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Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 33 May 16, 2026 20:00 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah
#3 · 81 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Al Kholood
#14 · 33 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Ahli Jeddah
I. Toney (ast. F. Kessie) 18'
S. Abu Al Shamat (ast. F. Kessie) 20'
E. Millot 41'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 76% win probability (draw 14%, Al Kholood 9%). The final result was Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–0 Al Kholood. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Kholood.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
1.41
Actual xG
0.71
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
2
15
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽I. Toney · ast. F. Kessie
18'
⚽S. Abu Al Shamat · ast. F. Kessie
20'
32'
N. Gyomber
⚽E. Millot
41'
Z. Al Johani
43'
46'
A. Al Dawsari / K. N'Doram ↕
46'
S. Al Shehri / R. Solan ↕
60'
M. Sawan / A. Al Aliwa ↕
↕ F. Kessie / F. Al Buraikan
68'
↕ A. Majrashi / M. Abdulrahman
69'
75'
A. Al Safari / J. Buckley ↕
↕ S. Abu Al Shamat / E. Al Muwallad
77'
82'
A. Al Ajian / H. Bahebri ↕
↕ R. Mahrez / S. Abdullah
87'
↕ M. Demiral / R. Hamidou
87'
Pre-match prediction
76.08%
Al-Ahli ←
14.32%
X
9.6%
Al
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ahli Jeddah) 76.08% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al-Ahli
2.44
1.41
-1.03
Al
0.58
0.71
+0.13
Al-Ahli Jeddah dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 34 86
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 34 84
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 34 81
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 34 77
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 34 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 34 53
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 34 50
8 NEOM NEOM 34 45
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 34 42
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 34 38
11 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 34 37
12 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 34 37
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab 34 35
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood 34 33
15 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 34 30
16 Damac Damac 34 29
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 34 20
18 Al Najma Al Najma 34 16
Lineups
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-3-3
16 É. Mendy É. Mendy 89' G 6.90
32 Matteo Dams Matteo Dams 89' D 6.90
3 Roger Ibañez Roger Ibañez 89' D 7.20
28 M. Demiral M. Demiral 87' D 7.00
27 Ali Majrashi Ali Majrashi 69' D 6.90
79 F. Kessié F. Kessié 2 👟 68' M 8.30
30 Ziyad Aljohani Ziyad Aljohani 89' M 6.30
10 E. Millot E. Millot 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.30
47 Saleh Abu Al-Shamat Saleh Abu Al-Shamat 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.60
17 Ivan Toney Ivan Toney 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
7 R. Mahrez R. Mahrez 87' F 7.00
Bench
62 Abdullah Abdo Abdullah Abdo G
1 Abdulrahman Al Sanbi Abdulrahman Al Sanbi G
14 Eid Al Muwallad Eid Al Muwallad 12' M 6.30
9 Firas Al-Buraikan Firas Al-Buraikan 21' F 6.60
5 Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor D
29 Mohammed Yousef Mohammed Yousef 20' D 6.70
46 Rayan Hamed Rayan Hamed 2' D
49 Salem Abdullah Salem Abdullah 2' F
60 Yazan Madani Yazan Madani D
Al Kholood Al Kholood 4-4-2
31 Juan Cozzani Juan Cozzani 89' G 6.00
38 Shaquille Riley Pinas Shaquille Riley Pinas 89' D 5.90
23 Norbert Gyömbér Norbert Gyömbér 89' D 6.00
3 E. Utkus E. Utkus 89' D 6.30
15 Ramzi Sawlan Ramzi Sawlan 45' D 6.00
10 Iker Kortajarena Iker Kortajarena 89' M 6.30
6 John Buckley John Buckley 75' M 6.20
96 Kévin N'Doram Kévin N'Doram 45' M 6.20
46 Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa 61' M 6.70
99 Guga Guga 89' F 6.60
11 Hattan Bahbri Hattan Bahbri 83' F 6.30
Bench
27 Abdullah Al Ajyan Abdullah Al Ajyan 6' F
39 Abdulrahman Al-Dosari Abdulrahman Al-Dosari 44' M 6.70
8 Abdulrahman Al-Safri Abdulrahman Al-Safri 14' M 6.50
24 Adi Adi M
12 Hassan Al-Asmari Hassan Al-Asmari D
4 Jamaan Al Dawsari Jamaan Al Dawsari D
30 Mohammed Mazyad Alshammari Mohammed Mazyad Alshammari G
70 Muhammad Sawan Muhammad Sawan 28' M 6.50
7 Sultan Al Shehri Sultan Al Shehri 44' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
F. Kessié
F. Kessié
M · Al-Ahli
8.30
2 👟
· 18 pass
E. Millot
E. Millot
M · Al-Ahli
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
Ivan Toney
Ivan Toney
F · Al-Ahli
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat
F · Al-Ahli
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
Roger Ibañez
Roger Ibañez
D · Al-Ahli
7.20
· 68 pass
R. Mahrez
R. Mahrez
F · Al-Ahli
7.00
2 shots · 38 pass
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
É. Mendy G 89 6.90 — — — 18 16% — — —
Matteo Dams D 89 6.90 — — — 33 32% — — —
Roger Ibañez D 89 7.20 — — — 68 62% 1 — —
M. Demiral D 87 7.00 — — 1 52 45% 2 — —
Ali Majrashi D 69 6.90 — — 2 19 16% — — —
F. Kessié M 68 8.30 — 2 — 18 17% — — —
Ziyad Aljohani M 89 6.30 — — — 45 42% 1 1 —
E. Millot M 89 8.30 1 — 1 44 38% 4 — —
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat F 77 7.60 1 — 3 24 18% 1 — —
Ivan Toney F 89 7.90 1 — 2 19 14% 1 — —
R. Mahrez F 87 7.00 — — 2 38 32% 2 — —
Eid Al Muwallad M 12 6.30 — — — 10 9% — — —
Firas Al-Buraikan F 21 6.60 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Mohammed Yousef D 20 6.70 — — 1 7 7% — — —
Rayan Hamed D 2 — — — — — — — — —
Salem Abdullah F 2 — — — — — — 2 — —
Al Kholood Al Kholood — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Juan Cozzani G 89 6.00 — — — 32 27% — — —
Shaquille Riley Pinas D 89 5.90 — — — 58 52% — — —
Norbert Gyömbér D 89 6.00 — — — 46 45% 2 1 —
E. Utkus D 89 6.30 — — — 33 31% — — —
Ramzi Sawlan D 45 6.00 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Iker Kortajarena M 89 6.30 — — 1 38 32% — — —
John Buckley M 75 6.20 — — — 41 34% 1 — —
Kévin N'Doram M 45 6.20 — — — 14 13% — — —
Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa M 61 6.70 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
Guga F 89 6.60 — — — 14 10% — — —
Hattan Bahbri F 83 6.30 — — 1 20 15% — — —
Abdullah Al Ajyan F 6 — — — — 1 — 1 — —
Abdulrahman Al-Dosari M 44 6.70 — — — 28 26% — — —
Abdulrahman Al-Safri M 14 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Muhammad Sawan M 28 6.50 — — — 7 5% 2 — —
Sultan Al Shehri D 44 6.30 — — 1 17 15% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood?
The final score was Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–0 Al Kholood.
What did the model predict before Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood?
The model assigned 76% probability to a Al-Ahli Jeddah win, 14% to a draw, and 9% to an Al Kholood win.