✗Model wrong — prediction AC Milan, result Udinese wins
(og)
27'
D. Bartesaghi
37'
(ast. N. Zaniolo)
J. Ekkelenkamp
71'
(ast. J. Ekkelenkamp)
A. Atta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Udinese 20%). The final result was AC Milan 0–3 Udinese. In 1 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Udinese.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
1.66
Actual xG
1.24
4
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
4
Corners
3
22
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
R. Leao
16'
27'
(og)
D. Bartesaghi⚽
37'
ast. N. Zaniolo ·
J. Ekkelenkamp⚽
Z. Athekame
/ N. Fullkrug
46'
46'
T. Kristensen
S. Ricci
/ Y. Fofana
60'
66'
J. Piotrowski
/
N. Zaniolo
71'
ast. J. Ekkelenkamp ·
A. Atta⚽
C. Pulisic
/ C. Nkunku
72'
L. Modric
/ A. Jashari
72'
76'
I. Gueye
/
K. Davis
R. Leao
/ R. Loftus-Cheek
77'
85'
O. Zarraga
/
A. Atta
86'
L. Miller
/
J. Ekkelenkamp
Pre-match prediction
53.27%
AC
26.71%
X
20.02%
Udinese ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Udinese)
20.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
1.66
+0.2
0.78
1.24
+0.46
AC Milan dominated by xG (1.66 vs 1.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
G
33
Davide Bartesaghi
1 ⚽
D
Davide Bartesaghi
1 ⚽
D
31
S. Pavlović
D
S. Pavlović
D
5
K. De Winter
D
K. De Winter
D
24
Z. Athekame
45'
D
Z. Athekame
45'
D
12
A. Rabiot
M
A. Rabiot
M
14
L. Modrić
72'
M
L. Modrić
72'
M
4
S. Ricci
60'
M
S. Ricci
60'
M
11
C. Pulišić
72'
F
C. Pulišić
72'
F
10
Rafael Leão
77'
F
Rafael Leão
77'
F
56
A. Saelemaekers
F
A. Saelemaekers
F
Bench
30
A. Jashari
20'
M
A. Jashari
20'
M
18
C. Nkunku
20'
F
C. Nkunku
20'
F
23
F. Tomori
D
F. Tomori
D
9
N. Füllkrug
47'
F
N. Füllkrug
47'
F
2
Pervis Estupiñán
D
Pervis Estupiñán
D
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
15'
M
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
15'
M
19
Y. Fofana
32'
M
Y. Fofana
32'
M
40
G
28
D
27
Christian Kabasele
D
Christian Kabasele
D
31
Thomas Kristensen
D
Thomas Kristensen
D
11
H. Kamara
M
H. Kamara
M
14
Arthur Atta
1 ⚽
85'
M
Arthur Atta
1 ⚽
85'
M
8
J. Karlström
M
J. Karlström
M
10
Nicolò Zaniolo
1 👟
66'
M
Nicolò Zaniolo
1 👟
66'
M
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
M
Kingsley Ehizibue
M
32
J. Ekkelenkamp
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
F
J. Ekkelenkamp
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
F
9
K. Davis
76'
F
K. Davis
76'
F
Bench
18
A. Buksa
F
A. Buksa
F
22
Branimir Mlačić
D
Branimir Mlačić
D
7
Idrissa Gueye
16'
F
Idrissa Gueye
16'
F
24
J. Piotrowski
26'
M
J. Piotrowski
26'
M
38
L. Miller
6'
M
L. Miller
6'
M
6
Oier Zarraga
7'
M
Oier Zarraga
7'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Ekkelenkamp
F · Udinese
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
C. Pulišić
F · AC
8.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
Arthur Atta
M · Udinese
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
S. Ricci
M · AC
7.30
· 35 pass
D · Udinese
7.30
· 46 pass
J. Karlström
M · Udinese
7.20
1 shots
· 40 pass
AC Milan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Davide Bartesaghi | D | 92 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 46 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pavlović | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| K. De Winter | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Athekame | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Modrić | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Ricci | M | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | F | 72 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 31 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Saelemaekers | F | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Jashari | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Nkunku | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Füllkrug | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Fofana | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 4 | — | — | |
| Christian Kabasele | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Kristensen | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Atta | M | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Karlström | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolò Zaniolo | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ekkelenkamp | F | 86 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Davis | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Gueye | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Piotrowski | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Miller | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Milan vs Udinese?
The final score was AC Milan 0–3 Udinese.
What did the model predict before AC Milan vs Udinese?
The model assigned 53% probability to a AC Milan win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Udinese win.