Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 29 April 14, 2026 20:00 Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam

Al-Qadisiyah FC

#4 · 16 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Al Shabab

#14 · 4 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Al-Qadisiyah FC, result Draw

C. Bonsu Baah (ast. M. Retegui) 16'

M. Retegui 76'

35' (ast. B. Al Sayyali) A. Azaizeh

54' (ast. A. Hamdallah) A. Azaizeh

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Al Shabab 15%). The final result was Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al Shabab. In 2 previous meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Shabab.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

9

8

Shots on target

8

3.01

Actual xG

3.05

5

Saves

6

64%

Possession

36%

13

Corners

4

17

Tackles

27

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

⚽C. Bonsu Baah · ast. M. Retegui

16'

35'

ast. B. Al Sayyali · A. Azaizeh⚽

Otavio

53'

54'

ast. A. Hamdallah · A. Azaizeh⚽

↕ I. Mahnashi / J. Thakri

61'

↕ Y. Al Shahrani / T. Al Ammar

61'

↕ T. Al Ammar / A. A. Hazazi

69'

73'

U. Hernandez / B. Al Sayyali ↕

⚽M. Retegui

76'

76'

W. Hoedt

79'

M. Al Shwirekh / A. Azaizeh ↕

84'

S. Balobaid

88'

H. Al Hammami / Y. Carrasco ↕

↕ Otavio / A. Al Yuhaybi

89'

90'+2

Marcelo Grohe

Pre-match prediction

64.18%

Al-Qadisiyah

19.9%

X ←

15.92%

Al

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.9% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Al-Qadisiyah

2.18

3.01

+0.83

Al

1.09

3.05

+1.96

xG dominance was balanced (3.01 – 3.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	7	18
2	Al-Ittihad FC	7	17
3	Al-Nassr	7	16
4	Al-Qadisiyah FC	7	16
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	7	12
6	NEOM	6	12
7	Al Kholood	6	12
8	Al-Ettifaq	7	11
9	Al Diriyah	6	10
10	Al-Hazm	7	8
11	Al-Fayha	7	6
12	Al Khaleej Saihat	7	5
13	Al Riyadh	6	5
14	Al Shabab	7	4
15	Al-Fateh	6	3
16	Al-Faisaly FC	7	3
17	Al Taawon	7	3
18	Abha	6	1

Lineups

Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-5-2

1

G 7.30

17 G. Álvarez D 6.90

6 Nacho D 7.60

40 Ibrahim Mahnashi 61' D 6.70

22 C. Bonsu Baah 1 ⚽ M 7.60

10

M 7.00

25 Otávio 89' M 8.20

8 N. Nández M 7.50

12 Yasir Al Shahrani 61' M 6.50

32 M. Retegui 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.30

33 J. Quiñones F 7.90

Bench

9 Abdullah Al Salem F

7 Turki Al Ammar 8' M 6.60

Al Shabab 4-2-3-1

43 Marcelo Grohe G 8.30

31 Saad Yaslam D 7.20

3

D 6.90

4 W. Hoedt 76' D 6.50

17

D 6.20

40 Ali Al Asmari M 7.90

20 Basil Al Sayyali 1 👟 73' M 7.30

10 Y. Carrasco 88' M 6.30

29

M 7.20

99 Ali Al Azaizeh 2 ⚽ 79' M 8.20

9 A. Hamed Allah 1 👟 F 7.50

Best on the pitch

Marcelo Grohe

G · Al

8.30

· 25 pass

M. Retegui

F · Al-Qadisiyah

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 30 pass

Ali Al Azaizeh

M · Al

8.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 15 pass

Otávio

M · Al-Qadisiyah

8.20

· 61 pass

Ali Al Asmari

M · Al

7.90

· 39 pass

J. Quiñones

F · Al-Qadisiyah

7.90

4 shots · 47 pass

Al-Qadisiyah FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	27	24%	—	—	—
G. Álvarez	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	50	45%	4	—	—
Nacho	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	50	48%	1	—	—
Ibrahim Mahnashi	D	61	6.70	—	—	—	47	41%	1	—	—
C. Bonsu Baah	M	90	7.60	1	—	5	53	48%	—	—	—
	M	90	7.00	—	—	2	77	65%	3	—	—
Otávio	M	89	8.20	—	—	—	61	55%	2	1	—
N. Nández	M	90	7.50	—	—	1	35	30%	—	—	—
Yasir Al Shahrani	M	61	6.50	—	—	—	42	37%	1	—	—
M. Retegui	F	90	8.30	1	1	2	30	22%	2	—	—
J. Quiñones	F	90	7.90	—	—	4	47	41%	3	—	—
Turki Al Ammar	M	8	6.60	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Al Shabab — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Marcelo Grohe	G	90	8.30	—	—	—	25	11%	—	1	—
Saad Yaslam	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	33	28%	4	1	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	38	35%	1	—	—
W. Hoedt	D	76	6.50	—	—	—	29	26%	3	—	1
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	26	18%	2	—	—
Ali Al Asmari	M	90	7.90	—	—	—	39	35%	10	—	—
Basil Al Sayyali	M	73	7.30	—	1	—	34	33%	1	—	—
Y. Carrasco	M	88	6.30	—	—	3	36	26%	—	—	—
	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	27	22%	3	—	—
Ali Al Azaizeh	M	79	8.20	2	—	3	15	14%	2	—	—
A. Hamed Allah	F	90	7.50	—	1	2	24	20%	1	—	—