Super League
· Championship Group - 2
April 19, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction AEK Athens FC
T. Kedziora
36'
(og)
A. Koita
(ast. O. Pineda)
73'
O. Pineda
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 57% win probability (draw 22%, PAOK 19%). The final result was AEK Athens FC 3–0 PAOK. In 3 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for PAOK.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
2.37
Actual xG
0.63
0
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
6
Corners
3
19
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
4'
J. Sanchez
M. Gacinovic
30'
⚽T. Kedziora
(og)
36'
45'
46'
G. Michailidis
/
D. Lovren
46'
J. Kenny
/
J. Sanchez
47'
C. Zafeiris
51'
G. Konstantelias
M. Gacinovic
/ A. Koita
56'
J. Penrice
/ S. Pilios
56'
58'
M. Camara
/
C. Zafeiris
58'
A. Zivkovic
/
D. Chatsidis
R. Pereyra
/ Joao Mario
67'
⚽A. Koita
· ast. O. Pineda
73'
⚽O. Pineda
80'
82'
D. Pelkas
/
Taison
Zini
/ D. Kutesa
85'
Pre-match prediction
57.96%
AEK ←
22.69%
X
19.35%
PAOK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AEK Athens FC)
57.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
2.37
+0.21
1.02
0.63
-0.39
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.37 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
29
J. Penrice
56'
D
J. Penrice
56'
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
2
D
12
L. Rota
D
L. Rota
D
37
Roberto Pereyra
67'
M
Roberto Pereyra
67'
M
13
O. Pineda
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
O. Pineda
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
18
R. Marin
M
R. Marin
M
8
M. Gaćinović
56'
M
M. Gaćinović
56'
M
25
B. Varga
F
B. Varga
F
90
Zini
86'
F
Zini
86'
F
Bench
11
A. Koita
1 ⚽
34'
F
A. Koita
1 ⚽
34'
F
7
Dereck Kutesa
9'
M
Dereck Kutesa
9'
M
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
10
João Mário
23'
M
João Mário
23'
M
9
L. Jović
F
L. Jović
F
15
M. Todorski
D
M. Todorski
D
3
S. Pilios
34'
D
S. Pilios
34'
D
99
G
21
D
6
Dejan Lovren
45'
D
Dejan Lovren
45'
D
16
Tomasz Kędziora
1 ⚽
D
35
J. Sánchez
45'
D
J. Sánchez
45'
D
11
Taison
82'
M
Taison
82'
M
20
C. Zafeiris
58'
M
C. Zafeiris
58'
M
27
M
52
D. Chatsidis
58'
M
D. Chatsidis
58'
M
65
G. Konstantelias
F
G. Konstantelias
F
19
Alexander Jeremejeff
F
Bench
14
A. Živković
32'
F
A. Živković
32'
F
8
S. Meïté
M
S. Meïté
M
Best on the pitch
O. Pineda
M · AEK
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 27 pass
Filipe Relvas
D · AEK
7.50
· 36 pass
A. Koita
F · AEK
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 5 pass
Roberto Pereyra
M · AEK
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
G · PAOK
7.30
· 38 pass
G. Konstantelias
F · PAOK
7.20
· 25 pass
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| J. Penrice | D | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| L. Rota | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Roberto Pereyra | M | 67 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Pineda | M | 90 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 25% | 7 | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Gaćinović | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Varga | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Zini | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Koita | F | 34 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Dereck Kutesa | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Pilios | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
PAOK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 37% | 5 | — | — | |
| Dejan Lovren | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Tomasz Kędziora | D | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 48 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Sánchez | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Taison | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| C. Zafeiris | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 34% | 3 | — | — | |
| D. Chatsidis | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Konstantelias | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alexander Jeremejeff | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Živković | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
The final score was AEK Athens FC 3–0 PAOK.
What did the model predict before AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
The model assigned 57% probability to a AEK Athens FC win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an PAOK win.