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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 17 April 19, 2026 23:10
#17 · 17 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#11 · 26 pts
42' (ast. J. Montano) F. Fydriszewski

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Valledupar a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 33%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Independiente Medellin.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
3
1.23
Actual xG
0.50
2
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
4
12
Tackles
4
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
20'
A. Serna
M. Martinez
26'
30'
J. Munoz
36'
36'
L. Chaverra
37'
J. Ortiz
42'
ast. J. Montano · F. Fydriszewski
W. Fernandez
45'+3
46'
L. Escorcia / A. Serna
46'
B. Perlaza / L. Chaverra
W. Fernandez / F. Cantillo
46'
K. Moreno / L. Valencia
46'
C. Esparragoza
46'
58'
H. Palacios / D. Catano
M. Martinez / F. Pardo
66'
J. Munoz / C. Lucumi
66'
C. Villegas / J. E. Perez Balcazar
74'
76'
F. Chaverra / J. Montano
83'
F. Chaverra
84'
89'
E. Chaux
90'
D. Moreno / H. Loboa
Pre-match prediction
33.96%
Alianza
32.59%
X
33.44%
Independiente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 33.44% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alianza
1.18
1.23
+0.05
Independiente
1.16
0.50
-0.66
Alianza Valledupar dominated by xG (1.23 vs 0.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
1
G 6.30
14
C. Villegas 74' D 7.30
23
Juan Viveros D 7.20
5
P. Franco D 7.20
3
Kevin Moreno 45' D 5.70
16
Yilson Rosales D 6.90
8
Jesús Muñoz 66' M 6.50
15 C. Esparragoza C. Esparragoza M 6.60
10
W. Fernandez 45' M 6.70
27
Yeiner Londoño M 7.30
26
Misael Martínez 66' F 6.30
Bench
29
C. Lucumi 24' F 6.20
21
Fabián Cantillo 45' M 6.90
17
Felipe Pardo 24' M 6.60
25
E. Chaux G 7.20
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra D 7.60
33
D. Londono D 7.50
24
J. Ortiz 37' D 5.90
2
L. Chaverra 45' D 6.90
8
A. Serna 45' M 6.20
16
H. Loboa 89' M 7.00
20
J. Montano 1 👟 76' M 7.20
10
D. Catano 58' M 6.70
26
E. Mena Perea M 6.50
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
14
B. Perlaza 45' M 6.60
31
D. Moreno 8' M 6.70
13
F. Chaverra 14' M 6.30
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios 32' D 6.90
5
L. Escorcia 45' D 6.90
11
Yony Gonzalez F
Best on the pitch
F. Fabra
F. Fabra
D · Independiente
7.60
· 28 pass
F. Fydriszewski
F. Fydriszewski
F · Independiente
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 13 pass
D. Londono
D · Independiente
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
C. Villegas
D · Alianza
7.30
· 33 pass
Yeiner Londoño
M · Alianza
7.30
1 shots · 18 pass
Juan Viveros
D · Alianza
7.20
1 shots · 44 pass
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 12 11%
C. Villegas D 74 7.30 33 30%
Juan Viveros D 90 7.20 1 44 42% 1
P. Franco D 90 7.20 66 59% 2
Kevin Moreno D 45 5.70 1 19 15%
Yilson Rosales D 90 6.90 30 24% 4
Jesús Muñoz M 66 6.50 19 17% 1 1
C. Esparragoza M 90 6.60 3 67 53% 1 1
W. Fernandez M 45 6.70 2 18 14% 1 1
Yeiner Londoño M 90 7.30 1 18 15% 1
Misael Martínez F 66 6.30 2 12 9% 1 1
C. Lucumi F 24 6.20 1 3 1%
Fabián Cantillo M 45 6.90 2 26 25%
Felipe Pardo M 24 6.60 9 7%
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Chaux G 90 7.20 35 19% 1
F. Fabra D 90 7.60 28 23% 1
D. Londono D 90 7.50 1 34 33%
J. Ortiz D 37 5.90 19 16% 1 1
L. Chaverra D 45 6.90 19 18% 1
A. Serna M 45 6.20 31 27% 1
H. Loboa M 89 7.00 33 27% 1
J. Montano M 76 7.20 1 1 17 13%
D. Catano M 58 6.70 31 28%
E. Mena Perea M 90 6.50 1 19 12%
F. Fydriszewski F 90 7.50 1 3 13 8%
B. Perlaza M 45 6.60 10 7%
D. Moreno M 8 6.70
F. Chaverra M 14 6.30 1 1% 1
H. Palacios D 32 6.90 2 2%
L. Escorcia D 45 6.90 6 3% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Independiente Medellin win.