Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 04:00
56'
J. Murillo
(pen.)
68'
T. Angel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Atletico a 36% win probability (draw 31%, America de Cali 32%). The final result was Alianza Atletico 0–2 America de Cali. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Atletico have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for America de Cali.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.14
Actual xG
2.79
2
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
4
11
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
56'
J. Murillo⚽
E. Perleche
62'
68'
(pen.)
T. Angel⚽
68'
T. Angel
F. Flores
/ F. Coronel
69'
V. Robaldo
/ C. Valladolid
70'
76'
J. Palacios
/
J. Murillo
C. Penilla
/ S. Quiroga
85'
85'
A. Ramos
/
D. Valencia
85'
J. Romero
/
T. Angel
G. Diaz
/ H. Lupu
88'
J. del Castillo
/ A. Munoz
88'
89'
J. Lucumi
90'+1
C. Sierra
/
J. Lucumi
J. Mendieta
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
36.83%
Alianza
31.06%
X
32.11%
America ←
we assigned to the actual result (America de Cali)
32.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.14
+0.17
0.85
2.79
+1.94
America de Cali dominated by xG (2.79 vs 1.14).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
95
G
19
Jesus Mendieta
D
Jesus Mendieta
D
4
José Villegas
D
José Villegas
D
2
Román Suárez
D
Román Suárez
D
21
Erick Perleche
D
Erick Perleche
D
20
Jimmy Pérez
M
Jimmy Pérez
M
10
Germán Díaz
88'
M
Germán Díaz
88'
M
17
Cristian Penilla
85'
M
Cristian Penilla
85'
M
22
Jorge del Castillo
88'
M
Jorge del Castillo
88'
M
8
Franchesco Flores
69'
M
Franchesco Flores
69'
M
9
Valentín Robaldo
70'
F
Valentín Robaldo
70'
F
Bench
23
Ariel Muñoz
7'
M
Ariel Muñoz
7'
M
7
Franco Coronel
26'
F
Franco Coronel
26'
F
15
Hernan Lupú
7'
M
Hernan Lupú
7'
M
32
S. Quiroga
10'
F
16
Stefano Fernández
M
Stefano Fernández
M
1
Jean Fernandes
G
Jean Fernandes
G
30
Omar Bertel
D
Omar Bertel
D
24
Cristian Tovar
D
Cristian Tovar
D
4
Andrés Mosquera
D
Andrés Mosquera
D
28
Luis Mina
D
Luis Mina
D
5
Josen Escobar
M
Josen Escobar
M
15
Rafael Carrascal
M
Rafael Carrascal
M
7
Jhon Murillo
1 ⚽
76'
M
Jhon Murillo
1 ⚽
76'
M
17
Jan Lucumí
M
Jan Lucumí
M
21
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
85'
M
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
85'
M
9
J. Valencia
85'
F
J. Valencia
85'
F
Bench
20
Adrián Ramos
10'
F
Adrián Ramos
10'
F
16
Brayan Correa
D
Brayan Correa
D
11
Darwin Machís
F
Darwin Machís
F
25
Joel Romero
10'
M
Joel Romero
10'
M
12
Jorge Soto
G
Jorge Soto
G
6
José Cavadia
M
José Cavadia
M
35
Kevin Angulo
F
Kevin Angulo
F
22
Nicolás Hernández
D
Nicolás Hernández
D
Best on the pitch
Jhon Murillo
M · America
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Rafael Carrascal
M · America
7.50
2 shots
· 50 pass
Luis Mina
D · America
7.30
· 22 pass
Jean Fernandes
G · America
7.30
· 30 pass
T. Ángel
M · America
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Omar Bertel
D · America
7.20
· 35 pass
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Jesus Mendieta | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| José Villegas | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Román Suárez | D | 95 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Perleche | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Penilla | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jorge del Castillo | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Franchesco Flores | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Valentín Robaldo | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ariel Muñoz | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Hernan Lupú | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Quiroga | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Fernandes | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Omar Bertel | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Tovar | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Mosquera | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Luis Mina | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 6 | — | — |
| Josen Escobar | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Carrascal | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Murillo | M | 76 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jan Lucumí | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| T. Ángel | M | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Joel Romero | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs America de Cali?
The final score was Alianza Atletico 0–2 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Alianza Atletico vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Alianza Atletico win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an America de Cali win.