← Saudi Pro League
Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 29 April 15, 2026 22:00
Al-Nassr
#1 · 83 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Al-Ettifaq
#7 · 49 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Nassr
K. Coman 31'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Nassr a 89% win probability (draw 4%, Al-Ettifaq 5%). The final result was Al-Nassr 1–0 Al-Ettifaq. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Nassr have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Al-Ettifaq.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
2
3.14
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
0
13
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Coman
31'
↕ N. Boushal / S. Al Ghannam
68'
↕ A. Al Khaibari / S. Al Nasser
68'
↕ I. Martinez / A. Yahya
81'
82'
A. Medran
↕ K. Coman / A. Ghareeb
89'
↕ C. Ronaldo / A. Al Hamdan
89'
89'
Z. Al Ghamdi / M. Nkota ↕
89'
Jalal Al Salem / K. Al Ghannam ↕
89'
M. Ali / G. Wijnaldum ↕
90'+4
J. Hendry
Pre-match prediction
89.66%
Al-Nassr ←
4.87%
X
5.47%
Al-Ettifaq
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Al-Nassr) 89.66% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al-Nassr
4.11
3.14
-0.97
Al-Ettifaq
0.54
1.00
+0.46
Al-Nassr dominated by xG (3.14 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 78
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 32 75
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 33 74
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 32 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 32 52
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 49
8 NEOM NEOM 32 44
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 33 39
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 32 37
12 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 36
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood 32 32
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab 32 32
15 Damac Damac 32 26
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 32 26
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 32 17
18 Al Najma Al Najma 33 13
Lineups
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 4-4-1-1
24
G 7.70
26 Iñigo Martínez Iñigo Martínez 81' D 7.00
5
D 6.90
3 M. Simakan M. Simakan D 7.20
12 Nawaf Boushal Nawaf Boushal 68' D 6.90
10 S. Mané S. Mané M 7.00
11 Marcelo Brozović Marcelo Brozović M 7.70
17 A. Al Khaibari A. Al Khaibari 68' M 7.30
21 Kingsley Coman Kingsley Coman 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.20
79 João Félix João Félix F 7.30
7 Cristiano Ronaldo Cristiano Ronaldo 89' F 6.90
Bench
9 Abdullah Al-Hamdan Abdullah Al-Hamdan 7' F
29 Abdulrahman Ghareeb Abdulrahman Ghareeb 7' F
23 Ayman Yahya Ayman Yahya 15' M 6.90
96 Saad Al-Nasser Saad Al-Nasser 28' D 6.60
2 Sultan Al-Ghannam Sultan Al-Ghannam 28' D 6.60
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.90
5 Francisco Calvo Francisco Calvo D 6.50
4 Jack Hendry Jack Hendry D 7.90
70 Abdullah Khateeb Abdullah Khateeb D 6.30
15
M. Nkota 89' M 6.90
10 Álvaro Medrán Álvaro Medrán M 7.50
11 O. Duda O. Duda M 6.90
61 R. Al Otaibi R. Al Otaibi M 6.60
17 Khalid Al-Ghannam Khalid Al-Ghannam 89' F 6.50
8 Georginio Wijnaldum Georginio Wijnaldum 89' F 6.50
9 Moussa Dembélé Moussa Dembélé F 6.60
Bench
7 Mukhtar Ali Mukhtar Ali 7' M
Best on the pitch
Kingsley Coman
Kingsley Coman
M · Al-Nassr
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Jack Hendry
Jack Hendry
D · Al-Ettifaq
7.90
· 38 pass
G · Al-Nassr
7.70
· 20 pass
Marcelo Brozović
Marcelo Brozović
M · Al-Nassr
7.70
· 63 pass
Álvaro Medrán
Álvaro Medrán
M · Al-Ettifaq
7.50
· 55 pass
A. Al Khaibari
A. Al Khaibari
M · Al-Nassr
7.30
1 shots · 35 pass
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.70 — — — 20 18% — — —
Iñigo Martínez D 81 7.00 — — — 45 40% — — —
D 96 6.90 — — 1 30 29% 2 — —
M. Simakan D 96 7.20 — — 1 31 31% 2 — —
Nawaf Boushal D 68 6.90 — — — 26 21% 2 — —
S. Mané M 96 7.00 — — 3 52 41% — — —
Marcelo Brozović M 96 7.70 — — — 63 59% 1 — —
A. Al Khaibari M 68 7.30 — — 1 35 33% 1 — —
Kingsley Coman M 89 8.20 1 — 2 34 26% 1 — —
João Félix F 96 7.30 — — 2 55 43% 4 — —
Cristiano Ronaldo F 89 6.90 — — 5 15 15% — — —
Abdullah Al-Hamdan F 7 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Abdulrahman Ghareeb F 7 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Ayman Yahya M 15 6.90 — — 1 7 7% — — —
Saad Al-Nasser D 28 6.60 — — — 8 8% — — —
Sultan Al-Ghannam D 28 6.60 — — — 6 6% — — —
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.90 — — — 26 15% — — —
Francisco Calvo D 96 6.50 — — — 36 28% 1 — —
Jack Hendry D 90 7.90 — — — 38 34% — — 1
Abdullah Khateeb D 96 6.30 — — — 40 36% — — —
M. Nkota M 89 6.90 — — — 21 18% 2 — —
Álvaro Medrán M 96 7.50 — — — 55 48% 1 1 —
O. Duda M 96 6.90 — — 1 50 43% 2 — —
R. Al Otaibi M 96 6.60 — — — 29 22% 1 — —
Khalid Al-Ghannam F 89 6.50 — — — 16 13% — — —
Georginio Wijnaldum F 89 6.50 — — 2 17 16% — — —
Moussa Dembélé F 96 6.60 — — 3 15 11% 1 — —
Mukhtar Ali M 7 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq?
The final score was Al-Nassr 1–0 Al-Ettifaq.
What did the model predict before Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq?
The model assigned 89% probability to a Al-Nassr win, 4% to a draw, and 5% to an Al-Ettifaq win.