← Serie A
#4 · 67 pts
0 – 3
Final score
#10 · 50 pts
Model wrong — prediction AC Milan, result Udinese vince
(og) 27' D. Bartesaghi
37' (ast. N. Zaniolo) J. Ekkelenkamp
71' (ast. J. Ekkelenkamp) A. Atta

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Udinese 20%). The final result was AC Milan 0–3 Udinese. In 1 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Udinese.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
1.66
Actual xG
1.24
4
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
4
Corners
3
22
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
R. Leao
16'
27'
(og) D. Bartesaghi
37'
ast. N. Zaniolo · J. Ekkelenkamp
Z. Athekame / N. Fullkrug
46'
46'
T. Kristensen
S. Ricci / Y. Fofana
60'
66'
J. Piotrowski / N. Zaniolo
71'
ast. J. Ekkelenkamp · A. Atta
C. Pulisic / C. Nkunku
72'
L. Modric / A. Jashari
72'
76'
I. Gueye / K. Davis
R. Leao / R. Loftus-Cheek
77'
85'
O. Zarraga / A. Atta
86'
L. Miller / J. Ekkelenkamp
Pre-match prediction
53.27%
AC
26.71%
X
20.02%
Udinese ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Udinese) 20.02% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AC
1.46
1.66
+0.2
Udinese
0.78
1.24
+0.46
AC Milan dominated by xG (1.66 vs 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Lineups
AC Milan AC Milan 4-3-3
16
G 6.50
33 Davide Bartesaghi Davide Bartesaghi 1 ⚽ D 6.30
31 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović D 6.50
5 Koni De Winter Koni De Winter D 6.30
24 Zachary Athekame Zachary Athekame 45' D 6.20
12 A. Rabiot A. Rabiot M 6.90
14
L. Modric 72' M 7.00
4 Samuele Ricci Samuele Ricci 60' M 7.30
11 C. Pulišić C. Pulišić 72' F 8.30
10 Rafael Leão Rafael Leão 77' F 6.70
56 A. Saelemaekers A. Saelemaekers F 6.60
Bench
30 Ardon Jashari Ardon Jashari 20' M 6.30
18 Christopher Nkunku Christopher Nkunku 20' F 6.30
23
F. Tomori D
9 N. Füllkrug N. Füllkrug 47' F 6.30
2 Pervis Estupiñán Pervis Estupiñán D
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek Ruben Loftus-Cheek 15' M 6.30
19 Youssouf Fofana Youssouf Fofana 32' M 6.20
Udinese Udinese 3-5-2
40
G 7.20
28
D 7.30
27
C. Kabasele D 6.90
31
T. Kristensen D 7.20
11
H. Kamara M 6.50
14
A. Atta 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.30
8
Jesper Karlström M 7.20
10 N. Zaniolo N. Zaniolo 1 👟 66' M 7.00
19
K. Ehizibue M 6.30
32
J. Ekkelenkamp 1 ⚽ 1 👟 86' F 8.50
9 K. Davis K. Davis 76' F 6.70
Bench
18
A. Buksa F
22
B. Mlacic D
7
I. Gueye 16' F 6.20
24
J. Piotrowski 26' M 6.90
38
L. Miller 6' M
6
O. Zarraga 7' M
Best on the pitch
J. Ekkelenkamp
F · Udinese
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 28 pass
C. Pulišić
C. Pulišić
F · AC
8.30
1 shots · 40 pass
A. Atta
M · Udinese
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
Samuele Ricci
Samuele Ricci
M · AC
7.30
· 35 pass
D · Udinese
7.30
· 46 pass
Jesper Karlström
M · Udinese
7.20
1 shots · 40 pass
AC Milan AC Milan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 6.50 22 20%
Davide Bartesaghi D 92 6.30 1 46 43% 2
S. Pavlović D 92 6.50 1 71 66% 3
Koni De Winter D 92 6.30 65 58% 2
Zachary Athekame D 45 6.20 22 18%
A. Rabiot M 92 6.90 1 54 46% 4
L. Modric M 72 7.00 1 70 63% 2
Samuele Ricci M 60 7.30 35 32% 2
C. Pulišić F 72 8.30 1 40 33% 2
Rafael Leão F 77 6.70 4 31 27% 1 1
A. Saelemaekers F 92 6.60 1 37 34% 2
Ardon Jashari M 20 6.30 13 10%
Christopher Nkunku F 20 6.30 11 11%
N. Füllkrug F 47 6.30 1 9 7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek M 15 6.30 3 1% 1
Youssouf Fofana M 32 6.20 1 15 12% 1
Udinese Udinese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 7.20 26 15%
D 92 7.30 46 41% 4
C. Kabasele D 92 6.90 19 17% 1
T. Kristensen D 92 7.20 27 19% 3 1
H. Kamara M 92 6.50 1 35 27%
A. Atta M 85 7.30 1 1 41 32% 2
Jesper Karlström M 92 7.20 1 40 38% 1
N. Zaniolo M 66 7.00 1 2 19 16% 2
K. Ehizibue M 92 6.30 13 10% 2
J. Ekkelenkamp F 86 8.50 1 1 2 28 25% 3
K. Davis F 76 6.70 2 13 11%
I. Gueye F 16 6.20 1 5 4%
J. Piotrowski M 26 6.90 14 13% 2
L. Miller M 6 1 1%
O. Zarraga M 7 1 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Milan vs Udinese?
The final score was AC Milan 0–3 Udinese.
What did the model predict before AC Milan vs Udinese?
The model assigned 53% probability to a AC Milan win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Udinese win.