Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 33
May 09, 2026 19:00
M. Elia
7'
F. Hadergjonaj
40'
(pen.)
I. Kaya
(ast. F. Hadergjonaj)
61'
13'
(ast. M. Cardoso)
L. Benes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alanyaspor a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Kayserispor 23%). The final result was Alanyaspor 3–1 Kayserispor. In 1 previous meetings, Alanyaspor have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kayserispor.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
8
2.05
Actual xG
1.80
7
Saves
5
46%
Possession
54%
0
Corners
6
9
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Elia
7'
13'
ast. M. Cardoso ·
L. Benes⚽
⚽F. Hadergjonaj
(pen.)
40'
51'
R. Civelek
54'
F. Chalov
/
F. Soyalp
55'
J. Mendes
/
R. Civelek
⚽I. Kaya
· ast. F. Hadergjonaj
61'
N. Janvier
63'
63'
G. Saglam
/
D. Tokoz
I. Kaya
/ I. Hagi
71'
77'
S. Guler
N. Janvier
/ I. Celik
78'
Hwang Ui-Jo
/ G. Yalcin
78'
80'
D. Makarov
/
I. Tuci
G. Makouta
85'
M. Elia
/ E. Karaca
87'
E. Keskin
/ B. Mogultay
88'
Pre-match prediction
48.82%
Alanyaspor ←
27.23%
X
23.95%
Kayserispor
we assigned to the actual result (Alanyaspor)
48.82%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
2.05
+0.74
0.79
1.80
+1.01
xG dominance was balanced (2.05 – 1.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
48
Paulo Victor
G
30
Bruno Viana
D
5
D
20
F. Aksoy
D
8
E. Keskin
88'
M
17
N. Janvier
78'
M
42
G. Makouta
M
94
F. Hadergjonaj
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
27
Ibrahim Kaya
1 ⚽
71'
F
16
Hwang Ui-Jo
78'
F
12
M. Elia
1 ⚽
87'
F
M. Elia
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
7
Efecan Karaca
5'
M
10
G. Yalcin
14'
F
14
I. Hagi
21'
M
25
G
23
D
2
J. Katongo
D
6
S. Guler
D
24
D. Tokoz
63'
D
28
Ramazan Civelek
55'
D
8
L. Benes
1 ⚽
M
15
Y. Ait Bennasser
M
33
F. Soyalp
54'
M
22
I. Tuci
80'
F
7
1 👟
F
Bench
17
B. Kapacak
M
18
Denis Makarov
12'
M
63
F. Chalov
38'
F
61
Görkem Sağlam
29'
M
30
J. Brenet
D
4
S. Denswil
D
11
S. Mather
F
Best on the pitch
Paulo Victor
G · Alanyaspor
8.60
· 24 pass
M. Elia
F · Alanyaspor
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
F. Hadergjonaj
M · Alanyaspor
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 42 pass
Bruno Viana
D · Alanyaspor
7.30
· 43 pass
E. Keskin
M · Alanyaspor
7.30
2 shots
· 31 pass
F · Kayserispor
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
Alanyaspor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Victor | G | 92 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Viana | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| F. Aksoy | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Keskin | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Janvier | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Makouta | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Hadergjonaj | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Kaya | F | 71 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Hwang Ui-Jo | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Elia | F | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Efecan Karaca | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Yalcin | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Hagi | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Kayserispor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| J. Katongo | D | 92 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Guler | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Tokoz | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ramazan Civelek | D | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Benes | M | 92 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Y. Ait Bennasser | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Soyalp | M | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Tuci | F | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F | 92 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| Denis Makarov | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Chalov | F | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Görkem Sağlam | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
The final score was Alanyaspor 3–1 Kayserispor.
What did the model predict before Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Alanyaspor win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Kayserispor win.