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Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Kholood

Saudi Pro League May 16, 2026 20:00
Al-Ahli Jeddah
#3 · 75 pts
vs
Al Kholood
#13 · 32 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 28.5°C 💨 13 km/h · Jeddah
⚡ Pre-match analysis
76.21%
Win
Al-Ahli Jeddah
14.3%
Draw
9.49%
Win
Al Kholood
2.44
Expected xG
0.58
Model prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah
76.21%
Probability
59.4%
1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a 76% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Al Kholood. Expected goals are 2.4 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 0.6 for Al Kholood (total 3.0), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 14.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Kholood.

Score Matrix
↕ Al-Ahli Jeddah Al Kholood →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% — —
1 11.9% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 14.5% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 11.8% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 7.2% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% — —
5 3.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
W Al Taawon 1–2
W Al-Fateh 3–1
W Al Okhdood 4–0
L Al-Nassr 2–0
D Al-Fayha 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 42%
Al Kholood Al Kholood
D Al Okhdood 0–0
D Al-Ittihad FC 0–0
D Al-Fayha 1–1
W Al Taawon 1–2
L Al-Hilal Saudi FC 6–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
Attack
54
Defence
67
Form
70
Al Kholood Al Kholood
Attack
21
Defence
59
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
Draw
0
Al Kholood
W 17 Jan 2026 Saudi Pro League 1–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 78
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 32 75
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 33 74
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 32 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 32 52
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 49
8 NEOM NEOM 32 44
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 33 39
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 32 37
12 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 36
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood 32 32
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab 32 32
15 Damac Damac 32 26
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 32 26
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 32 17
18 Al Najma Al Najma 33 13
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood?
The model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a 76% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 9% for an Al Kholood win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood?
Expected goals: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.4, Al Kholood 0.6 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.5%.