✗Model wrong — prediction Adelaide United, result Auckland wins
44'
(ast. L. Brook)
J. Girdwood-Reich
(pen.)
57'
S. Cosgrove
86'
(ast. J. Randall)
L. Rogerson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Adelaide United a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Auckland 18%). The final result was Adelaide United 0–3 Auckland. In 3 previous meetings, Adelaide United have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Auckland.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
5
2
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
12
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
H. Sakai
Anselmo
/ L. Jovanovic
24'
44'
ast. L. Brook ·
J. Girdwood-Reich⚽
57'
(pen.)
S. Cosgrove⚽
65'
L. Verstraete
R. Kitto
/ C. Goodwin
70'
B. Burkitt
/ J. Muniz
70'
76'
L. Rogerson
/
L. Brook
76'
F. De Vries
/
C. Elliot
J. Barnett
/ H. Crawford
80'
84'
L. Gillion
/
S. Cosgrove
86'
ast. J. Randall ·
L. Rogerson⚽
E. Alagich
90'+4
90'
L. Vicelich
/
H. Sakai
90'
V. Fitzharris
/
J. Randall
Pre-match prediction
62.34%
Adelaide
18.76%
X
18.9%
Auckland ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Auckland)
18.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.45
—
—
1.10
—
—
Lineups
22
Joshua Smits
G
7
Ryan Kitto
70'
D
Ryan Kitto
70'
D
4
Panagiotis Kikianis
D
3
Bart Vriends
D
14
Jay Barnett
80'
D
55
Ethan Alagich
M
44
Ryan White
M
Ryan White
M
19
Yaya Dukuly
M
Yaya Dukuly
M
87
Anselmo
24'
M
12
Jonny Yull
M
35
Brody Burkitt
70'
F
Bench
11
Craig Goodwin
20'
F
40
Ethan Cox
G
58
Harry Crawford
10'
F
10
Juan Muñiz
20'
M
9
L. Jovanović
66'
F
L. Jovanović
66'
F
23
Luke Duzel
M
52
Sotiri Phillis
D
Sotiri Phillis
D
1
Michael Woud
G
Michael Woud
G
17
Callan Elliot
76'
D
Callan Elliot
76'
D
4
Nando Pijnaker
D
Nando Pijnaker
D
23
D. Hall
D
D. Hall
D
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
1 ⚽
D
J. Girdwood-Reich
1 ⚽
D
2
Hiroki Sakai
89'
D
Hiroki Sakai
89'
D
21
J. Randall
1 👟
89'
M
J. Randall
1 👟
89'
M
7
Cameron Howieson
M
Cameron Howieson
M
6
L. Verstraete
M
L. Verstraete
M
77
L. Brook
1 👟
76'
M
L. Brook
1 👟
76'
M
9
S. Cosgrove
1 ⚽
84'
F
S. Cosgrove
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
15
F. de Vries
14'
D
F. de Vries
14'
D
18
Finn McKenlay
M
Finn McKenlay
M
57
Fitzharris Van
1'
M
Fitzharris Van
1'
M
12
James Hilton
G
James Hilton
G
14
Liam Gillion
13'
F
Liam Gillion
13'
F
27
L. Rogerson
1 ⚽
14'
F
L. Rogerson
1 ⚽
14'
F
52
Luka Vicelich
1'
D
Luka Vicelich
1'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Girdwood-Reich
D · Auckland
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
D. Hall
D · Auckland
7.70
· 20 pass
Nando Pijnaker
D · Auckland
7.70
· 34 pass
L. Verstraete
M · Auckland
7.50
· 34 pass
S. Cosgrove
F · Auckland
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
J. Randall
M · Auckland
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
Adelaide United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Smits | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Kitto | D | 70 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Panagiotis Kikianis | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Bart Vriends | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Jay Barnett | D | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Ethan Alagich | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ryan White | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Yaya Dukuly | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Anselmo | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonny Yull | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Brody Burkitt | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Craig Goodwin | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Harry Crawford | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Juan Muñiz | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Jovanović | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Auckland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Woud | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Callan Elliot | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Nando Pijnaker | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hall | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Girdwood-Reich | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Hiroki Sakai | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Randall | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Cameron Howieson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Verstraete | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 6 | 1 | — |
| L. Brook | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Cosgrove | F | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F. de Vries | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Fitzharris Van | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Gillion | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Rogerson | F | 14 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luka Vicelich | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Auckland?
The final score was Adelaide United 0–3 Auckland.
What did the model predict before Adelaide United vs Auckland?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Adelaide United win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Auckland win.