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Super League · Championship Group - 2 April 19, 2026 19:00
AEK Athens FC
#1 · 71 pts
3 – 0
Final score
PAOK
#3 · 63 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AEK Athens FC
T. Kedziora 36' (og)
A. Koita (ast. O. Pineda) 73'
O. Pineda 80'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 57% win probability (draw 22%, PAOK 19%). The final result was AEK Athens FC 3–0 PAOK. In 3 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for PAOK.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
2.37
Actual xG
0.63
0
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
6
Corners
3
19
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
4'
J. Sanchez
M. Gacinovic
30'
⚽T. Kedziora (og)
36'
45'
46'
G. Michailidis / D. Lovren ↕
46'
J. Kenny / J. Sanchez ↕
47'
C. Zafeiris
51'
G. Konstantelias
↕ M. Gacinovic / A. Koita
56'
↕ J. Penrice / S. Pilios
56'
58'
M. Camara / C. Zafeiris ↕
58'
A. Zivkovic / D. Chatsidis ↕
↕ R. Pereyra / Joao Mario
67'
⚽A. Koita · ast. O. Pineda
73'
⚽O. Pineda
80'
82'
D. Pelkas / Taison ↕
↕ Zini / D. Kutesa
85'
Pre-match prediction
57.96%
AEK ←
22.69%
X
19.35%
PAOK
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AEK Athens FC) 57.96% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AEK
2.16
2.37
+0.21
PAOK
1.02
0.63
-0.39
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.37 vs 0.63). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atromitos Atromitos 34 43
1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 31 31
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 31 71
2 Kifisia Kifisia 34 37
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 31 65
2 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 31 28
3 Panetolikos Panetolikos 34 35
3 OFI OFI 31 20
3 PAOK PAOK 31 63
4 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 34 32
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 31 51
4 Volos NFC Volos NFC 31 17
5 Panserraikos Panserraikos 34 28
6 Larisa Larisa 34 27
Lineups
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 4-4-2
1
G 6.90
29 James Penrice James Penrice 56' D 6.90
44 Filipe Relvas Filipe Relvas D 7.50
2
D 6.70
12 L. Rota L. Rota D 6.20
37 Roberto Pereyra Roberto Pereyra 67' M 7.30
13 Orbelín Pineda Orbelín Pineda 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.20
18 R. Marin R. Marin M 7.20
8
M. Gacinovic 56' M 6.30
25 Barnabás Varga Barnabás Varga F 7.00
90 Zini Zini 86' F 6.20
Bench
11 Aboubakary Koita Aboubakary Koita 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.30
7 Dereck Kutesa Dereck Kutesa 9' M 6.50
21 Domagoj Vida Domagoj Vida D
10 João Mário João Mário 23' M 6.30
9 Luka Jović Luka Jović F
15 Martin Georgiev Martin Georgiev D
3 Stavros Pilios Stavros Pilios 34' D 6.60
PAOK PAOK 4-4-2
99
G 7.30
21
D 6.60
6
D. Lovren 45' D 7.00
16 Tomasz Kędziora Tomasz Kędziora 1 ⚽ D 6.30
35 J. Sánchez J. Sánchez 45' D 6.00
11 Taison Taison 82' M 6.70
20 Christos Zafeiris Christos Zafeiris 58' M 6.70
27
M 6.30
52 Dimitrios Chatsidis Dimitrios Chatsidis 58' M 6.30
65 Giannis Konstantelias Giannis Konstantelias F 7.20
19 Alexander Jeremejeff Alexander Jeremejeff F 6.90
Bench
14 Andrija Živković Andrija Živković 32' F 6.90
8 Soualiho Meïté Soualiho Meïté M
Best on the pitch
Orbelín Pineda
Orbelín Pineda
M · AEK
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 27 pass
Filipe Relvas
Filipe Relvas
D · AEK
7.50
· 36 pass
Aboubakary Koita
Aboubakary Koita
F · AEK
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 5 pass
Roberto Pereyra
Roberto Pereyra
M · AEK
7.30
1 shots · 18 pass
G · PAOK
7.30
· 38 pass
Giannis Konstantelias
Giannis Konstantelias
F · PAOK
7.20
· 25 pass
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 25 14% — — —
James Penrice D 56 6.90 — — — 22 17% — — —
Filipe Relvas D 90 7.50 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
D 90 6.70 — — 1 21 19% — — —
L. Rota D 90 6.20 — — 1 17 14% 3 — —
Roberto Pereyra M 67 7.30 — — 1 18 15% 1 — —
Orbelín Pineda M 90 9.20 1 1 3 27 25% 7 — —
R. Marin M 90 7.20 — — 1 28 22% 3 — —
M. Gacinovic M 56 6.30 — — — 12 9% 1 1 —
Barnabás Varga F 90 7.00 — — 2 30 23% — — —
Zini F 86 6.20 — — 2 12 9% 3 — —
Aboubakary Koita F 34 7.30 1 — 3 5 2% — — —
Dereck Kutesa M 9 6.50 — — — — — — — —
João Mário M 23 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Stavros Pilios D 34 6.60 — — — 6 3% — — —
PAOK PAOK — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 38 31% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 49 37% 5 — —
D. Lovren D 45 7.00 — — — 29 25% — — —
Tomasz Kędziora D 90 6.30 1 — — 48 45% 2 — —
J. Sánchez D 45 6.00 — — — 15 14% 1 1 —
Taison M 82 6.70 — — — 34 30% — — —
Christos Zafeiris M 58 6.70 — — — 22 15% 3 1 —
M 90 6.30 — — 2 41 34% 3 — —
Dimitrios Chatsidis M 58 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Giannis Konstantelias F 90 7.20 — — — 25 19% 3 1 —
Alexander Jeremejeff F 90 6.90 — — 1 20 15% 2 — —
Andrija Živković F 32 6.90 — — — 15 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
The final score was AEK Athens FC 3–0 PAOK.
What did the model predict before AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
The model assigned 57% probability to a AEK Athens FC win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an PAOK win.