Adelaide United - Auckland

A-League Men May 15, 2026 11:35

Adelaide United

#2 · 43 pts

11:35

vs

Auckland

#3 · 42 pts

Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 18.5°C 💨 19 km/h 🌧️ 59% · Adelaide

⚡ Pre-match analysis

62.34%

Win

Adelaide United

18.76%

Draw

18.9%

Win

Auckland

2.45

Expected xG

1.1

Model prediction

Adelaide United

62.34%

Probability

50.0%

1X2 accuracy · 4 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Adelaide United a 62% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Auckland. Expected goals are 2.5 for Adelaide United and 1.1 for Auckland (total 3.6), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.5% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Adelaide United have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Auckland.

Score Matrix

↕ Adelaide United Auckland →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2.9%	3.2%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%	—
1	7.0%	7.7%	4.3%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
2	8.6%	9.5%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
3	7.0%	7.7%	4.3%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	4.3%	4.7%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
5	2.1%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	—

Recent form

Adelaide United

D Auckland 1–1

W Melbourne City 1–2

W Macarthur 3–1

D Newcastle Jets 1–1

D Auckland 1–1

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 20%

Auckland

D Adelaide United 1–1

D Melbourne City 1–1

D Sydney 2–2

L Central Coast Mariners 0–1

D Melbourne Victory 2–2

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%

Playing profile

Adelaide United

Attack

53

Defence

69

Form

58

Auckland

Attack

35

Defence

58

Form

47

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0

Adelaide United

2

Draw

1

Auckland

D 9 May 2026 A-League Men 1–1

D 3 Apr 2026 A-League Men 1–1

L 1 Nov 2025 A-League Men 1–2

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	48
2	Adelaide United	26	43
3	Auckland	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	40
5	Sydney	26	39
6	Melbourne City	26	38
7	Macarthur	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	32
10	Perth Glory	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	21