42'
(ast. J. Montano)
F. Fydriszewski
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Valledupar a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 33%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Independiente Medellin.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
3
1.23
Actual xG
0.50
2
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
4
12
Tackles
4
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
20'
A. Serna
M. Martinez
26'
30'
J. Munoz
36'
36'
L. Chaverra
37'
J. Ortiz
42'
ast. J. Montano ·
F. Fydriszewski⚽
W. Fernandez
45'+3
46'
L. Escorcia
/
A. Serna
46'
B. Perlaza
/
L. Chaverra
W. Fernandez
/ F. Cantillo
46'
K. Moreno
/ L. Valencia
46'
C. Esparragoza
46'
58'
H. Palacios
/
D. Catano
M. Martinez
/ F. Pardo
66'
J. Munoz
/ C. Lucumi
66'
C. Villegas
/ J. E. Perez Balcazar
74'
76'
F. Chaverra
/
J. Montano
83'
F. Chaverra
84'
89'
E. Chaux
90'
D. Moreno
/
H. Loboa
Pre-match prediction
33.96%
Alianza
32.59%
X
33.44%
Independiente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
33.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
1.23
+0.05
1.16
0.50
-0.66
Alianza Valledupar dominated by xG (1.23 vs 0.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
14
Charly Villegas
74'
D
Charly Villegas
74'
D
23
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
5
Pedro Franco
D
Pedro Franco
D
3
Kevin Moreno
45'
D
Kevin Moreno
45'
D
16
Yilson Rosales
D
Yilson Rosales
D
8
Jesús Muñoz
66'
M
Jesús Muñoz
66'
M
15
C. Esparragoza
M
C. Esparragoza
M
10
Wiston Fernández
45'
M
Wiston Fernández
45'
M
27
Yeiner Londoño
M
Yeiner Londoño
M
26
Misael Martínez
66'
F
Misael Martínez
66'
F
Bench
29
Carlos Lucumi
24'
F
Carlos Lucumi
24'
F
21
Fabián Cantillo
45'
M
Fabián Cantillo
45'
M
17
Felipe Pardo
24'
M
Felipe Pardo
24'
M
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
18
Frank Fabra
D
Frank Fabra
D
33
Daniel Londoño
D
Daniel Londoño
D
24
José Ortiz
37'
D
José Ortiz
37'
D
2
Léyser Chaverra
45'
D
Léyser Chaverra
45'
D
8
Alexis Serna
45'
M
Alexis Serna
45'
M
16
Halam Loboa
89'
M
Halam Loboa
89'
M
20
John Edwin Montaño
1 👟
76'
M
John Edwin Montaño
1 👟
76'
M
10
Daniel Cataño
58'
M
Daniel Cataño
58'
M
26
Esneyder Mena
M
Esneyder Mena
M
19
F. Fydriszewski
1 ⚽
F
F. Fydriszewski
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Baldomero Perlaza
45'
M
Baldomero Perlaza
45'
M
31
Diego Moreno
8'
M
Diego Moreno
8'
M
13
F. Chaverra
14'
M
F. Chaverra
14'
M
30
H. Palacios
32'
D
H. Palacios
32'
D
5
Luis Escorcia
45'
D
Luis Escorcia
45'
D
11
Yony González
F
Yony González
F
Best on the pitch
Frank Fabra
D · Independiente
7.60
· 28 pass
F. Fydriszewski
F · Independiente
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
Daniel Londoño
D · Independiente
7.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
Charly Villegas
D · Alianza
7.30
· 33 pass
Yeiner Londoño
M · Alianza
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
Juan Viveros
D · Alianza
7.20
1 shots
· 44 pass
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Charly Villegas | D | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Juan Viveros | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Franco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Moreno | D | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Yilson Rosales | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Esparragoza | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 67 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wiston Fernández | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Misael Martínez | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Lucumi | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Pardo | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Chaux | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Frank Fabra | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Londoño | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | — | — | — |
| José Ortiz | D | 37 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Léyser Chaverra | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexis Serna | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Halam Loboa | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Esneyder Mena | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Baldomero Perlaza | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Chaverra | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luis Escorcia | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Independiente Medellin win.