✗Model wrong — prediction Al Taawon, result Draw
R. B. Martinez Tobinson
67'
(pen.)
61'
(ast. T. Okou)
L. Antunes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Taawon a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Al Riyadh 16%). The final result was Al Taawon 1–1 Al Riyadh. In 1 previous meetings, Al Taawon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Riyadh.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
6
1.66
Actual xG
1.54
5
Saves
2
73%
Possession
27%
6
Corners
1
7
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
R. B. Martinez Tobinson
48'
61'
ast. T. Okou ·
L. Antunes⚽
⚽R. B. Martinez Tobinson
(pen.)
67'
M. Al Mufarrij
/ Biel
69'
82'
L. Antunes
86'
A. Al Harfi
/
L. Antunes
Flavio
/ M. Al Qahtani
87'
89'
S. Haroun
/
M. Sylla
Pre-match prediction
65.86%
Al
17.14%
X ←
16.99%
Al
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.67
1.66
-1.01
1.10
1.54
+0.44
xG dominance was balanced (1.66 – 1.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mailson
G
Mailson
G
32
Muteb Al Mufarrij
69'
D
Muteb Al Mufarrij
69'
D
87
Qasim Lajami
D
Qasim Lajami
D
3
Andrei Girotto
D
Andrei Girotto
D
5
Mohammed Mahzari
D
Mohammed Mahzari
D
11
A. Fulgini
M
A. Fulgini
M
18
Ashraf El Mahdioui
M
Ashraf El Mahdioui
M
8
Flávio
87'
M
Flávio
87'
M
88
Marin Petkov
F
10
Roger Martínez
1 ⚽
F
Roger Martínez
1 ⚽
F
7
Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
F
Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
F
Bench
77
Abduleallah Hawsawi
M
Abduleallah Hawsawi
M
13
Abdulquddus Atiah
G
Abdulquddus Atiah
G
29
Ahmed Bahusayn
M
Ahmed Bahusayn
M
66
Bassam Al-Hurayji
D
Bassam Al-Hurayji
D
20
Biel
22'
F
Biel
22'
F
2
Meshal Alaeli
D
Meshal Alaeli
D
55
Mohammed Al Dossari
D
Mohammed Al Dossari
D
15
Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani
4'
F
Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani
4'
F
74
Saif Rashad Mohamed
F
Saif Rashad Mohamed
F
82
Milan Borjan
G
Milan Borjan
G
12
Sulaiman Hahya Hazazi
D
Sulaiman Hahya Hazazi
D
5
Yoann Barbet
D
Yoann Barbet
D
35
Ahmed Al Siyahi
D
Ahmed Al Siyahi
D
87
Marzouq Tambakti
D
Marzouq Tambakti
D
4
Sergio González
M
Sergio González
M
77
Leandro Antunes
1 ⚽
86'
M
Leandro Antunes
1 ⚽
86'
M
20
Tozé
M
Tozé
M
27
Victor Lekhal
M
Victor Lekhal
M
10
T. Okou
1 👟
M
T. Okou
1 👟
M
9
M. Sylla
89'
F
M. Sylla
89'
F
Bench
80
Abdulelah Al Khaibari
D
Abdulelah Al Khaibari
D
22
Abdulrahman Al Shammari
G
Abdulrahman Al Shammari
G
33
Ammar Al Harfi
5'
D
Ammar Al Harfi
5'
D
45
Essam Bahri
D
Essam Bahri
D
94
Faisal Al-Sobhi
M
Faisal Al-Sobhi
M
23
Mohammed Al Khaibari
D
Mohammed Al Khaibari
D
7
Osama Al-Boardi
D
Osama Al-Boardi
D
99
Sultan Harun
2'
F
Sultan Harun
2'
F
88
Yahya Al Shehri
M
Yahya Al Shehri
M
Best on the pitch
Mailson
G · Al
8.30
· 15 pass
Leandro Antunes
M · Al
7.90
1 ⚽
8 shots
· 16 pass
Andrei Girotto
D · Al
7.70
3 shots
· 91 pass
T. Okou
M · Al
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
Flávio
M · Al
7.30
1 shots
· 54 pass
Qasim Lajami
D · Al
7.20
1 shots
· 59 pass
Al Taawon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mailson | G | 91 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Muteb Al Mufarrij | D | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Qasim Lajami | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrei Girotto | D | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 91 | 84% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Mahzari | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fulgini | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Ashraf El Mahdioui | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 96 | 86% | — | — | — |
| Flávio | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Marin Petkov | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Roger Martínez | F | 91 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Biel | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Al Riyadh — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Borjan | G | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sulaiman Hahya Hazazi | D | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Yoann Barbet | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Al Siyahi | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Marzouq Tambakti | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sergio González | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Antunes | M | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 8 | 16 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tozé | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Victor Lekhal | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Okou | M | 91 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sylla | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ammar Al Harfi | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Harun | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?
The final score was Al Taawon 1–1 Al Riyadh.
What did the model predict before Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Al Taawon win, 17% to a draw, and 16% to an Al Riyadh win.