Saudi Pro League
· Regular Season - 29
April 14, 2026 22:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Al-Qadisiyah FC, result Pareggio
C. Bonsu Baah
(ast. M. Retegui)
16'
M. Retegui
76'
35'
(ast. B. Al Sayyali)
A. Azaizeh
54'
(ast. A. Hamdallah)
A. Azaizeh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Al Shabab 15%). The final result was Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al Shabab. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Shabab.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
8
3.01
Actual xG
3.05
5
Saves
6
64%
Possession
36%
13
Corners
4
17
Tackles
27
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Bonsu Baah
· ast. M. Retegui
16'
35'
ast. B. Al Sayyali ·
A. Azaizeh⚽
Otavio
53'
54'
ast. A. Hamdallah ·
A. Azaizeh⚽
I. Mahnashi
/ J. Thakri
61'
Y. Al Shahrani
/ T. Al Ammar
61'
T. Al Ammar
/ A. A. Hazazi
69'
73'
U. Hernandez
/
B. Al Sayyali
⚽M. Retegui
76'
76'
W. Hoedt
79'
M. Al Shwirekh
/
A. Azaizeh
84'
S. Balobaid
88'
H. Al Hammami
/
Y. Carrasco
Otavio
/ A. Al Yuhaybi
89'
90'+2
Marcelo Grohe
Pre-match prediction
64.18%
Al-Qadisiyah
19.9%
X ←
15.92%
Al
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.18
3.01
+0.83
1.09
3.05
+1.96
xG dominance was balanced (3.01 – 3.05).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
17
Gastón Álvarez
D
Gastón Álvarez
D
6
Nacho Fernández
D
Nacho Fernández
D
40
Ibrahim Mahnashi
61'
D
Ibrahim Mahnashi
61'
D
22
Christopher Baah
1 ⚽
M
Christopher Baah
1 ⚽
M
10
M
25
Otávio
89'
M
Otávio
89'
M
8
Nahitan Nández
M
Nahitan Nández
M
12
Yasser Al-Shahrani
61'
M
Yasser Al-Shahrani
61'
M
32
M. Retegui
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
M. Retegui
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
33
Julián Quiñones
F
Julián Quiñones
F
Bench
9
Abdullah Al-Salem
F
Abdullah Al-Salem
F
7
T. Al Ammar
8'
M
43
Marcelo Grohe
G
Marcelo Grohe
G
31
S. Balobaid
D
S. Balobaid
D
3
D
4
W. Hoedt
76'
D
W. Hoedt
76'
D
17
D
40
Ali Al Asmari
M
Ali Al Asmari
M
20
B. Al Sayyali
1 👟
73'
M
B. Al Sayyali
1 👟
73'
M
10
Y. Carrasco
88'
M
Y. Carrasco
88'
M
29
M
99
A. Azaizeh
2 ⚽
79'
M
A. Azaizeh
2 ⚽
79'
M
9
A. Hamdallah
1 👟
F
Best on the pitch
Marcelo Grohe
G · Al
8.30
· 25 pass
M. Retegui
F · Al-Qadisiyah
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 30 pass
A. Azaizeh
M · Al
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
Otávio
M · Al-Qadisiyah
8.20
· 61 pass
Ali Al Asmari
M · Al
7.90
· 39 pass
Julián Quiñones
F · Al-Qadisiyah
7.90
4 shots
· 47 pass
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Gastón Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Nacho Fernández | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Christopher Baah | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 65% | 3 | — | — | |
| Otávio | M | 89 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nahitan Nández | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Yasser Al-Shahrani | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Retegui | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | F | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 4 | 47 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Al Ammar | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Al Shabab — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Grohe | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Balobaid | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| W. Hoedt | D | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 3 | — | 1 |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — | |
| Ali Al Asmari | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 10 | — | — |
| B. Al Sayyali | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Carrasco | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — | |
| A. Azaizeh | M | 79 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hamdallah | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab?
The final score was Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al Shabab.
What did the model predict before Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Al-Qadisiyah FC win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an Al Shabab win.