Saudi Pro League
· Regular Season - 29
April 15, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Nassr
K. Coman
31'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Nassr a 89% win probability (draw 4%, Al-Ettifaq 5%). The final result was Al-Nassr 1–0 Al-Ettifaq. In 2 previous meetings, Al-Nassr have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Al-Ettifaq.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
2
3.14
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
0
13
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Coman
31'
N. Boushal
/ S. Al Ghannam
68'
A. Al Khaibari
/ S. Al Nasser
68'
I. Martinez
/ A. Yahya
81'
82'
A. Medran
K. Coman
/ A. Ghareeb
89'
C. Ronaldo
/ A. Al Hamdan
89'
89'
Z. Al Ghamdi
/
M. Nkota
89'
Jalal Al Salem
/
K. Al Ghannam
89'
M. Ali
/
G. Wijnaldum
90'+4
J. Hendry
Pre-match prediction
89.66%
Al-Nassr ←
4.87%
X
5.47%
Al-Ettifaq
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Nassr)
89.66%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.11
3.14
-0.97
0.54
1.00
+0.46
Al-Nassr dominated by xG (3.14 vs 1.00).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
G
26
Íñigo Martínez
81'
D
Íñigo Martínez
81'
D
5
D
3
M. Simakan
D
M. Simakan
D
12
Nawaf Boushal
68'
D
Nawaf Boushal
68'
D
10
S. Mané
M
S. Mané
M
11
M. Brozović
M
M. Brozović
M
17
Abdullah Al Khaibari
68'
M
Abdullah Al Khaibari
68'
M
21
K. Coman
1 ⚽
89'
M
K. Coman
1 ⚽
89'
M
79
João Félix
F
João Félix
F
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
89'
F
Cristiano Ronaldo
89'
F
Bench
9
Abdullah Al Hamdan
7'
F
Abdullah Al Hamdan
7'
F
29
Abdulrahman Ghareeb
7'
F
Abdulrahman Ghareeb
7'
F
23
Ayman Yahya
15'
M
Ayman Yahya
15'
M
96
Saad Al Nasser
28'
D
Saad Al Nasser
28'
D
2
Sultan Al-Ghannam
28'
D
Sultan Al-Ghannam
28'
D
1
G
5
F. Calvo
D
F. Calvo
D
4
J. Hendry
D
J. Hendry
D
70
Abdullah Khateeb
D
Abdullah Khateeb
D
15
M. Nkota
89'
M
10
Álvaro Medrán
M
Álvaro Medrán
M
11
O. Duda
M
O. Duda
M
61
Radhi Al Otaibi
M
Radhi Al Otaibi
M
17
Khalid Al Ghannam
89'
F
Khalid Al Ghannam
89'
F
8
G. Wijnaldum
89'
F
G. Wijnaldum
89'
F
9
M. Dembélé
F
M. Dembélé
F
Bench
7
Mukhtar Ali
7'
M
Mukhtar Ali
7'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Coman
M · Al-Nassr
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
J. Hendry
D · Al-Ettifaq
7.90
· 38 pass
G · Al-Nassr
7.70
· 20 pass
M. Brozović
M · Al-Nassr
7.70
· 63 pass
Álvaro Medrán
M · Al-Ettifaq
7.50
· 55 pass
Abdullah Al Khaibari
M · Al-Nassr
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Al-Nassr — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Íñigo Martínez | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 29% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Simakan | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mané | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 41% | — | — | — |
| M. Brozović | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 68 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Coman | M | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| João Félix | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Ghareeb | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ayman Yahya | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Saad Al Nasser | D | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al-Ghannam | D | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Al-Ettifaq — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| F. Calvo | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hendry | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | 1 |
| Abdullah Khateeb | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| M. Nkota | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro Medrán | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Duda | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Radhi Al Otaibi | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Khalid Al Ghannam | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| G. Wijnaldum | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Dembélé | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Mukhtar Ali | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq?
The final score was Al-Nassr 1–0 Al-Ettifaq.
What did the model predict before Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq?
The model assigned 89% probability to a Al-Nassr win, 4% to a draw, and 5% to an Al-Ettifaq win.