✗Model wrong — prediction Adelaide United, result Auckland wins
44'
(ast. L. Brook)
J. Girdwood-Reich
(pen.)
57'
S. Cosgrove
86'
(ast. J. Randall)
L. Rogerson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Adelaide United a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Auckland 18%). The final result was Adelaide United 0–3 Auckland. In 3 previous meetings, Adelaide United have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Auckland.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
5
2
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
12
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
H. Sakai
Anselmo
/ L. Jovanovic
24'
44'
ast. L. Brook ·
J. Girdwood-Reich⚽
57'
(pen.)
S. Cosgrove⚽
65'
L. Verstraete
R. Kitto
/ C. Goodwin
70'
B. Burkitt
/ J. Muniz
70'
76'
L. Rogerson
/
L. Brook
76'
F. De Vries
/
C. Elliot
J. Barnett
/ H. Crawford
80'
84'
L. Gillion
/
S. Cosgrove
86'
ast. J. Randall ·
L. Rogerson⚽
E. Alagich
90'+4
90'
L. Vicelich
/
H. Sakai
90'
V. Fitzharris
/
J. Randall
Pre-match prediction
62.34%
Adelaide
18.76%
X
18.9%
Auckland ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Auckland)
18.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.45
—
—
1.10
—
—
Lineups
22
Joshua Smits
G
Joshua Smits
G
7
Ryan Kitto
70'
D
Ryan Kitto
70'
D
4
Panagiotis Kikianis
D
Panagiotis Kikianis
D
3
Bart Vriends
D
14
J. Barnett
80'
D
J. Barnett
80'
D
55
E. Alagich
M
E. Alagich
M
44
Ryan White
M
Ryan White
M
19
Y. Dukuly
M
Y. Dukuly
M
87
Anselmo
24'
M
Anselmo
24'
M
12
Jonny Yull
M
Jonny Yull
M
35
Brody Burkitt
70'
F
Brody Burkitt
70'
F
Bench
11
C. Goodwin
20'
F
C. Goodwin
20'
F
40
Ethan Cox
G
Ethan Cox
G
58
Harry Crawford
10'
F
Harry Crawford
10'
F
10
Juan Muñiz
20'
M
Juan Muñiz
20'
M
23
L. Đuzel
M
L. Đuzel
M
9
L. Jovanović
66'
F
L. Jovanović
66'
F
52
Sotiri Phillis
D
Sotiri Phillis
D
1
Michael Woud
G
Michael Woud
G
17
Callan Elliot
76'
D
Callan Elliot
76'
D
4
Nando Pijnaker
D
Nando Pijnaker
D
23
D. Hall
D
D. Hall
D
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
1 ⚽
D
J. Girdwood-Reich
1 ⚽
D
2
Hiroki Sakai
89'
D
Hiroki Sakai
89'
D
21
J. Randall
1 👟
89'
M
J. Randall
1 👟
89'
M
7
Cameron Howieson
M
Cameron Howieson
M
6
L. Verstraete
M
L. Verstraete
M
77
Lachlan Brook
1 👟
76'
M
Lachlan Brook
1 👟
76'
M
9
Sam Cosgrove
1 ⚽
84'
F
Sam Cosgrove
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
15
F. de Vries
14'
D
F. de Vries
14'
D
18
Finn McKenlay
M
Finn McKenlay
M
12
James Hilton
G
James Hilton
G
14
Liam Gillion
13'
F
Liam Gillion
13'
F
27
Logan Rogerson
1 ⚽
14'
F
Logan Rogerson
1 ⚽
14'
F
52
Luka Vicelich
1'
D
Luka Vicelich
1'
D
57
Van Fitzharris
1'
M
Van Fitzharris
1'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Girdwood-Reich
D · Auckland
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
D. Hall
D · Auckland
7.70
· 20 pass
Nando Pijnaker
D · Auckland
7.70
· 34 pass
L. Verstraete
M · Auckland
7.50
· 34 pass
Sam Cosgrove
F · Auckland
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
J. Randall
M · Auckland
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
Adelaide United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Smits | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Kitto | D | 70 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Panagiotis Kikianis | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Bart Vriends | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Barnett | D | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Alagich | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ryan White | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Dukuly | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Anselmo | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonny Yull | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Brody Burkitt | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Goodwin | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Harry Crawford | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Juan Muñiz | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Jovanović | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Auckland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Woud | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Callan Elliot | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Nando Pijnaker | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hall | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Girdwood-Reich | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Hiroki Sakai | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Randall | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Cameron Howieson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Verstraete | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Lachlan Brook | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Sam Cosgrove | F | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F. de Vries | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Liam Gillion | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Logan Rogerson | F | 14 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luka Vicelich | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Van Fitzharris | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Auckland?
The final score was Adelaide United 0–3 Auckland.
What did the model predict before Adelaide United vs Auckland?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Adelaide United win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Auckland win.