Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 33
April 11, 2026 18:00
K. Nisbet
17'
(pen.)
K. Nisbet
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 44% win probability (draw 32%, Aberdeen 23%). The final result was Aberdeen 2–0 Hibernian. In 2 previous meetings, Aberdeen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Hibernian.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
1
5
Shots on target
1
2.23
Actual xG
0.16
1
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
3
14
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
16'
G. Hanley
⚽K. Nisbet
(pen.)
17'
18'
R. Bushiri
/
J. Iredale
E. Gyamfi
45'+4
46'
A. Suto
/
D. Scarlett
52'
D. Barlaser
66'
O. Elding
T. Olusanya
/ T. Keskinen
71'
L. Cameron
/ G. Shinnie
71'
⚽K. Nisbet
75'
A. Afeez
78'
80'
K. Andrews
/
J. McGrath
80'
J. Newell
/
D. Barlaser
80'
M. Boyle
/
M. Chaiwa
S. Armstrong
/ A. Palaversa
80'
A. Afeez
/ K. Kjartansson
85'
E. Gyamfi
/ E. Bwomono
85'
Pre-match prediction
23.01%
Aberdeen ←
32.09%
X
44.9%
Hibernian
we assigned to the actual result (Aberdeen)
23.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.55
2.23
+1.68
1.21
0.16
-1.05
Aberdeen dominated by xG (2.23 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
21
D
23
Liam Morrison
D
Liam Morrison
D
22
Jack Milne
D
Jack Milne
D
77
85'
M
16
S. Armstrong
80'
M
S. Armstrong
80'
M
32
Aremu Afeez
85'
M
Aremu Afeez
85'
M
28
A. Jensen
M
25
Lyall Cameron
71'
F
Lyall Cameron
71'
F
15
Kevin Nisbet
2 ⚽
F
Kevin Nisbet
2 ⚽
F
20
Toyosi Olusanya
71'
F
Toyosi Olusanya
71'
F
Bench
4
Graeme Shinnie
19'
M
Graeme Shinnie
19'
M
27
Marko Lazetić
F
81
Topi Keskinen
19'
F
Topi Keskinen
19'
F
1
Raphael Sallinger
G
Raphael Sallinger
G
15
Jack Iredale
18'
D
Jack Iredale
18'
D
4
Grant Hanley
16'
D
Grant Hanley
16'
D
5
Warren O'Hora
D
Warren O'Hora
D
21
Jordan Obita
M
Jordan Obita
M
22
Daniel Barlaser
80'
M
Daniel Barlaser
80'
M
14
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
80'
M
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
80'
M
25
Felix Passlack
M
Felix Passlack
M
17
J. McGrath
80'
F
J. McGrath
80'
F
44
Dane Scarlett
45'
F
Dane Scarlett
45'
F
47
Owen Elding
F
Owen Elding
F
Bench
77
Ante Šuto
45'
F
Ante Šuto
45'
F
11
Joe Newell
10'
M
Joe Newell
10'
M
32
Josh Campbell
M
Josh Campbell
M
10
Martin Boyle
10'
F
Martin Boyle
10'
F
19
Nicky Cadden
M
Nicky Cadden
M
33
Rocky Bushiri
72'
D
Rocky Bushiri
72'
D
Best on the pitch
Kevin Nisbet
F · Aberdeen
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Jack Milne
D · Aberdeen
7.30
· 57 pass
D · Aberdeen
7.20
· 41 pass
Liam Morrison
D · Aberdeen
7.20
· 57 pass
S. Armstrong
M · Aberdeen
7.20
2 shots
· 45 pass
Graeme Shinnie
M · Aberdeen
7.20
· 9 pass
Aberdeen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — | |
| Liam Morrison | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Milne | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — | |
| S. Armstrong | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Aremu Afeez | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Jensen | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Lyall Cameron | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Nisbet | F | 90 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 22 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Toyosi Olusanya | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Graeme Shinnie | M | 19 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Topi Keskinen | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Jack Iredale | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Grant Hanley | D | 16 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | 1 |
| Warren O'Hora | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Obita | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Barlaser | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Passlack | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| J. McGrath | F | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Dane Scarlett | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ante Šuto | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Joe Newell | M | 10 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Boyle | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Rocky Bushiri | D | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Hibernian?
The final score was Aberdeen 2–0 Hibernian.
What did the model predict before Aberdeen vs Hibernian?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Aberdeen win, 32% to a draw, and 44% to an Hibernian win.