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Al Taawon - Al Riyadh

Saudi Pro League May 15, 2026 20:00
Al Taawon
#6 · 52 pts
vs
Al Riyadh
#16 · 26 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 33.9°C 💨 8 km/h · Buraidah
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.86%
Win
Al Taawon
17.14%
Draw
16.99%
Win
Al Riyadh
2.67
Expected xG
1.1
Model prediction
Al Taawon
65.86%
Probability
59.4%
1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al Taawon a 65% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Al Riyadh. Expected goals are 2.7 for Al Taawon and 1.1 for Al Riyadh (total 3.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.0% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Al Taawon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Riyadh.

Score Matrix
↕ Al Taawon Al Riyadh →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 6.1% 6.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 9.0% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.3% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% —
Recent form
Al Taawon Al Taawon
L Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–2
W Al Shabab 1–5
L Al-Ittihad FC 0–2
W Al Najma 1–2
L Al Kholood 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 17%
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
W Al-Fateh 1–0
L Al-Fayha 4–2
L Al-Qadisiyah FC 0–4
L Al-Hazm 2–1
W Al-Ettifaq 2–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 17%
Playing profile
Al Taawon Al Taawon
Attack
45
Defence
59
Form
47
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
Attack
36
Defence
40
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Al Taawon
0
Draw
0
Al Riyadh
W 18 Jan 2026 Saudi Pro League 3–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 78
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 32 75
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 33 74
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 32 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 32 52
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 49
8 NEOM NEOM 32 44
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 33 39
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 32 37
12 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 36
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood 32 32
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab 32 32
15 Damac Damac 32 26
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 32 26
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 32 17
18 Al Najma Al Najma 33 13
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?
The model gives Al Taawon a 65% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 16% for an Al Riyadh win.
How many goals are expected in Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?
Expected goals: Al Taawon 2.7, Al Riyadh 1.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.0%.