← National 1

Ajaccio - Bourg-en-bresse 01

National 1 May 15, 2026 19:30
vs
#14 · 31 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛈️ Thunderstorm 9.4°C 💨 13 km/h 🌧️ 73% · Boulogne-sur-Mer
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Ajaccio
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1.01
Expected xG
0.47

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ajaccio a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Bourg-en-bresse 01. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ajaccio and 0.5 for Bourg-en-bresse 01 (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 22.9% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Ajaccio Bourg-en-bresse 01 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 22.7% 10.7% 2.5% 0.4%
1 22.9% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4%
2 11.6% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2%
3 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
No data available
W Valenciennes 1–0
W Villefranche 1–0
L Sochaux 2–1
L Caen 0–2
L Dijon 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 19%
Playing profile
Ajaccio Ajaccio
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01
Attack
16
Defence
70
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Dijon Dijon 31 62
2 Sochaux Sochaux 31 57
3 Fleury 91 Fleury 91 31 54
4 Rouen Rouen 31 52
5 Versailles Versailles 31 52
6 Orleans Orleans 31 51
7 Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot 31 46
8 Caen Caen 31 40
9 Concarneau Concarneau 31 37
10 Valenciennes Valenciennes 31 36
11 Villefranche Villefranche 31 36
12 Aubagne Aubagne 31 34
13 Gobelins Gobelins 31 32
14 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01 32 31
15 Quevilly Quevilly 31 30
16 Chateauroux Chateauroux 31 29
17 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 31 26
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ajaccio vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
The model gives Ajaccio a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Bourg-en-bresse 01 win.
How many goals are expected in Ajaccio vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Expected goals: Ajaccio 1.0, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.5 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ajaccio vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 22.9%.