Super League
· Championship Group - 2
April 19, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction AEK Athens FC
T. Kedziora
36'
(og)
A. Koita
(ast. O. Pineda)
73'
O. Pineda
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 57% win probability (draw 22%, PAOK 19%). The final result was AEK Athens FC 3–0 PAOK. In 3 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for PAOK.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
2.37
Actual xG
0.63
0
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
6
Corners
3
19
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
4'
J. Sanchez
M. Gacinovic
30'
⚽T. Kedziora
(og)
36'
45'
46'
G. Michailidis
/
D. Lovren
46'
J. Kenny
/
J. Sanchez
47'
C. Zafeiris
51'
G. Konstantelias
M. Gacinovic
/ A. Koita
56'
J. Penrice
/ S. Pilios
56'
58'
M. Camara
/
C. Zafeiris
58'
A. Zivkovic
/
D. Chatsidis
R. Pereyra
/ Joao Mario
67'
⚽A. Koita
· ast. O. Pineda
73'
⚽O. Pineda
80'
82'
D. Pelkas
/
Taison
Zini
/ D. Kutesa
85'
Pre-match prediction
57.96%
AEK ←
22.69%
X
19.35%
PAOK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AEK Athens FC)
57.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
2.37
+0.21
1.02
0.63
-0.39
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.37 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
29
James Penrice
56'
D
James Penrice
56'
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
2
D
12
L. Rota
D
L. Rota
D
37
Roberto Pereyra
67'
M
Roberto Pereyra
67'
M
13
Orbelín Pineda
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Orbelín Pineda
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
18
R. Marin
M
R. Marin
M
8
M. Gacinovic
56'
M
25
B. Varga
F
B. Varga
F
90
Zini
86'
F
Zini
86'
F
Bench
11
A. Koita
1 ⚽
34'
F
A. Koita
1 ⚽
34'
F
7
D. Kutesa
9'
M
D. Kutesa
9'
M
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
10
João Mário
23'
M
João Mário
23'
M
9
L. Jović
F
L. Jović
F
15
Martin Georgiev
D
3
Stavros Pilios
34'
D
99
G
21
D
6
Dejan Lovren
45'
D
Dejan Lovren
45'
D
16
Tomasz Kędziora
1 ⚽
D
35
Jorge Sánchez
45'
D
Jorge Sánchez
45'
D
11
Taison
82'
M
20
Christos Zafeiris
58'
M
27
M
52
Dimitrios Chatsidis
58'
M
65
Giannis Konstantelias
F
19
Alexander Jeremejeff
F
Bench
14
Andrija Živković
32'
F
8
S. Meïté
M
S. Meïté
M
Best on the pitch
Orbelín Pineda
M · AEK
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 27 pass
Filipe Relvas
D · AEK
7.50
· 36 pass
A. Koita
F · AEK
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 5 pass
Roberto Pereyra
M · AEK
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
G · PAOK
7.30
· 38 pass
Giannis Konstantelias
F · PAOK
7.20
· 25 pass
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| James Penrice | D | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| L. Rota | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Roberto Pereyra | M | 67 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | M | 90 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 25% | 7 | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Gacinovic | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Varga | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Zini | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Koita | F | 34 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Kutesa | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Stavros Pilios | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
PAOK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 37% | 5 | — | — | |
| Dejan Lovren | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Tomasz Kędziora | D | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 48 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Sánchez | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Taison | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Christos Zafeiris | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 34% | 3 | — | — | |
| Dimitrios Chatsidis | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Giannis Konstantelias | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alexander Jeremejeff | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrija Živković | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
The final score was AEK Athens FC 3–0 PAOK.
What did the model predict before AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
The model assigned 57% probability to a AEK Athens FC win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an PAOK win.