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Aluminij - NK Domzale

1. SNL May 02, 2026 17:00
#7 · 35 pts
vs
#10 · 12 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 22.1°C 💨 4 km/h · Kidricevo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.3%
Win
Aluminij
30.24%
Draw
36.46%
Win
NK Domzale
1.02
Expected xG
1.22

The ForzaPitch prediction gives NK Domzale a 36% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Aluminij. Expected goals are 1.0 for Aluminij and 1.2 for NK Domzale (total 2.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.3% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Aluminij have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for NK Domzale.

Score Matrix
↕ Aluminij NK Domzale →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7% 13.0% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.3% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Recent form
L Koper 1–0
L Celje 5–0
L Bravo 0–1
W Mura 2–1
L Olimpija Ljubljana 2–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 12%
L Koper 2–1
W Bravo 1–0
L Celje 0–2
L Aluminij 3–1
D Mura 3–3
Playing profile
Aluminij Aluminij
Attack
15
Defence
56
Form
34
NK Domzale NK Domzale
Attack
28
Defence
54
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Celje Celje 32 71
2 Koper Koper 33 64
3 Bravo Bravo 33 59
4 Maribor Maribor 31 50
5 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 31 49
6 Radomlje Radomlje 32 42
7 Aluminij Aluminij 32 35
8 Mura Mura 32 28
9 Primorje Primorje 32 21
10 NK Domzale NK Domzale 18 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aluminij vs NK Domzale?
The model gives Aluminij a 33% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 36% for an NK Domzale win.
How many goals are expected in Aluminij vs NK Domzale?
Expected goals: Aluminij 1.0, NK Domzale 1.2 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Aluminij vs NK Domzale?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.