← Saudi Pro League
#4 · 74 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#14 · 32 pts
Model wrong — prediction Al-Qadisiyah FC, result Pareggio
C. Bonsu Baah (ast. M. Retegui) 16'
M. Retegui 76'
35' (ast. B. Al Sayyali) A. Azaizeh
54' (ast. A. Hamdallah) A. Azaizeh

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Al Shabab 15%). The final result was Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al Shabab. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Shabab.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
8
3.01
Actual xG
3.05
5
Saves
6
64%
Possession
36%
13
Corners
4
17
Tackles
27
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
C. Bonsu Baah · ast. M. Retegui
16'
35'
ast. B. Al Sayyali · A. Azaizeh
Otavio
53'
54'
ast. A. Hamdallah · A. Azaizeh
I. Mahnashi / J. Thakri
61'
Y. Al Shahrani / T. Al Ammar
61'
T. Al Ammar / A. A. Hazazi
69'
73'
U. Hernandez / B. Al Sayyali
M. Retegui
76'
76'
W. Hoedt
79'
M. Al Shwirekh / A. Azaizeh
84'
S. Balobaid
88'
H. Al Hammami / Y. Carrasco
Otavio / A. Al Yuhaybi
89'
90'+2
Marcelo Grohe
Pre-match prediction
64.18%
Al-Qadisiyah
19.9%
X ←
15.92%
Al
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al-Qadisiyah
2.18
3.01
+0.83
Al
1.09
3.05
+1.96
xG dominance was balanced (3.01 – 3.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 78
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 32 75
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 33 74
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 32 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 32 52
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 49
8 NEOM NEOM 32 44
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 33 39
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 32 37
12 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 36
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood 32 32
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab 32 32
15 Damac Damac 32 26
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 32 26
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 32 17
18 Al Najma Al Najma 33 13
Lineups
1
G 7.30
17 Gastón Álvarez Gastón Álvarez D 6.90
6 Nacho Fernández Nacho Fernández D 7.60
40 Ibrahim Mahnashi Ibrahim Mahnashi 61' D 6.70
22 Christopher Baah Christopher Baah 1 ⚽ M 7.60
10
M 7.00
25 Otávio Otávio 89' M 8.20
8 Nahitan Nández Nahitan Nández M 7.50
12 Yasser Al-Shahrani Yasser Al-Shahrani 61' M 6.50
32 M. Retegui M. Retegui 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.30
33 Julián Quiñones Julián Quiñones F 7.90
Bench
9 Abdullah Al-Salem Abdullah Al-Salem F
7
T. Al Ammar 8' M 6.60
Al Shabab Al Shabab 4-2-3-1
43 Marcelo Grohe Marcelo Grohe G 8.30
31 S. Balobaid S. Balobaid D 7.20
3
D 6.90
4 W. Hoedt W. Hoedt 76' D 6.50
17
D 6.20
40 Ali Al Asmari Ali Al Asmari M 7.90
20 B. Al Sayyali B. Al Sayyali 1 👟 73' M 7.30
10 Y. Carrasco Y. Carrasco 88' M 6.30
29
M 7.20
99 A. Azaizeh A. Azaizeh 2 ⚽ 79' M 8.20
9
A. Hamdallah 1 👟 F 7.50
Best on the pitch
Marcelo Grohe
Marcelo Grohe
G · Al
8.30
· 25 pass
M. Retegui
M. Retegui
F · Al-Qadisiyah
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 30 pass
A. Azaizeh
A. Azaizeh
M · Al
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
Otávio
Otávio
M · Al-Qadisiyah
8.20
· 61 pass
Ali Al Asmari
Ali Al Asmari
M · Al
7.90
· 39 pass
Julián Quiñones
Julián Quiñones
F · Al-Qadisiyah
7.90
4 shots · 47 pass
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 27 24%
Gastón Álvarez D 90 6.90 50 45% 4
Nacho Fernández D 90 7.60 50 48% 1
Ibrahim Mahnashi D 61 6.70 47 41% 1
Christopher Baah M 90 7.60 1 5 53 48%
M 90 7.00 2 77 65% 3
Otávio M 89 8.20 61 55% 2 1
Nahitan Nández M 90 7.50 1 35 30%
Yasser Al-Shahrani M 61 6.50 42 37% 1
M. Retegui F 90 8.30 1 1 2 30 22% 2
Julián Quiñones F 90 7.90 4 47 41% 3
T. Al Ammar M 8 6.60 1 1%
Al Shabab Al Shabab — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marcelo Grohe G 90 8.30 25 11% 1
S. Balobaid D 90 7.20 33 28% 4 1
D 90 6.90 38 35% 1
W. Hoedt D 76 6.50 29 26% 3 1
D 90 6.20 26 18% 2
Ali Al Asmari M 90 7.90 39 35% 10
B. Al Sayyali M 73 7.30 1 34 33% 1
Y. Carrasco M 88 6.30 3 36 26%
M 90 7.20 1 27 22% 3
A. Azaizeh M 79 8.20 2 3 15 14% 2
A. Hamdallah F 90 7.50 1 2 24 20% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab?
The final score was Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al Shabab.
What did the model predict before Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Al-Qadisiyah FC win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an Al Shabab win.