Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 04:00
56'
J. Murillo
(pen.)
68'
T. Angel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Atletico a 36% win probability (draw 31%, America de Cali 32%). The final result was Alianza Atletico 0–2 America de Cali. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Atletico have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for America de Cali.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.14
Actual xG
2.79
2
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
4
11
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
56'
J. Murillo⚽
E. Perleche
62'
68'
(pen.)
T. Angel⚽
68'
T. Angel
F. Flores
/ F. Coronel
69'
V. Robaldo
/ C. Valladolid
70'
76'
J. Palacios
/
J. Murillo
C. Penilla
/ S. Quiroga
85'
85'
A. Ramos
/
D. Valencia
85'
J. Romero
/
T. Angel
G. Diaz
/ H. Lupu
88'
J. del Castillo
/ A. Munoz
88'
89'
J. Lucumi
90'+1
C. Sierra
/
J. Lucumi
J. Mendieta
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
36.83%
Alianza
31.06%
X
32.11%
America ←
we assigned to the actual result (America de Cali)
32.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.14
+0.17
0.85
2.79
+1.94
America de Cali dominated by xG (2.79 vs 1.14).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
95
G
19
J. Mendieta
D
J. Mendieta
D
4
J. Villegas
D
J. Villegas
D
2
R. Suarez
D
R. Suarez
D
21
Erick Perleche
D
Erick Perleche
D
20
Jimmy Pérez
M
Jimmy Pérez
M
10
Germán Díaz
88'
M
Germán Díaz
88'
M
17
C. Penilla
85'
M
C. Penilla
85'
M
22
J. del Castillo
88'
M
J. del Castillo
88'
M
8
F. Flores
69'
M
F. Flores
69'
M
9
V. Robaldo
70'
F
V. Robaldo
70'
F
Bench
23
A. Muñoz
7'
M
A. Muñoz
7'
M
7
Franco Coronel
26'
F
Franco Coronel
26'
F
15
H. Lupú
7'
M
H. Lupú
7'
M
32
Sergio Quiroga
10'
F
Sergio Quiroga
10'
F
16
S. Fernández
M
S. Fernández
M
1
Jean
G
Jean
G
30
O. Bertel
D
O. Bertel
D
24
C. Tovar
D
C. Tovar
D
4
A. Mosquera
D
A. Mosquera
D
28
Luis Mina
D
Luis Mina
D
5
J. Escobar
M
J. Escobar
M
15
R. Carrascal
M
R. Carrascal
M
7
J. Murillo
1 ⚽
76'
M
J. Murillo
1 ⚽
76'
M
17
J. Lucumí
M
J. Lucumí
M
21
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
85'
M
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
85'
M
9
J. Valencia
85'
F
J. Valencia
85'
F
Bench
20
Adrián Ramos
10'
F
Adrián Ramos
10'
F
16
Brayan Correa
D
Brayan Correa
D
11
D. Machís
F
D. Machís
F
25
Joel Romero
10'
M
6
José Cavadia
M
José Cavadia
M
12
J. Soto
G
J. Soto
G
35
Kevin Angulo
F
Kevin Angulo
F
22
N. Hernández
D
N. Hernández
D
Best on the pitch
J. Murillo
M · America
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
R. Carrascal
M · America
7.50
2 shots
· 50 pass
Luis Mina
D · America
7.30
· 22 pass
Jean
G · America
7.30
· 30 pass
T. Ángel
M · America
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
O. Bertel
D · America
7.20
· 35 pass
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| J. Mendieta | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Villegas | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Suarez | D | 95 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Perleche | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Penilla | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. del Castillo | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Flores | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| V. Robaldo | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Muñoz | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Lupú | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Quiroga | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Bertel | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Tovar | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Mosquera | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Luis Mina | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Escobar | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Carrascal | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Murillo | M | 76 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Lucumí | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| T. Ángel | M | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Joel Romero | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs America de Cali?
The final score was Alianza Atletico 0–2 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Alianza Atletico vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Alianza Atletico win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an America de Cali win.