✗Model wrong — prediction AC Milan, result Udinese wins
(og)
27'
D. Bartesaghi
37'
(ast. N. Zaniolo)
J. Ekkelenkamp
71'
(ast. J. Ekkelenkamp)
A. Atta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Udinese 20%). The final result was AC Milan 0–3 Udinese. In 1 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Udinese.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
1.66
Actual xG
1.24
4
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
4
Corners
3
22
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
R. Leao
16'
27'
(og)
D. Bartesaghi⚽
37'
ast. N. Zaniolo ·
J. Ekkelenkamp⚽
Z. Athekame
/ N. Fullkrug
46'
46'
T. Kristensen
S. Ricci
/ Y. Fofana
60'
66'
J. Piotrowski
/
N. Zaniolo
71'
ast. J. Ekkelenkamp ·
A. Atta⚽
C. Pulisic
/ C. Nkunku
72'
L. Modric
/ A. Jashari
72'
76'
I. Gueye
/
K. Davis
R. Leao
/ R. Loftus-Cheek
77'
85'
O. Zarraga
/
A. Atta
86'
L. Miller
/
J. Ekkelenkamp
Pre-match prediction
53.27%
AC
26.71%
X
20.02%
Udinese ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Udinese)
20.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
1.66
+0.2
0.78
1.24
+0.46
AC Milan dominated by xG (1.66 vs 1.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
G
33
Davide Bartesaghi
1 ⚽
D
Davide Bartesaghi
1 ⚽
D
31
S. Pavlović
D
S. Pavlović
D
5
Koni De Winter
D
Koni De Winter
D
24
Z. Athekame
45'
D
Z. Athekame
45'
D
12
Adrien Rabiot
M
Adrien Rabiot
M
14
Luka Modrić
72'
M
Luka Modrić
72'
M
4
Samuele Ricci
60'
M
Samuele Ricci
60'
M
11
C. Pulišić
72'
F
C. Pulišić
72'
F
10
Rafael Leão
77'
F
Rafael Leão
77'
F
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
F
Alexis Saelemaekers
F
Bench
30
Ardon Jashari
20'
M
Ardon Jashari
20'
M
18
Christopher Nkunku
20'
F
Christopher Nkunku
20'
F
23
F. Tomori
D
F. Tomori
D
9
N. Füllkrug
47'
F
N. Füllkrug
47'
F
2
P. Estupiñán
D
P. Estupiñán
D
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
15'
M
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
15'
M
19
Youssouf Fofana
32'
M
Youssouf Fofana
32'
M
40
G
28
D
27
Christian Kabasele
D
Christian Kabasele
D
31
Thomas Kristensen
D
Thomas Kristensen
D
11
H. Kamara
M
H. Kamara
M
14
Arthur Atta
1 ⚽
85'
M
Arthur Atta
1 ⚽
85'
M
8
J. Karlström
M
J. Karlström
M
10
N. Zaniolo
1 👟
66'
M
N. Zaniolo
1 👟
66'
M
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
M
Kingsley Ehizibue
M
32
J. Ekkelenkamp
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
F
9
K. Davis
76'
F
K. Davis
76'
F
Bench
18
Adam Buksa
F
Adam Buksa
F
22
Branimir Mlačić
D
Branimir Mlačić
D
7
Idrissa Gueye
16'
F
Idrissa Gueye
16'
F
24
Jakub Piotrowski
26'
M
38
Lennon Miller
6'
M
Lennon Miller
6'
M
6
Oier Zarraga
7'
M
Oier Zarraga
7'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Ekkelenkamp
F · Udinese
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
C. Pulišić
F · AC
8.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
Arthur Atta
M · Udinese
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
Samuele Ricci
M · AC
7.30
· 35 pass
D · Udinese
7.30
· 46 pass
J. Karlström
M · Udinese
7.20
1 shots
· 40 pass
AC Milan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Davide Bartesaghi | D | 92 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 46 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pavlović | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| Koni De Winter | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Athekame | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Adrien Rabiot | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| Luka Modrić | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| Samuele Ricci | M | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | F | 72 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 31 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | F | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Ardon Jashari | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Christopher Nkunku | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Füllkrug | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Youssouf Fofana | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 4 | — | — | |
| Christian Kabasele | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Kristensen | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Atta | M | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Karlström | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Zaniolo | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ekkelenkamp | F | 86 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Davis | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Gueye | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Piotrowski | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Lennon Miller | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AC Milan vs Udinese?
The final score was AC Milan 0–3 Udinese.
What did the model predict before AC Milan vs Udinese?
The model assigned 53% probability to a AC Milan win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Udinese win.