Ajaccio - Bourg-en-bresse 01
National 1
May 15, 2026 19:30
Weather at kick-off
⛈️
Thunderstorm
9.4°C
💨 13 km/h
🌧️ 73%
· Boulogne-sur-Mer
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Ajaccio
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1.01
0.47
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ajaccio a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Bourg-en-bresse 01. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ajaccio and 0.5 for Bourg-en-bresse 01 (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 22.9% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Ajaccio
Bourg-en-bresse 01 →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22.7% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 1 | 22.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2 | 11.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
No data available
Playing profile
Ajaccio
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Attack
16
Defence
70
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dijon
|
31 | 62 |
| 2 |
Sochaux
|
31 | 57 |
| 3 |
Fleury 91
|
31 | 54 |
| 4 |
Rouen
|
31 | 52 |
| 5 |
Versailles
|
31 | 52 |
| 6 |
Orleans
|
31 | 51 |
| 7 |
Le Puy Foot
|
31 | 46 |
| 8 |
Caen
|
31 | 40 |
| 9 |
Concarneau
|
31 | 37 |
| 10 |
Valenciennes
|
31 | 36 |
| 11 |
Villefranche
|
31 | 36 |
| 12 |
Aubagne
|
31 | 34 |
| 13 |
Gobelins
|
31 | 32 |
| 14 |
Bourg-en-bresse 01
|
32 | 31 |
| 15 |
Quevilly
|
31 | 30 |
| 16 |
Chateauroux
|
31 | 29 |
| 17 |
Stade Briochin
|
31 | 26 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ajaccio vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
The model gives Ajaccio a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Bourg-en-bresse 01 win.
How many goals are expected in Ajaccio vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Expected goals: Ajaccio 1.0, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.5 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ajaccio vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 22.9%.