Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 29 April 14, 2026 20:00 Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam

Al-Qadisiyah FC

#4 · 77 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Al Shabab

#13 · 35 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Al-Qadisiyah FC, result Draw

C. Bonsu Baah (ast. M. Retegui) 16'

M. Retegui 76'

35' (ast. B. Al Sayyali) A. Azaizeh

54' (ast. A. Hamdallah) A. Azaizeh

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Al Shabab 15%). The final result was Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al Shabab. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Shabab.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

9

8

Shots on target

8

3.01

Actual xG

3.05

5

Saves

6

64%

Possession

36%

13

Corners

4

17

Tackles

27

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

⚽C. Bonsu Baah · ast. M. Retegui

16'

35'

ast. B. Al Sayyali · A. Azaizeh⚽

Otavio

53'

54'

ast. A. Hamdallah · A. Azaizeh⚽

↕ I. Mahnashi / J. Thakri

61'

↕ Y. Al Shahrani / T. Al Ammar

61'

↕ T. Al Ammar / A. A. Hazazi

69'

73'

U. Hernandez / B. Al Sayyali ↕

⚽M. Retegui

76'

76'

W. Hoedt

79'

M. Al Shwirekh / A. Azaizeh ↕

84'

S. Balobaid

88'

H. Al Hammami / Y. Carrasco ↕

↕ Otavio / A. Al Yuhaybi

89'

90'+2

Marcelo Grohe

Pre-match prediction

64.18%

Al-Qadisiyah

19.9%

X ←

15.92%

Al

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.9% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Al-Qadisiyah

2.18

3.01

+0.83

Al

1.09

3.05

+1.96

xG dominance was balanced (3.01 – 3.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Al-Nassr	34	86
2	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	34	84
3	Al-Ahli Jeddah	34	81
4	Al-Qadisiyah FC	34	77
5	Al-Ittihad FC	34	55
6	Al Taawon	34	53
7	Al-Ettifaq	34	50
8	NEOM	34	45
9	Al-Hazm	34	42
10	Al-Fayha	34	38
11	Al-Fateh	34	37
12	Al Khaleej Saihat	34	37
13	Al Shabab	34	35
14	Al Kholood	34	33
15	Al Riyadh	34	30
16	Damac	34	29
17	Al Okhdood	34	20
18	Al Najma	34	16

Lineups

Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-5-2

1

G 7.30

17 G. Álvarez D 6.90

6 Nacho Fernández D 7.60

40 Ibrahim Mahnashi 61' D 6.70

22 Christopher Baah 1 ⚽ M 7.60

10

M 7.00

25 Otávio 89' M 8.20

8 N. Nández M 7.50

12 Yasser Al-Shahrani 61' M 6.50

32 M. Retegui 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.30

33 Julián Quiñones F 7.90

Bench

9 Abdullah Al-Salem F

7

T. Al Ammar 8' M 6.60

Al Shabab 4-2-3-1

43 Marcelo Grohe G 8.30

31 Saad Yaslam Balobaid D 7.20

3

D 6.90

4 W. Hoedt 76' D 6.50

17

D 6.20

40 Ali Al Asmari M 7.90

20 Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali 1 👟 73' M 7.30

10 Y. Carrasco 88' M 6.30

29

M 7.20

99 Ali Al Azaizeh 2 ⚽ 79' M 8.20

9

A. Hamdallah 1 👟 F 7.50

Best on the pitch

Marcelo Grohe

G · Al

8.30

· 25 pass

M. Retegui

F · Al-Qadisiyah

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 30 pass

Ali Al Azaizeh

M · Al

8.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 15 pass

Otávio

M · Al-Qadisiyah

8.20

· 61 pass

Ali Al Asmari

M · Al

7.90

· 39 pass

Julián Quiñones

F · Al-Qadisiyah

7.90

4 shots · 47 pass

Al-Qadisiyah FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	27	24%	—	—	—
G. Álvarez	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	50	45%	4	—	—
Nacho Fernández	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	50	48%	1	—	—
Ibrahim Mahnashi	D	61	6.70	—	—	—	47	41%	1	—	—
Christopher Baah	M	90	7.60	1	—	5	53	48%	—	—	—
	M	90	7.00	—	—	2	77	65%	3	—	—
Otávio	M	89	8.20	—	—	—	61	55%	2	1	—
N. Nández	M	90	7.50	—	—	1	35	30%	—	—	—
Yasser Al-Shahrani	M	61	6.50	—	—	—	42	37%	1	—	—
M. Retegui	F	90	8.30	1	1	2	30	22%	2	—	—
Julián Quiñones	F	90	7.90	—	—	4	47	41%	3	—	—
T. Al Ammar	M	8	6.60	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Al Shabab — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Marcelo Grohe	G	90	8.30	—	—	—	25	11%	—	1	—
Saad Yaslam Balobaid	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	33	28%	4	1	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	38	35%	1	—	—
W. Hoedt	D	76	6.50	—	—	—	29	26%	3	—	1
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	26	18%	2	—	—
Ali Al Asmari	M	90	7.90	—	—	—	39	35%	10	—	—
Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali	M	73	7.30	—	1	—	34	33%	1	—	—
Y. Carrasco	M	88	6.30	—	—	3	36	26%	—	—	—
	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	27	22%	3	—	—
Ali Al Azaizeh	M	79	8.20	2	—	3	15	14%	2	—	—
A. Hamdallah	F	90	7.50	—	1	2	24	20%	1	—	—