) 23'
13' (ast. P. Mwene) P. Tietz
79' P. Tietz
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 50% win probability (draw 21%, FSV Mainz 05 27%). The final result was 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05. In 1 previous meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FSV Mainz 05.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
5
1.23
Actual xG
2.16
3
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
3
15
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
Dominik Kohr
13'
ast. P. Mwene · P. Tietz
F. Asllani · ast. B. Toure
23'
37'
K. Potulski / D. Kohr
Ozan Kabak
45'
46'
N. Veratschnig / S. Widmer
Vladimír Coufal
47'
F. Asllani / A. Kramaric
61'
V. Coufal / L. Avdullahu
61'
75'
A. Sieb / S. Becker
75'
S. Kawasaki / Lee Jae-Sung
Wouter Burger
79'
79'
P. Tietz
Oliver Baumann
80'
A. Prass / I. Bebou
84'
T. Lemperle / M. Moerstedt
87'
87'
L. Maloney / P. Nebel
Pre-match prediction
50.82%
1899
21.65%
X
27.53%
FSV ←
we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05) 27.53% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1899
2.02
1.23
-0.8
FSV
1.54
2.16
+0.62
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
10 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
11 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2 3
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 2 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 4-1-3-2
1 O. Baumann O. Baumann G 7.30
13 Bernardo Bernardo D 6.60
21 A. Hajdari A. Hajdari D 6.70
5 O. Kabak O. Kabak D 6.90
34 V. Coufal V. Coufal 61' D 7.00
18 W. Burger W. Burger M 6.90
22 Alexander Prass Alexander Prass 84' M 7.30
11 F. Asllani F. Asllani 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.90
6 G. Prömel G. Prömel M 7.00
29 B. Touré B. Touré 1 👟 F 6.70
19 T. Lemperle T. Lemperle 87' F 6.60
Bench
27 A. Kramarić A. Kramarić 29' F 6.70
2 R. Hranáč R. Hranáč D
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
33 D. Batz D. Batz G 7.90
31 D. Kohr D. Kohr 37' D 6.20
4 S. Posch S. Posch D 6.70
21 D. da Costa D. da Costa D 6.60
2 P. Mwene P. Mwene 1 👟 M 7.20
7 Lee Jae-Sung Lee Jae-Sung 75' M 6.20
6 K. Sano K. Sano M 7.50
8 P. Nebel P. Nebel 87' M 6.90
30 S. Widmer S. Widmer 45' M 6.70
20 P. Tietz P. Tietz 2 ⚽ F 7.30
23 S. Becker S. Becker 75' F 6.30
Bench
11 A. Sieb A. Sieb 15' F 6.50
48 K. Potulski K. Potulski 53' D 7.70
22 N. Veratschnig N. Veratschnig 45' D 7.00
44 N. Weiper N. Weiper F
24 S. Kawasaki S. Kawasaki 15' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
F. Asllani
F. Asllani
M · 1899
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
D. Batz
D. Batz
G · FSV
7.90
· 54 pass
K. Potulski
K. Potulski
D · FSV
7.70
· 25 pass
K. Sano
K. Sano
M · FSV
7.50
· 33 pass
O. Baumann
O. Baumann
G · 1899
7.30
· 25 pass
Alexander Prass
Alexander Prass
M · 1899
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Baumann G 90 7.30 25 21% 1
Bernardo D 90 6.60 54 40% 2
A. Hajdari D 90 6.70 2 62 54% 3
O. Kabak D 90 6.90 53 40% 1 1
V. Coufal D 61 7.00 1 19 10% 1 1
W. Burger M 90 6.90 1 60 52% 3 1
Alexander Prass M 84 7.30 1 30 20% 2
F. Asllani M 61 7.90 1 2 26 16%
G. Prömel M 90 7.00 50 39% 1
B. Touré F 90 6.70 1 29 24%
T. Lemperle F 87 6.60 2 32 25% 2
A. Kramarić F 29 6.70 17 15%
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Batz G 90 7.90 54 22%
D. Kohr D 37 6.20 14 10% 1
S. Posch D 90 6.70 26 21% 3
D. da Costa D 90 6.60 40 28%
P. Mwene M 90 7.20 1 22 17% 1
Lee Jae-Sung M 75 6.20 1 26 21% 1
K. Sano M 90 7.50 33 30% 4
P. Nebel M 87 6.90 1 14 10% 2
S. Widmer M 45 6.70 8 6% 1
P. Tietz F 90 7.30 2 4 13 8%
S. Becker F 75 6.30 1 11 7%
A. Sieb F 15 6.50 6 3%
K. Potulski D 53 7.70 25 24%
N. Veratschnig D 45 7.00 12 9% 2
S. Kawasaki M 15 6.30 2 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?
The final score was 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05.
What did the model predict before 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model assigned 50% probability to a 1899 Hoffenheim win, 21% to a draw, and 27% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.