✗Model wrong — prediction Al Taawon, result Draw
R. B. Martinez Tobinson
67'
(pen.)
61'
(ast. T. Okou)
L. Antunes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Taawon a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Al Riyadh 16%). The final result was Al Taawon 1–1 Al Riyadh. In 2 previous meetings, Al Taawon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al Riyadh.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
6
1.66
Actual xG
1.54
5
Saves
2
73%
Possession
27%
6
Corners
1
7
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
R. B. Martinez Tobinson
48'
61'
ast. T. Okou ·
L. Antunes⚽
⚽R. B. Martinez Tobinson
(pen.)
67'
M. Al Mufarrij
/ Biel
69'
82'
L. Antunes
86'
A. Al Harfi
/
L. Antunes
Flavio
/ M. Al Qahtani
87'
89'
S. Haroun
/
M. Sylla
Pre-match prediction
65.86%
Al
17.14%
X ←
16.99%
Al
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.67
1.66
-1.01
1.10
1.54
+0.44
xG dominance was balanced (1.66 – 1.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mailson
G
Mailson
G
32
Muteb Al Mufarrij
69'
D
Muteb Al Mufarrij
69'
D
87
Qassem Lajami
D
Qassem Lajami
D
3
Andrei Girotto
D
Andrei Girotto
D
5
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
D
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
D
11
A. Fulgini
M
A. Fulgini
M
18
A. El Mahdioui
M
A. El Mahdioui
M
8
Flávio
87'
M
Flávio
87'
M
88
M. Petkov
F
M. Petkov
F
10
Roger Martínez
1 ⚽
F
Roger Martínez
1 ⚽
F
7
Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
F
Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
F
Bench
77
Abdulelah
M
Abdulelah
M
13
Abdulquddus Atiah
G
Abdulquddus Atiah
G
29
Ahmed Bahusayn
M
Ahmed Bahusayn
M
20
Biel
22'
F
2
Meshal Al Alaeli
D
Meshal Al Alaeli
D
15
M. Kudus
4'
F
M. Kudus
4'
F
66
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
D
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
D
55
Muhammad Al Dosari
D
Muhammad Al Dosari
D
74
Saif Rashad
F
Saif Rashad
F
82
M. Borjan
G
M. Borjan
G
12
Sulaiman Hazazi
D
Sulaiman Hazazi
D
5
Yoann Barbet
D
Yoann Barbet
D
35
A. Al Siyahi
D
A. Al Siyahi
D
87
Marzouq Tambakti
D
Marzouq Tambakti
D
4
Sergio González
M
77
Leandro Antunes
1 ⚽
86'
M
Leandro Antunes
1 ⚽
86'
M
20
Tozé
M
Tozé
M
27
V. Lekhal
M
V. Lekhal
M
10
T. Okou
1 👟
M
T. Okou
1 👟
M
9
M. Sylla
89'
F
M. Sylla
89'
F
Bench
80
Abdulelah Al Khaibari
D
Abdulelah Al Khaibari
D
22
Abdulrahman Al Shammari
G
Abdulrahman Al Shammari
G
33
Ammar Al Harfi
5'
D
Ammar Al Harfi
5'
D
45
Essam Bahri
D
Essam Bahri
D
94
Faisal Al Sobhi
M
Faisal Al Sobhi
M
23
Mohammed Al Khaibari
D
Mohammed Al Khaibari
D
7
Osama Al Bowardi
D
Osama Al Bowardi
D
99
Sultan Harun
2'
F
Sultan Harun
2'
F
88
Yahya Al Shehri
M
Yahya Al Shehri
M
Best on the pitch
Mailson
G · Al
8.30
· 15 pass
Leandro Antunes
M · Al
7.90
1 ⚽
8 shots
· 16 pass
Andrei Girotto
D · Al
7.70
3 shots
· 91 pass
T. Okou
M · Al
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
Flávio
M · Al
7.30
1 shots
· 54 pass
Qassem Lajami
D · Al
7.20
1 shots
· 59 pass
Al Taawon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mailson | G | 91 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Muteb Al Mufarrij | D | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Qassem Lajami | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrei Girotto | D | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 91 | 84% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fulgini | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| A. El Mahdioui | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 96 | 86% | — | — | — |
| Flávio | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Petkov | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Roger Martínez | F | 91 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Biel | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Kudus | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Al Riyadh — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Borjan | G | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sulaiman Hazazi | D | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Yoann Barbet | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Al Siyahi | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Marzouq Tambakti | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sergio González | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Antunes | M | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 8 | 16 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tozé | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| V. Lekhal | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Okou | M | 91 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sylla | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ammar Al Harfi | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Harun | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?
The final score was Al Taawon 1–1 Al Riyadh.
What did the model predict before Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Al Taawon win, 17% to a draw, and 16% to an Al Riyadh win.