M. Elia
7'
F. Hadergjonaj
40'
(pen.)
I. Kaya
(ast. F. Hadergjonaj)
61'
13'
(ast. M. Cardoso)
L. Benes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alanyaspor a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Kayserispor 23%). The final result was Alanyaspor 3–1 Kayserispor. In 1 previous meetings, Alanyaspor have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kayserispor.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
8
2.05
Actual xG
1.80
7
Saves
5
46%
Possession
54%
0
Corners
6
9
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Elia
7'
13'
ast. M. Cardoso ·
L. Benes⚽
⚽F. Hadergjonaj
(pen.)
40'
51'
R. Civelek
54'
F. Chalov
/
F. Soyalp
55'
J. Mendes
/
R. Civelek
⚽I. Kaya
· ast. F. Hadergjonaj
61'
N. Janvier
63'
63'
G. Saglam
/
D. Tokoz
I. Kaya
/ I. Hagi
71'
77'
S. Guler
N. Janvier
/ I. Celik
78'
Hwang Ui-Jo
/ G. Yalcin
78'
80'
D. Makarov
/
I. Tuci
G. Makouta
85'
M. Elia
/ E. Karaca
87'
E. Keskin
/ B. Mogultay
88'
Pre-match prediction
48.82%
Alanyaspor ←
27.23%
X
23.95%
Kayserispor
we assigned to the actual result (Alanyaspor)
48.82%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
2.05
+0.74
0.79
1.80
+1.01
xG dominance was balanced (2.05 – 1.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
48
Paulo Victor
G
Paulo Victor
G
30
Bruno Viana
D
Bruno Viana
D
5
D
20
Fatih Aksoy
D
Fatih Aksoy
D
8
Enes Keskin
88'
M
Enes Keskin
88'
M
17
Nicolas Janvier
78'
M
Nicolas Janvier
78'
M
42
Gaius Makouta
M
Gaius Makouta
M
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Florent Hadergjonaj
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
27
Ibrahim Kaya
1 ⚽
71'
F
Ibrahim Kaya
1 ⚽
71'
F
16
Hwang Ui-Jo
78'
F
Hwang Ui-Jo
78'
F
12
Meschak Elia
1 ⚽
87'
F
Meschak Elia
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
7
E. Karaca
5'
M
E. Karaca
5'
M
10
Güven Yalçın
14'
F
Güven Yalçın
14'
F
14
Ianis Hagi
21'
M
Ianis Hagi
21'
M
25
G
23
D
2
Jadel Katongo
D
Jadel Katongo
D
6
S. Güler
D
S. Güler
D
24
D. Toköz
63'
D
D. Toköz
63'
D
28
Ramazan Civelek
55'
D
8
László Bénes
1 ⚽
M
László Bénes
1 ⚽
M
15
Y. Aït Bennasser
M
33
F. Soyalp
54'
M
F. Soyalp
54'
M
22
I. Tuci
80'
F
7
1 👟
F
Bench
17
B. Kapacak
M
B. Kapacak
M
18
D. Makarov
12'
M
D. Makarov
12'
M
63
Fedor Chalov
38'
F
Fedor Chalov
38'
F
61
G. Sağlam
29'
M
G. Sağlam
29'
M
30
J. Brenet
D
J. Brenet
D
11
Sam Mather
F
Sam Mather
F
4
S. Denswil
D
Best on the pitch
Paulo Victor
G · Alanyaspor
8.60
· 24 pass
Meschak Elia
F · Alanyaspor
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Florent Hadergjonaj
M · Alanyaspor
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 42 pass
Bruno Viana
D · Alanyaspor
7.30
· 43 pass
Enes Keskin
M · Alanyaspor
7.30
2 shots
· 31 pass
F · Kayserispor
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
Alanyaspor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Victor | G | 92 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Viana | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Fatih Aksoy | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Enes Keskin | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolas Janvier | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Gaius Makouta | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Florent Hadergjonaj | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Kaya | F | 71 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Hwang Ui-Jo | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Meschak Elia | F | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Karaca | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Güven Yalçın | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ianis Hagi | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Kayserispor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| Jadel Katongo | D | 92 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Güler | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Toköz | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ramazan Civelek | D | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| László Bénes | M | 92 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Y. Aït Bennasser | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Soyalp | M | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Tuci | F | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F | 92 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Makarov | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fedor Chalov | F | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Sağlam | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
The final score was Alanyaspor 3–1 Kayserispor.
What did the model predict before Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Alanyaspor win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Kayserispor win.